MatchWiz

Joc Pederson

Joc Pederson — our top-20 calls on him have hit 59% this season. His matchups, projections, and the full graded record.

Last scored board
100
Triples · @ AZ · 2026-09-13
Our calls on him · hits
59%
1+ hit in 10/17 top-20 calls
Games graded
113
this season, box-score final
Joc Pederson
DHBats LThrows LTexas Rangers
Triples100/100proj 0.1Total Bases71.3/100proj 1.7Runs68.2/100proj 0.5Walks59.8/100proj 0.4RBIs54.3/100proj 0.5Fantasy Points48.9/100proj 6.6H+R+RBI40.7/100proj 1.7Doubles34.9/100proj 0.2Hits23.7/100proj 0.9Home Runs21.2/100proj 0.1Singles20.1/100proj 0.6Stolen Bases4.9/100proj 0

Not on the current slate

Joc hasn't been scored in 25 days — his last matchup was against Arizona Diamondbacks on Sunday, September 13, 2026. A gap that long usually means an injury, a minor-league option, or a roster move rather than a rest day. Everything below is his most recent real production, not a projection.

Recent form

Joc is 6-for-22 (.273) over his last 10 games, in line with his .244 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Joc has 26 home runs and 39 extra-base hits in 332 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a left-handed bat

Joc hits from the left side, and that's the first thing the model looks at. Left-handed hitters see right-handed pitching most nights, which is the favourable side — so a lefty bat's baseline is set against righties, and drawing a left-handed starter is a genuine downgrade rather than a rounding error. When you see his score fall on a day he's still in the lineup, an opposing lefty is usually why. Handedness also shapes the park read: pull-side geometry matters more for a left-handed swing than the raw park factor suggests.

Floor and ceiling

Joc has recorded at least one hit in 59 of 111 games he's batted in — 53% — with 15 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Joc is hitting .205 at home (35-for-171) and .286 on the road (46-for-161) across the season. That's a real-looking split, and it's the kind of thing that's usually part park and part noise. The model doesn't apply a blanket home-road adjustment — it prices the actual ballpark he's standing in, which is the part that carries signal.

How our calls on Joc have graded

In the 17 games where we ranked Joc a top-20 hitter matchup, he recorded a hit 10 times — 59%. Middle of the road, which is what most players look like. Every one of those calls was graded against the real box score, misses included.

Where he lands across our boards

Joc was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: triples graded 100/100 while stolen bases came in at 4.9/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Joc gets scored the same way a backup infielder does — same inputs, same scale, no thumb on it. What he's done against arms of this handedness, what this particular pitcher and bullpen give up, his likely plate appearances, the ballpark, the conditions, his recent form. The weighting behind those is ours and gets re-tuned weekly against what actually happened. The output is public and graded, which is the only claim worth making.

What we'd flag

Read this page knowing what it can't do. It can't show you a line no book posted — coverage peaks around 87% for confirmed starters. It can't see a lineup change that happens after the projection publishes. And it can't tell you anything useful from one game, because the model is only measurable across a season-sized sample.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Saturday, September 12@ AZ20000
Friday, September 11@ AZ52001
Thursday, September 10@ SEA31112
Wednesday, September 9@ —10000
Tuesday, September 8@ SEA20000
Sunday, September 6vs TB00000
Saturday, September 5vs TB31111
Friday, September 4vs TB30000
Thursday, September 3@ —21000
Tuesday, September 1@ —11010
Monday, August 31vs ATH10000
Sunday, August 30@ MIL41111

Joc Pederson — FAQ

Is Joc Pederson playing today?

Joc Pederson isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Sunday, September 13, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Joc Pederson graded?

In the 17 games where our model ranked Joc a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 10 times — 59%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Joc Pederson been hitting lately?

Joc is 6-for-22 (.273) over his last 10 games, against .244 on the season across 332 at-bats in our log, with 26 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Joc Pederson appear on?

Joc was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — triples, total bases, runs, walks, rbis. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Joc Pederson's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).