MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · SS · Texas Rangers

Ezequiel Duran

Ezequiel Duran — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: total bases at 51/100.

Today's top board
51
Total Bases · vs DET
Our calls on him · hits
71%
1+ hit in 5/7 top-20 calls
Games graded
75
this season, box-score final
Ezequiel Duran
SSBats RThrows RTexas Rangers
Total Bases51/100proj 1.7#26Hits50/100proj 1#23Runs47.8/100proj 0.5#29H+R+RBI40.7/100proj 2#31RBIs38.8/100proj 0.4#45Fantasy Points37.3/100proj 7.1#36Stolen Bases28.9/100proj 0.1#25Walks24/100proj 0.3#46Home Runs8.1/100proj 0.1#64

Today's matchup

Ezequiel is hosting Detroit Tigers on the Thursday, July 2, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — total bases (51/100, #26), hits (50/100, #23), runs (47.8/100, #29), h+r+rbi (40.7/100, #31). We project Ezequiel for 1.7 on the total bases board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Over his last 5 games, Ezequiel is 8-for-21 (.381). The full log's below.

How our calls on Ezequiel have done

When we've ranked Ezequiel a top-20 hitter matchup this season, he's recorded a hit in 5 of 7 games (71%). That's the honest number — graded against the real box score, hits and misses both.

How the model reads him

Ezequiel's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Thursday, July 2vs DET42002
Wednesday, July 1@ CLE53000
Tuesday, June 30@ CLE41010
Monday, June 29@ CLE40000
Sunday, June 28@ TOR42000
Saturday, June 27@ TOR21010
Friday, June 26@ TOR42001
Thursday, June 25@ TOR40000
Wednesday, June 24@ MIA30000
Tuesday, June 23@ MIA41000
Monday, June 22@ MIA41112
Sunday, June 21vs SD40000

Ezequiel Duran — FAQ

Who is Ezequiel Duran facing today?

Ezequiel Duran is hosting Detroit Tigers on Thursday, July 2, 2026. His best matchup grades 51/100 on our total bases board.

What's Ezequiel Duran's projection today?

We project Ezequiel for 1.7 on the total bases board (home vs DET). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Ezequiel Duran done?

In the 7 games where our model ranked Ezequiel a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 5 times (71%). Every projection is graded against the real result.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).