MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Sunday, April 12, 2026

BOS @ STL Home Runs matchups · Sunday, April 12, 2026

BOS
BOS
Boston Red Sox
93
Final
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
STL
Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft 78°F CloudyWind 18 mph, Out To LF

BOS BOS Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 BF
Season.00027 BF
Last 2 Years.020601 BF
wOBA allowed.310
Hard-Hit %40%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 BF
Season.00016 BF
Last 2 Years.025642 BF
wOBA allowed.167
Hard-Hit %27%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02343 PA
Season.02344 PA
Last 2 Years.020249 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.00027 PA
Last 2 Years.020601 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L9–5
ERA3.83
WHIP1.23
IP89.1
H / K / BB84 / 68 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030235 PA
Season.032252 PA
Last 2 Years.0302306 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.330
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.158

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+700
CZRCaesars+700
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Roman Anthony's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00034 PA
Season.00035 PA
Last 2 Years.017408 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.00016 PA
Last 2 Years.025642 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L9–5
ERA3.83
WHIP1.23
IP89.1
H / K / BB84 / 68 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.019207 PA
Season.017236 PA
Last 2 Years.0243191 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +11%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.316
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.123

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+900
CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+800

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Caleb Durbin's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA
Season.00035 PA
Last 2 Years.029992 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.00027 PA
Last 2 Years.020601 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L9–5
ERA3.83
WHIP1.23
IP89.1
H / K / BB84 / 68 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030235 PA
Season.032252 PA
Last 2 Years.0302306 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.336
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.143
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.143

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750
BOLBetOnline+700
CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Jarren Duran's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02147 PA
Season.02148 PA
Last 2 Years.035705 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.00016 PA
Last 2 Years.025642 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L9–5
ERA3.83
WHIP1.23
IP89.1
H / K / BB84 / 68 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.019207 PA
Season.017236 PA
Last 2 Years.0243191 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +11%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.331
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.316
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.750
Plate Appearances8

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.157

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+500
CZRCaesars+500
BRBetRivers+480

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Willson Contreras's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.6× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07043 PA
Season.06844 PA
Last 2 Years.050755 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.00027 PA
Last 2 Years.020601 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L9–5
ERA3.83
WHIP1.23
IP89.1
H / K / BB84 / 68 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030235 PA
Season.032252 PA
Last 2 Years.0302306 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.343
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.195

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+510
CZRCaesars+500
BOLBetOnline+450

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Wilyer Abreu's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02148 PA
Season.02049 PA
Last 2 Years.035592 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.00016 PA
Last 2 Years.025642 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L9–5
ERA3.83
WHIP1.23
IP89.1
H / K / BB84 / 68 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.019207 PA
Season.017236 PA
Last 2 Years.0243191 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.306
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.316
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.714
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.143

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+575
CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Trevor Story's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00037 PA
Season.00039 PA
Last 2 Years.027148 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.00027 PA
Last 2 Years.020601 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L9–5
ERA3.83
WHIP1.23
IP89.1
H / K / BB84 / 68 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030235 PA
Season.032252 PA
Last 2 Years.0302306 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.116

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+800
CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Marcelo Mayer's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.00012 PA
Last 2 Years.017480 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.00016 PA
Last 2 Years.025642 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L9–5
ERA3.83
WHIP1.23
IP89.1
H / K / BB84 / 68 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.019207 PA
Season.017236 PA
Last 2 Years.0243191 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.316
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.108

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Connor Wong's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02935 PA
Season.02737 PA
Last 2 Years.026851 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.00016 PA
Last 2 Years.025642 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L9–5
ERA3.83
WHIP1.23
IP89.1
H / K / BB84 / 68 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.019207 PA
Season.017236 PA
Last 2 Years.0243191 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.316
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.127

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Ceddanne Rafaela's full player page →

STL STL Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 BF
Season.04323 BF
Last 2 Years.028774 BF
wOBA allowed.468
Hard-Hit %13%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 BF
Season.00022 BF
Last 2 Years.018608 BF
wOBA allowed.406
Hard-Hit %13%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00037 PA
Season.02441 PA
Last 2 Years.02441 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA
Season.04323 PA
Last 2 Years.028774 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L2–6
ERA6.34
WHIP1.67
IP61.0
H / K / BB78 / 44 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018111 PA
Season.017115 PA
Last 2 Years.0242117 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.330
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.138

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+800
BOLBetOnline+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

JJ Wetherholt's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00037 PA
Season.00042 PA
Last 2 Years.021519 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.00022 PA
Last 2 Years.018608 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L2–6
ERA6.34
WHIP1.67
IP61.0
H / K / BB78 / 44 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031256 PA
Season.028283 PA
Last 2 Years.0264355 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.139

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+950
CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Iván Herrera's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00037 PA
Season.02441 PA
Last 2 Years.038882 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA
Season.04323 PA
Last 2 Years.028774 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L2–6
ERA6.34
WHIP1.67
IP61.0
H / K / BB78 / 44 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018111 PA
Season.017115 PA
Last 2 Years.0242117 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.336
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.330
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.165

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+540

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Alec Burleson's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08635 PA
Season.07938 PA
Last 2 Years.024419 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.00022 PA
Last 2 Years.018608 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L2–6
ERA6.34
WHIP1.67
IP61.0
H / K / BB78 / 44 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031256 PA
Season.028283 PA
Last 2 Years.0264355 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.667
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.174

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+650
BOLBetOnline+600
CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Jordan Walker's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.9× / ~1.4×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05636 PA
Season.05139 PA
Last 2 Years.038600 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA
Season.04323 PA
Last 2 Years.028774 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L2–6
ERA6.34
WHIP1.67
IP61.0
H / K / BB78 / 44 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018111 PA
Season.017115 PA
Last 2 Years.0242117 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.330
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.157

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+475
BOLBetOnline+450
BRBetRivers+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Nolan Gorman's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.00017 PA
Last 2 Years.029492 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.00022 PA
Last 2 Years.018608 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L2–6
ERA6.34
WHIP1.67
IP61.0
H / K / BB78 / 44 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031256 PA
Season.028283 PA
Last 2 Years.0264355 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.154
Plate Appearances13

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.125

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Ramón Urías's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA
Season.0004 PA
Last 2 Years.010100 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.00022 PA
Last 2 Years.018608 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L2–6
ERA6.34
WHIP1.67
IP61.0
H / K / BB78 / 44 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031256 PA
Season.028283 PA
Last 2 Years.0264355 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +11%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.127

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+1100
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

José Fermín's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA
Season.00028 PA
Last 2 Years.003292 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.00022 PA
Last 2 Years.018608 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L2–6
ERA6.34
WHIP1.67
IP61.0
H / K / BB78 / 44 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031256 PA
Season.028283 PA
Last 2 Years.0264355 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.101

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+950
CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Thomas Saggese's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00024 PA
Season.00027 PA
Last 2 Years.014434 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA
Season.04323 PA
Last 2 Years.028774 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L2–6
ERA6.34
WHIP1.67
IP61.0
H / K / BB78 / 44 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018111 PA
Season.017115 PA
Last 2 Years.0242117 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.299
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.330
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.087

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+1100
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Victor Scott II's full player page →