MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · LF · Boston Red Sox

Jarren Duran

Jarren Duran — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: runs at 43.9/100.

Today's top board
43.9
Runs · @ NYM
Our calls on him · hits
38%
1+ hit in 3/8 top-20 calls
Games graded
85
this season, box-score final
Jarren Duran
LFBats LThrows RBoston Red Sox
Runs43.9/100proj 0.5#126H+R+RBI39/100proj 1.6#160Total Bases38.4/100proj 1.5#146Hits37.4/100proj 0.9#163RBIs34.2/100proj 0.4#159Fantasy Points33.6/100proj 5.9#160Walks18.8/100proj 0.3#151Stolen Bases16.9/100proj 0#176Home Runs11.6/100proj 0.1#193

Today's matchup

Jarren is at New York Mets on the Sunday, July 12, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — runs (43.9/100, #126), h+r+rbi (39/100, #160), total bases (38.4/100, #146), hits (37.4/100, #163). We project Jarren for 0.5 on the runs board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Over his last 5 games, Jarren is 1-for-16 (.063). The full log's below.

How our calls on Jarren have done

When we've ranked Jarren a top-20 hitter matchup this season, he's recorded a hit in 3 of 8 games (38%). That's the honest number — graded against the real box score, hits and misses both.

How the model reads him

Jarren's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Sunday, July 12@ NYM41001
Saturday, July 11@ NYM40000
Friday, July 10@ NYM40000
Thursday, July 9@ CWS10000
Wednesday, July 8@ CWS30010
Tuesday, July 7@ CWS52011
Sunday, July 5@ LAA32112
Saturday, July 4@ LAA20000
Friday, July 3@ LAA20002
Tuesday, June 30vs WSH30000
Monday, June 29vs WSH40000
Sunday, June 28vs NYY21001

Jarren Duran — FAQ

Who is Jarren Duran facing today?

Jarren Duran is facing New York Mets on Sunday, July 12, 2026. His best matchup grades 43.9/100 on our runs board.

What's Jarren Duran's projection today?

We project Jarren for 0.5 on the runs board (away vs NYM). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Jarren Duran done?

In the 8 games where our model ranked Jarren a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 3 times (38%). Every projection is graded against the real result.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).