MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · LF · Boston Red Sox

Jarren Duran

Jarren Duran — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: runs at 57.8/100.

Today's top board
57.8
Runs · vs WSH
Our calls on him · hits
38%
1+ hit in 3/8 top-20 calls
Games graded
76
this season, box-score final
Jarren Duran
LFBats LThrows RBoston Red Sox
Runs57.8/100proj 0.5Total Bases49.3/100proj 1.6RBIs48.6/100proj 0.5H+R+RBI37.8/100proj 1.9Fantasy Points35/100proj 6.8Stolen Bases33.8/100proj 0.1Hits30.3/100proj 0.9Home Runs30.3/100proj 0.2Walks9/100proj 0.3

Today's matchup

Jarren is hosting Washington Nationals on the Wednesday, July 1, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — runs (57.8/100), total bases (49.3/100), rbis (48.6/100), h+r+rbi (37.8/100). We project Jarren for 0.5 on the runs board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Over his last 5 games, Jarren is 2-for-17 (.118). The full log's below.

How our calls on Jarren have done

When we've ranked Jarren a top-20 hitter matchup this season, he's recorded a hit in 3 of 8 games (38%). That's the honest number — graded against the real box score, hits and misses both.

How the model reads him

Jarren's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Tuesday, June 30vs WSH30000
Monday, June 29vs WSH40000
Sunday, June 28vs NYY21001
Saturday, June 27vs NYY40000
Friday, June 26vs NYY41010
Thursday, June 25vs NYY31001
Tuesday, June 23@ COL50000
Monday, June 22@ COL30000
Sunday, June 21@ SEA40000
Saturday, June 20@ SEA40010
Friday, June 19@ SEA41010
Thursday, June 18vs TOR40000

Jarren Duran — FAQ

Who is Jarren Duran facing today?

Jarren Duran is hosting Washington Nationals on Wednesday, July 1, 2026. His best matchup grades 57.8/100 on our runs board.

What's Jarren Duran's projection today?

We project Jarren for 0.5 on the runs board (home vs WSH). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Jarren Duran done?

In the 8 games where our model ranked Jarren a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 3 times (38%). Every projection is graded against the real result.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).