Who has the best home runs matchup today (Saturday, June 13, 2026)?

Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Sean Burke. Real bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB home runs matchups today (Saturday, June 13, 2026)?

The top home runs matchups on Saturday, June 13, 2026: Shohei Ohtani (100), Shea Langeliers (74), Hunter Goodman (70), James Wood (68), Kyle Schwarber (63). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by home runs upside.

Did the top home runs matchup get a home run on Saturday, June 13, 2026?

Yes — Shohei Ohtani got 1 home run.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .037 against righties this year. Shea Langeliers (ATH) — righty bat vs LHP, .096 against lefties this year. James Wood (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .060 against righties this year. Ben Rice (NYY) — lefty bat vs RHP, .070 against righties this year. Brandon Lowe (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .062 against righties this year.

How is the home runs matchup score calculated?

It starts with his home-run rate per trip against that hand, weighted to recent form, then a two-year baseline so a hot fortnight doesn't run away with it. Then the arm's fly-ball tendencies, the bullpen, and the park and wind. Scores run 0–100 across the slate.

What does HR/PA mean?

It's the share of a hitter's plate appearances that end in a home run. Around .030 (3%) is league average. Elite power runs .065+. We measure it per trip to the plate, which is what a daily matchup comes down to.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better. But read this board knowing home runs are the rarest thing on the site: a 95 is a great spot, not a likely event. It ranks today's spots against each other — nobody's projected to go deep more often than not.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a home run.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Power splits are sharper than contact splits. A lefty bat vs. a righty arm gets the pull-side dimensions and the breaking ball spinning into the barrel instead of away from it — that's the platoon split doing its loudest work. Same hitter, same swing, very different odds of one leaving.

What are park factors?

This is the board where the yard matters most. Dimensions, altitude, and a warm wind out can swing a fly ball from a track-out to a souvenir. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it — the same bat grades higher in Denver than in Detroit, and it should.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a home run in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for home runs props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ home run" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against the box score. Home runs are rare enough that the honest measure is rate over a season, not a week — the top of this board goes deep meaningfully more often than the slate, and you can check any past date to see it.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB home runs matchups — Saturday, June 13, 2026

Every slugger on the Saturday, June 13, 2026 slate — ranked by who's most likely to hit a home run. Results show how each call played out.

Get notified on every DINGER today. Distance, exit velo, and launch angle the moment anyone goes yard — turn on live HR alerts.

How the model did — Saturday, June 13, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 1/5 (20%) on 1+ home run, against 22% on the season.

Top 5

1/520%

season 22%

Top 10

2/1020%

season 22%

Full slate

39/27014%

season 11%

Top call Shohei Ohtani came through. Shea Langeliers didn't.

Each slugger below carries a 0–100 matchup score — a read on the spot in front of him, not a ranking of how good he is, so a star in a brutal matchup can sit below an average slugger in a soft one. Confidence next to it is coverage: how much real data backs the number. Every call here was graded against the box score — wins and misses both, with the record on this page. How this board is built →

Final · 9–6

STLaway

MINhomeTop matchup53 Final · 3–1

NYYaway

TORhomeTop matchup61 Final · 3–8

SEAaway

WSHhomeTop matchup68 Final · 2–3

MIAaway

PIThomeTop matchup59 Final · 9–3

SDaway

BALhomeTop matchup58 Final · 1–2

AZaway

CINhomeTop matchup52 Final · 1–3

DETaway

CLEhomeTop matchup38 Final · 3–6

TEXaway

BOShomeTop matchup38 Final · 3–1

ATLaway

NYMhomeTop matchup47 Final · 7–1

LADaway

CWShomeTop matchup100 Final · 8–7

HOUaway

KChomeTop matchup53 Final · 9–8

PHIaway

MILhomeTop matchup63 Final · 6–1

CHCaway

SFhomeTop matchup48 Final · 5–7

COLaway

ATHhomeTop matchup74 Final · 0–8

TBaway

LAAhomeTop matchup51

Not starting74 not in the official lineup — moved to the bottom

PosSort

#Hitter · Matchup · 344 shownScore

40 with a HRMost recent first — newest homer up top

1
Jose SiriCF
LAAvsTB· 1-for-2
1HRFinal
Proj 0.1 HR
2
Ian HappLF
CHC@SF· 1-for-5
1HRFinal
Proj 0.2 HR, #19
3
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
CHC@SF· 3-for-5
1HRFinal
Proj 0.2 HR, #29
4
Brett SullivanC
COL@ATH· 1-for-3
1HRFinal
Proj 0.2 HR, #110
5
Pedro Ramírez2B
CHC@SF· 2-for-5
1HRFinal
Proj 0.1 HR, #167
6
Zack Gelof3B
ATHvsCOL· 2-for-4
1HRFinal
Proj 0.1 HR, #168
7
Jackson ChourioLF
MILvsPHI· 4-for-5
2HRFinal
Proj 0.2 HR, #38
8
Edmundo SosaLF
PHI@MIL· 3-for-4
1HRFinal
Proj 0.1 HR, #137
9
Garrett MitchellCF
MILvsPHI· 2-for-5
1HRFinal
Proj 0.1 HR, #155
10
Christian Walker1B
HOU@KC· 1-for-5
1HRFinal
Proj 0.1 HR, #162
11
Jose Altuve2B
HOU@KC· 2-for-4
1HRFinal
Proj 0.1 HR, #193
12
Brice MatthewsCF
HOU@KC· 2-for-4
1HRFinal
Proj 0.1 HR, #217
13
J.T. RealmutoC
PHI@MIL· 3-for-4
1HRFinal
Proj 0.1 HR, #227
14
Jake MeyersCF
HOU@KC· 2-for-4
1HRFinal
Proj 0.1 HR, #228
15
Lane ThomasLF
KCvsHOU· 1-for-3
1HRFinal
Proj 0.1 HR, #231
16
Max Muncy3B
LAD@CWS· 3-for-3
2HRFinal
Proj 0.2 HR, #15
17
Shohei OhtaniTWP
LAD@CWS· 1-for-3
1HRFinal
Proj 0.4 HR, #1
18
Tristan PetersCF
CWSvsLAD· 1-for-3
1HRFinal
Proj 0.1 HR, #241
19
Jake Burger1B
TEX@BOS· 1-for-3
1HRFinal
Proj 0.2 HR, #47
20
Jarren DuranLF
BOSvsTEX· 1-for-4
1HRFinal
Proj 0.2 HR, #78
21
Michael Harris IICF
ATL@NYM· 1-for-4
1HRFinal
Proj 0.2 HR, #80
22
Eli WhiteRF
ATL@NYM· 3-for-4
1HRFinal
Proj 0.1 HR, #130
23
Corbin CarrollRF
AZ@CIN· 2-for-5
1HRFinal
Proj 0.2 HR, #14
24
Noelvi MarteRF
CINvsAZ· 1-for-3
1HRFinal
Proj 0.1 HR, #173
25
Pete Alonso1B
BALvsSD· 3-for-5
1HRFinal
Proj 0.3 HR, #8
26
Luis García Jr.1B
WSHvsSEA· 1-for-3
1HRFinal
Proj 0.2 HR, #36
27
Jackson MerrillCF
SD@BAL· 1-for-4
1HRFinal
Proj 0.2 HR, #73
28
Gavin Sheets1B
SD@BAL· 1-for-4
1HRFinal
Proj 0.2 HR, #77
29
Manny Machado3B
SD@BAL· 1-for-5
1HRFinal
Proj 0.2 HR, #79
30
Colt EmersonSS
SEA@WSH· 1-for-4
1HRFinal
Proj 0.2 HR, #113
31
Samad TaylorLF
SD@BAL· 3-for-5
1HRFinal
Proj 0.1 HR, #136
32
Kazuma Okamoto3B
TORvsNYY· 1-for-3
1HRFinal
Proj 0.2 HR, #54
33
Jasson DomínguezRF
NYY@TOR· 1-for-4
1HRFinal
Proj 0.2 HR, #83
34
Paul Goldschmidt1B
NYY@TOR· 1-for-4
1HRFinal
Proj 0.1 HR, #124
35
Iván HerreraDH
STL@MIN· 2-for-3
2HRFinal
Proj 0.2 HR, #24
36
Jordan WalkerRF
STL@MIN· 1-for-5
1HRFinal
Proj 0.2 HR, #13
37
Byron BuxtonCF
MINvsSTL· 2-for-4
1HRFinal
Proj 0.2 HR, #37
38
Royce Lewis1B
MINvsSTL· 2-for-4
1HRFinal
Proj 0.2 HR, #81
39
Blaze Jordan3B
STL@MIN· 2-for-4
1HRFinal
Proj 0.1 HR, #146
40
Luke Keaschall2B
MINvsSTL· 1-for-4
1HRFinal
Proj 0.1 HR, #244

Best MLB Home Runs Matchups — Saturday, June 13, 2026

Shohei Ohtani (LAD) is the top home runs matchup on the Saturday, June 13, 2026 board at 100, with Shea Langeliers (ATH) and Hunter Goodman (COL) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by who's most likely to hit a home run — power, the park, handedness splits, and how this arm gives up the long ball. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top home runs spot: Shohei Ohtani

Shohei Ohtani (LAD) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Sean Burke. The lefty is going deep on .037 HR/PA against righties this year — and .050 over the last two weeks, real bat that turns into a home run in about 5% of his trips. And Sean Burke has been homer-prone to righties lately — .040 home runs per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Sean Burke too — .333 across 3 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.

The rest of the top of the board

Shea Langeliers (ATH) (74) vs LHP Kyle Freeland: big-time bat at .050 into an arm keeping the ball in the park against the same side (.024), hot bat.
Hunter Goodman (COL) (70) vs RHP Joey Estes: big-time bat at .050 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
James Wood (WSH) (68) vs RHP Luis Castillo: real bat at .041 into an arm homer-prone to the same side (.042).
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) (63) vs LHP Shane Drohan: real bat at .049 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Ben Rice (NYY) (61) vs RHP Kevin Gausman: real bat at .044 into an arm getting taken deep by the same side (.071).
Brandon Lowe (PIT) (59) vs RHP Lake Bachar: real bat at .046 into an arm homer-prone to the same side (.045).
Pete Alonso (BAL) (58) vs RHP Randy Vásquez: real bat at .045 into an arm getting taken deep by the same side (.071).

Platoon edges to target

Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .037 against righties this year.
Shea Langeliers (ATH) — righty bat vs LHP, .096 against lefties this year.
James Wood (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .060 against righties this year.
Ben Rice (NYY) — lefty bat vs RHP, .070 against righties this year.
Brandon Lowe (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .062 against righties this year.

How it played out

2 of the top 10 home runs matchups landed at least one home run. Top play Shohei Ohtani finished with 1 home run. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these home runs matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's home runs per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

What the home runs board is

The Home Runs board projects the chance a hitter goes deep, park and matchup baked in. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

The hitter's power vs the pitcher's hand.
The park's home-run environment and the wind.
How hard and how often he hits it in the air.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Home runs is one of the most efficiently priced props in the sport — every config we've backtested loses to the line, and our disagreements point away from the book's mistakes, not toward them. So HR is a transparency board: our projection, graded, no play attached. The honest read is the book is simply sharper here.

How to use it

Read it for who's in a live spot to run into one — but don't bet our number against the line; there's no edge to press.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best home runs matchup today (Saturday, June 13, 2026)?: Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Sean Burke. Real bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB home runs matchups today (Saturday, June 13, 2026)?: The top home runs matchups on Saturday, June 13, 2026: Shohei Ohtani (100), Shea Langeliers (74), Hunter Goodman (70), James Wood (68), Kyle Schwarber (63). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by home runs upside.
Did the top home runs matchup get a home run on Saturday, June 13, 2026?: Yes — Shohei Ohtani got 1 home run.
Which hitters have a platoon edge today?: Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .037 against righties this year. Shea Langeliers (ATH) — righty bat vs LHP, .096 against lefties this year. James Wood (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .060 against righties this year. Ben Rice (NYY) — lefty bat vs RHP, .070 against righties this year. Brandon Lowe (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .062 against righties this year.
How is the home runs matchup score calculated?: It starts with his home-run rate per trip against that hand, weighted to recent form, then a two-year baseline so a hot fortnight doesn't run away with it. Then the arm's fly-ball tendencies, the bullpen, and the park and wind. Scores run 0–100 across the slate.
What does HR/PA mean?: It's the share of a hitter's plate appearances that end in a home run. Around .030 (3%) is league average. Elite power runs .065+. We measure it per trip to the plate, which is what a daily matchup comes down to.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better. But read this board knowing home runs are the rarest thing on the site: a 95 is a great spot, not a likely event. It ranks today's spots against each other — nobody's projected to go deep more often than not.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a home run.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Power splits are sharper than contact splits. A lefty bat vs. a righty arm gets the pull-side dimensions and the breaking ball spinning into the barrel instead of away from it — that's the platoon split doing its loudest work. Same hitter, same swing, very different odds of one leaving.
What are park factors?: This is the board where the yard matters most. Dimensions, altitude, and a warm wind out can swing a fly ball from a track-out to a souvenir. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it — the same bat grades higher in Denver than in Detroit, and it should.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a home run in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for home runs props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ home run" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against the box score. Home runs are rare enough that the honest measure is rate over a season, not a week — the top of this board goes deep meaningfully more often than the slate, and you can check any past date to see it.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.