MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Saturday, July 4, 2026

BAL @ CIN Home Runs matchups · Saturday, July 4, 2026

BAL
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
vs
7:10 PM EDT
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
CIN
Great American Ball ParkElevation 535 ftCenter Field 404 ft

BAL BAL Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from BAL's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.037294 BF
wOBA allowed.265
Hard-Hit %44%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.021326 BF
wOBA allowed.229
Hard-Hit %18%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02540 PA
Season.035285 PA
Last 2 Years.033968 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs WSH0
Jun 29vs CWS0
Jun 30vs CWS0
Jul 1vs CWS0
Jul 3@ CIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.037294 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.047236 PA
Season.0401167 PA
Last 2 Years.0313050 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.334
Hard-Hit %41%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.273
Hard-Hit % Allowed42%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head4-for-4

Home Runs1 in 5 PA
Career Average.800
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB1 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.201

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Gunnar Henderson's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.032155 PA
Last 2 Years.026621 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 18@ SEA0
Jun 28vs WSH0
Jun 29vs CWS0
Jul 1vs CWS0
Jul 3@ CIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.037294 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.047236 PA
Season.0401167 PA
Last 2 Years.0313050 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.304
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.273
Hard-Hit % Allowed42%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-3

Home Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.126

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Adley Rutschman's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02441 PA
Season.010297 PA
Last 2 Years.0381100 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs WSH0
Jun 29vs CWS0
Jun 30vs CWS0
Jul 1vs CWS0
Jul 3@ CIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.021326 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.036219 PA
Season.0301275 PA
Last 2 Years.0314210 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.240
Hard-Hit % Allowed20%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.138

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Taylor Ward's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.055

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07739 PA
Season.058274 PA
Last 2 Years.0561029 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs WSH1
Jun 29vs CWS0
Jun 30vs CWS0
Jul 1vs CWS0
Jul 3@ CIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.021326 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.036219 PA
Season.0301275 PA
Last 2 Years.0314210 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.374
Hard-Hit %43%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.240
Hard-Hit % Allowed20%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-11

Home Runs2 in 15 PA
Career Average.133
Plate Appearances15
HR · K · BB2 · 3 · 4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.317

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Pete Alonso's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.046

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05934 PA
Season.053206 PA
Last 2 Years.047299 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27vs WSH0
Jun 28vs WSH0
Jun 29vs CWS0
Jun 30vs CWS0
Jul 3@ CIN1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.037294 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.047236 PA
Season.0401167 PA
Last 2 Years.0313050 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.335
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.273
Hard-Hit % Allowed42%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.205

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Samuel Basallo's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.018109 PA
Last 2 Years.023221 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

May 10vs ATH0
Jun 28vs WSH0
Jun 29vs CWS0
Jun 30vs CWS0
Jul 3@ CIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.037294 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.047236 PA
Season.0401167 PA
Last 2 Years.0313050 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.273
Hard-Hit % Allowed42%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.109

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Dylan Beavers's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA
Season.043186 PA
Last 2 Years.045673 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs WSH0
Jun 29vs CWS0
Jun 30vs CWS0
Jul 1vs CWS0
Jul 3@ CIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.037294 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.047236 PA
Season.0401167 PA
Last 2 Years.0313050 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.273
Hard-Hit % Allowed42%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.18

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Colton Cowser's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA
Season.014144 PA
Last 2 Years.021335 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs WSH0
Jun 29vs CWS0
Jun 30vs CWS0
Jul 1vs CWS0
Jul 3@ CIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.021326 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.036219 PA
Season.0301275 PA
Last 2 Years.0314210 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.337
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.240
Hard-Hit % Allowed20%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-4

Home Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.106

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Blaze Alexander's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.04296 PA
Last 2 Years.030697 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs WSH1
Jun 29vs CWS0
Jun 30vs CWS0
Jul 1vs CWS0
Jul 3@ CIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.037294 PA

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.047236 PA
Season.0401167 PA
Last 2 Years.0313050 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.273
Hard-Hit % Allowed42%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.12

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jackson Holliday's full player page →

CIN CIN Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from CIN's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02935 BF
Season.026191 BF
Last 2 Years.033335 BF
wOBA allowed.300
Hard-Hit %38%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 BF
Season.017120 BF
Last 2 Years.035232 BF
wOBA allowed.293
Hard-Hit %35%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.033211 PA
Last 2 Years.034944 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29@ MIL1
Jun 30@ MIL0
Jul 1@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL0
Jul 3vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02935 PA
Season.026191 PA
Last 2 Years.033335 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–2
ERA3.11
WHIP1.30
IP72.1
H / K / BB67 / 57 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027184 PA
Season.0301119 PA
Last 2 Years.0323022 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.339
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.330
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.2

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Elly De La Cruz's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07739 PA
Season.043281 PA
Last 2 Years.048332 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29@ MIL0
Jun 30@ MIL1
Jul 1@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL1
Jul 3vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.017120 PA
Last 2 Years.035232 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–2
ERA3.11
WHIP1.30
IP72.1
H / K / BB67 / 57 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.007150 PA
Season.0261035 PA
Last 2 Years.0263373 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.336
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.308
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.23

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Sal Stewart's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06531 PA
Season.033241 PA
Last 2 Years.036917 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ PIT0
Jun 29@ MIL0
Jul 1@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL0
Jul 3vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.017120 PA
Last 2 Years.035232 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–2
ERA3.11
WHIP1.30
IP72.1
H / K / BB67 / 57 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.007150 PA
Season.0261035 PA
Last 2 Years.0263373 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.300
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.308
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.139

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Spencer Steer's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.048

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA
Season.028178 PA
Last 2 Years.064874 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ PIT0
Jun 30@ MIL0
Jul 1@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL0
Jul 3vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.017120 PA
Last 2 Years.035232 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–2
ERA3.11
WHIP1.30
IP72.1
H / K / BB67 / 57 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.007150 PA
Season.0261035 PA
Last 2 Years.0263373 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.308
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.192

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Eugenio Suárez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA
Season.02386 PA
Last 2 Years.034523 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29@ MIL0
Jun 30@ MIL0
Jul 1@ MIL1
Jul 2@ MIL0
Jul 3vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.017120 PA
Last 2 Years.035232 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–2
ERA3.11
WHIP1.30
IP72.1
H / K / BB67 / 57 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.007150 PA
Season.0261035 PA
Last 2 Years.0263373 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.298
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.308
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.128

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Noelvi Marte's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.9× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA
Season.056178 PA
Last 2 Years.039685 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29@ MIL0
Jun 30@ MIL0
Jul 1@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL0
Jul 3vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02935 PA
Season.026191 PA
Last 2 Years.033335 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–2
ERA3.11
WHIP1.30
IP72.1
H / K / BB67 / 57 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027184 PA
Season.0301119 PA
Last 2 Years.0323022 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.334
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.330
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.158

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

JJ Bleday's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.033181 PA
Last 2 Years.037667 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26@ PIT0
Jun 28@ PIT0
Jun 29@ MIL0
Jul 1@ MIL0
Jul 3vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.017120 PA
Last 2 Years.035232 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–2
ERA3.11
WHIP1.30
IP72.1
H / K / BB67 / 57 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.007150 PA
Season.0261035 PA
Last 2 Years.0263373 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.308
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.166

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Tyler Stephenson's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.022231 PA
Last 2 Years.025677 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29@ MIL0
Jun 30@ MIL0
Jul 1@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL0
Jul 3vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.017120 PA
Last 2 Years.035232 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–2
ERA3.11
WHIP1.30
IP72.1
H / K / BB67 / 57 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.007150 PA
Season.0261035 PA
Last 2 Years.0263373 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.279
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.308
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.089

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Matt McLain's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29@ MIL0
Jun 30@ MIL0
Jul 1@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL0
Jul 3vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02935 PA
Season.026191 PA
Last 2 Years.033335 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–2
ERA3.11
WHIP1.30
IP72.1
H / K / BB67 / 57 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027184 PA
Season.0301119 PA
Last 2 Years.0323022 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.330
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.125

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Edwin Arroyo's full player page →