MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · C · Baltimore Orioles

Adley Rutschman

Adley Rutschman — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: total bases at 65.4/100.

Today's top board
65.4
Total Bases · @ CIN
Our calls on him · hits
50%
record builds as games settle
Games graded
57
this season, box-score final
Adley Rutschman
CBats SThrows RBaltimore Orioles
Total Bases65.4/100proj 1.8#16Runs62.9/100proj 0.5#32Hits56.5/100proj 1.1#45RBIs56/100proj 0.5#65H+R+RBI55.6/100proj 1.9#51Fantasy Points48.9/100proj 7.1#57Stolen Bases28.6/100proj 0.1#58Home Runs26.8/100proj 0.1#108Walks20.5/100proj 0.3#147

Today's matchup

Adley is at Cincinnati Reds on the Friday, July 3, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — total bases (65.4/100, #16), runs (62.9/100, #32), hits (56.5/100, #45), rbis (56/100, #65). We project Adley for 1.8 on the total bases board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Over his last 5 games, Adley is 2-for-17 (.118). The full log's below.

How the model reads him

Adley's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Wednesday, July 1vs CWS41001
Monday, June 29vs CWS20002
Sunday, June 28vs WSH31010
Thursday, June 18@ SEA40000
Wednesday, June 17@ SEA40000
Tuesday, June 16@ SEA41000
Sunday, June 14vs SD40000
Friday, June 12vs SD20001
Thursday, June 11vs SEA32013
Sunday, June 7@ TOR41000
Saturday, June 6@ TOR40000
Friday, June 5@ TOR44145

Adley Rutschman — FAQ

Who is Adley Rutschman facing today?

Adley Rutschman is facing Cincinnati Reds on Friday, July 3, 2026. His best matchup grades 65.4/100 on our total bases board.

What's Adley Rutschman's projection today?

We project Adley for 1.8 on the total bases board (away vs CIN). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).