Today's matchup
Adley is hosting San Francisco Giants on the Sunday, August 23, 2026 slate. He shows up on 12 boards — singles (51.2/100), runs (47.9/100), h+r+rbi (43/100), total bases (42.8/100). We've got him at 0.6 on the singles board. Open any board row for the full breakdown of what's driving it.
He's in a cold stretch
Adley is 6-for-35 (.171) across his last 10 games, down from .240 on the season. Slumps this size are mostly noise at this sample — 35 at-bats is a fortnight, not a trend — and the model treats it that way, discounting the cold run rather than writing him off. If the matchup underneath is good, he'll still grade well here. That's a feature, and sometimes it's wrong.
What kind of hitter he is
Adley has 9 home runs and 30 extra-base hits in 283 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.
He bats from both sides
Adley is a switch-hitter, which changes how the model reads every one of his matchups. Most hitters carry a real platoon penalty — a lefty bat facing a good lefty arm is a materially worse spot, and the score drops accordingly. Adley takes the favourable side almost every night, so he doesn't collect that penalty. What moves his number instead is the quality of the arm rather than its handedness, and how the two sides of his own swing actually compare, which is rarely as balanced as the switch-hitter label suggests.
Floor and ceiling
Adley has recorded at least one hit in 44 of 78 games he's batted in — 56% — with 19 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.
Home and away
Adley is hitting .272 at home (40-for-147) and .206 on the road (28-for-136) across the season. That's a real-looking split, and it's the kind of thing that's usually part park and part noise. The model doesn't apply a blanket home-road adjustment — it prices the actual ballpark he's standing in, which is the part that carries signal.
His best game in the log
Adley's biggest night was Tuesday, August 18, 2026 against AZ — 2-for-4 with 1 homer, 3 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.
No graded record on him yet
We haven't ranked Adley a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — 4 times so far. He's appeared in 78 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.
Where he lands across our boards
Adley was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: singles graded 51.2/100 while stolen bases came in at 1.8/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.
How the model reads him
Take the name off Adley and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.
What we'd flag
Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes. For Adley specifically, we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.