Today's matchup
Today it's Tampa Bay Rays for Dylan, at home. He shows up on 12 boards — total bases (57.4/100, #72), runs (44.2/100, #160), doubles (39/100, #70), fantasy points (36/100, #129). We've got him at 1.6 on the total bases board. Open any board row for the full breakdown of what's driving it.
Recent form
Dylan is 6-for-23 (.261) over his last 10 games, in line with his .259 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.
What kind of hitter he is
Dylan strikes out a lot — 58 strikeouts in 193 at-bats, roughly 30%. That cuts both ways in our numbers. It drags his floor on the hits board, since he needs contact to get there. But it barely dents the power boards, where one swing settles it — he's got 6 homers. Against a high-strikeout arm his score will fall further than a contact hitter's would.
He's a left-handed bat
Dylan hits from the left side, and that's the first thing the model looks at. Left-handed hitters see right-handed pitching most nights, which is the favourable side — so a lefty bat's baseline is set against righties, and drawing a left-handed starter is a genuine downgrade rather than a rounding error. When you see his score fall on a day he's still in the lineup, an opposing lefty is usually why. Handedness also shapes the park read: pull-side geometry matters more for a left-handed swing than the raw park factor suggests.
Floor and ceiling
Dylan has recorded at least one hit in 36 of 62 games he's batted in — 58% — with 12 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.
Home and away
Dylan is hitting .284 at home (27-for-95) and .235 on the road (23-for-98) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.
Against Tampa Bay Rays
Dylan is 4-for-14 (.286) against Tampa Bay Rays in our log, over 6 games. Worth knowing, worth not over-reading. 14 at-bats against one club is a tiny sample, and the model treats it as a minor input next to what that pitching staff actually allows to his handedness. Batter-versus-pitcher history is the most quoted number in baseball and one of the least predictive.
No graded record on him yet
We haven't ranked Dylan a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — 3 times so far. He's appeared in 65 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.
Where he lands across our boards
Dylan was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: total bases graded 57.4/100 while triples came in at 6.3/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.
How the model reads him
Dylan's score rates the spot in front of him, not the name on the jersey. It weighs his rates against the kind of arm he's facing — handedness matters a lot — set against what that pitcher and his bullpen give up, then adjusts for expected playing time, park, weather, and recent form, normalized 0–100 across the slate. The weighting is proprietary and re-tuned weekly; the grading is public, and that's the half that proves anything.
What we'd flag
Books don't price every player — coverage tops out around 87% even for confirmed starters, so "no line" here usually means no book posted one rather than a gap in our data. Lineups change late, and an afternoon projection can be stale by first pitch. And the model is tuned across hundreds of graded outcomes, so one game tells you nothing about whether it's working. For Dylan specifically, we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.