MatchWiz

Dylan Beavers

Dylan Beavers — hitting .239 in our graded log with 9 home runs. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
64.9
Walks · @ NYY · 2026-09-27
Our calls on him · hits
78%
1+ hit in 7/9 top-20 calls
Games graded
93
this season, box-score final
Dylan Beavers
LFBats LThrows RBaltimore Orioles
Walks64.9/100proj 0.4#20Singles54.6/100proj 0.6#111Hits49.6/100proj 1#116Fantasy Points49.5/100proj 6.8#84H+R+RBI48.9/100proj 1.7#106RBIs48.2/100proj 0.5#93Runs45.4/100proj 0.5#90Total Bases44/100proj 1.7#62Doubles42.3/100proj 0.2#57Home Runs22.6/100proj 0.1#146Stolen Bases12.6/100proj 0.1#135Triples11.8/100proj 0#74

Last scored matchup

Dylan isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 11 days ago, away at New York Yankees on Sunday, September 27, 2026, where he landed on walks (64.9/100), singles (54.6/100), hits (49.6/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

He's in a cold stretch

Dylan is 4-for-39 (.103) across his last 10 games, down from .239 on the season. Slumps this size are mostly noise at this sample — 39 at-bats is a fortnight, not a trend — and the model treats it that way, discounting the cold run rather than writing him off. If the matchup underneath is good, he'll still grade well here. That's a feature, and sometimes it's wrong.

What kind of hitter he is

Dylan has 9 home runs and 27 extra-base hits in 297 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a left-handed bat

Dylan hits from the left side, and that's the first thing the model looks at. Left-handed hitters see right-handed pitching most nights, which is the favourable side — so a lefty bat's baseline is set against righties, and drawing a left-handed starter is a genuine downgrade rather than a rounding error. When you see his score fall on a day he's still in the lineup, an opposing lefty is usually why. Handedness also shapes the park read: pull-side geometry matters more for a left-handed swing than the raw park factor suggests.

Floor and ceiling

Dylan has recorded at least one hit in 52 of 90 games he's batted in — 58% — with 17 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Dylan is hitting .243 at home (33-for-136) and .236 on the road (38-for-161) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

How our calls on Dylan have graded

In the 9 games where we ranked Dylan a top-20 hitter matchup, he recorded a hit 7 times — 78%. That's a thin sample and we'd treat it as such. Every one of those calls was graded against the real box score, misses included.

Where he lands across our boards

Dylan was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: walks graded 64.9/100 while triples came in at 11.8/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Dylan's score rates the spot in front of him, not the name on the jersey. It weighs his rates against the kind of arm he's facing — handedness matters a lot — set against what that pitcher and his bullpen give up, then adjusts for expected playing time, park, weather, and recent form, normalized 0–100 across the slate. The weighting is proprietary and re-tuned weekly; the grading is public, and that's the half that proves anything.

What we'd flag

Books don't price every player — coverage tops out around 87% even for confirmed starters, so "no line" here usually means no book posted one rather than a gap in our data. Lineups change late, and an afternoon projection can be stale by first pitch. And the model is tuned across hundreds of graded outcomes, so one game tells you nothing about whether it's working.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Friday, September 25@ NYY51111
Friday, September 25@ NYY41124
Wednesday, September 23vs TOR40000
Wednesday, September 23vs TOR31010
Monday, September 21vs TOR40000
Sunday, September 20vs MIL40000
Friday, September 18vs MIL51010
Wednesday, September 16@ NYM40000
Tuesday, September 15@ NYM10010
Monday, September 14@ NYM50000
Sunday, September 13@ TOR42010
Saturday, September 12@ TOR50000

Dylan Beavers — FAQ

Is Dylan Beavers playing today?

Dylan Beavers isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Sunday, September 27, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Dylan Beavers graded?

In the 9 games where our model ranked Dylan a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 7 times — 78%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Dylan Beavers been hitting lately?

Dylan is 4-for-39 (.103) over his last 10 games, against .239 on the season across 297 at-bats in our log, with 9 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Dylan Beavers appear on?

Dylan was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — walks, singles, hits, fantasy points, h+r+rbi. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Dylan Beavers's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).