MatchWiz

Blaze Alexander

Blaze Alexander — hitting .317 in our graded log with 4 home runs. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
54.6
Singles · vs CLE · 2026-09-09
Our calls on him · hits
83%
1+ hit in 5/6 top-20 calls
Games graded
87
this season, box-score final
Blaze Alexander
3BBats RThrows RBaltimore Orioles
Singles54.6/100proj 0.6Hits47.1/100proj 1H+R+RBI30.4/100proj 1.6RBIs28/100proj 0.4Walks27.1/100proj 0.3Total Bases24.6/100proj 1.4Stolen Bases22.6/100proj 0.1Fantasy Points22.3/100proj 6Doubles19.1/100proj 0.2Triples18.2/100proj 0Home Runs15.1/100proj 0.1Runs11.1/100proj 0.4

Not on the current slate

Blaze hasn't been scored in 29 days — his last matchup was against Cleveland Guardians on Wednesday, September 9, 2026. A gap that long usually means an injury, a minor-league option, or a roster move rather than a rest day. Everything below is his most recent real production, not a projection.

He's in a cold stretch

Blaze is 9-for-35 (.257) across his last 10 games, down from .317 on the season. Slumps this size are mostly noise at this sample — 35 at-bats is a fortnight, not a trend — and the model treats it that way, discounting the cold run rather than writing him off. If the matchup underneath is good, he'll still grade well here. That's a feature, and sometimes it's wrong.

He's a right-handed bat

Blaze hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Blaze has recorded at least one hit in 48 of 77 games he's batted in — 62% — with 21 multi-hit games among them. That's about average — most regulars land somewhere near it.

Home and away

Blaze is hitting .336 at home (45-for-134) and .296 on the road (34-for-115) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

His best game in the log

Blaze's biggest night was Friday, September 4, 2026 against BOS — 3-for-4. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

How our calls on Blaze have graded

In the 6 games where we ranked Blaze a top-20 hitter matchup, he recorded a hit 5 times — 83%. That's a thin sample and we'd treat it as such. Every one of those calls was graded against the real box score, misses included.

Where he lands across our boards

Blaze was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: singles graded 54.6/100 while runs came in at 11.1/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Take the name off Blaze and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.

What we'd flag

Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Tuesday, September 8vs CLE31010
Monday, September 7vs CLE30001
Sunday, September 6vs BOS40000
Saturday, September 5vs BOS40000
Friday, September 4vs BOS43000
Thursday, September 3vs BOS41010
Wednesday, September 2@ COL53011
Tuesday, September 1@ COL10000
Monday, August 31@ COL30000
Sunday, August 30@ ATH41010
Friday, August 28@ ATH51000
Sunday, July 12vs KC22020

Blaze Alexander — FAQ

Is Blaze Alexander playing today?

Blaze Alexander isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Wednesday, September 9, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Blaze Alexander graded?

In the 6 games where our model ranked Blaze a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 5 times — 83%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Blaze Alexander been hitting lately?

Blaze is 9-for-35 (.257) over his last 10 games, against .317 on the season across 249 at-bats in our log, with 4 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Blaze Alexander appear on?

Blaze was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — singles, hits, h+r+rbi, rbis, walks. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Blaze Alexander's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).