MatchWiz

Pete Alonso

Pete Alonso — our top-20 calls on him have hit 70% this season. His matchups, projections, and the full graded record.

Last scored board
84
RBIs · @ NYY · 2026-09-27
Our calls on him · hits
70%
1+ hit in 16/23 top-20 calls
Games graded
159
this season, box-score final
Pete Alonso
1BBats RThrows RBaltimore Orioles
RBIs84/100proj 0.6#6Home Runs77/100proj 0.4#4H+R+RBI71.7/100proj 2#17Fantasy Points68.8/100proj 7.6#24Hits63.4/100proj 1.1#54Runs56.7/100proj 0.6#41Total Bases56.4/100proj 1.8#14Walks49.2/100proj 0.4#56Singles47.9/100proj 0.6#137Doubles25.4/100proj 0.2#181Stolen Bases8.1/100proj 0#194Triples7.1/100proj 0#144

Last scored matchup

Pete isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 12 days ago, away at New York Yankees on Sunday, September 27, 2026, where he landed on rbis (84/100), home runs (77/100), h+r+rbi (71.7/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

Recent form

Pete is 10-for-38 (.263) over his last 10 games, in line with his .268 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Pete has 43 home runs and 67 extra-base hits in 596 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a right-handed bat

Pete hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Pete has recorded at least one hit in 106 of 159 games he's batted in — 67% — with 42 multi-hit games among them. That's about average — most regulars land somewhere near it.

Home and away

Pete is hitting .249 at home (72-for-289) and .287 on the road (88-for-307) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

His best game in the log

Pete's biggest night was Friday, September 25, 2026 at NYY — 3-for-5 with 2 homers, 3 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

How our calls on Pete have graded

We've ranked Pete a top-20 hitter matchup 23 times this season. He got a hit in 16 of them — 70%. That's the model reading him well, and it's the number we'd point to if you asked why we keep ranking him. It's also a season-sized sample on one player, which is smaller than it sounds; don't extrapolate it into a promise about tonight.

Where he lands across our boards

Pete was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: rbis graded 84/100 while triples came in at 7.1/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Take the name off Pete and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.

What we'd flag

Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Friday, September 25@ NYY31020
Friday, September 25@ NYY53223
Wednesday, September 23vs TOR30010
Wednesday, September 23vs TOR31112
Monday, September 21vs TOR42223
Sunday, September 20vs MIL40000
Saturday, September 19vs MIL30000
Friday, September 18vs MIL41113
Wednesday, September 16@ NYM41111
Tuesday, September 15@ NYM51111
Monday, September 14@ NYM30000
Sunday, September 13@ TOR53001

Pete Alonso — FAQ

Is Pete Alonso playing today?

Pete Alonso isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Sunday, September 27, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Pete Alonso graded?

In the 23 games where our model ranked Pete a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 16 times — 70%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Pete Alonso been hitting lately?

Pete is 10-for-38 (.263) over his last 10 games, against .268 on the season across 596 at-bats in our log, with 43 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Pete Alonso appear on?

Pete was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — rbis, home runs, h+r+rbi, fantasy points, hits. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Pete Alonso's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).