MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · 1B · Baltimore Orioles

Pete Alonso

Pete Alonso — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: rbis at 87.3/100.

Today's top board
87.3
RBIs · @ CIN
Our calls on him · hits
75%
record builds as games settle
Games graded
87
this season, box-score final
Pete Alonso
1BBats RThrows RBaltimore Orioles
RBIs87.3/100proj 0.7#5Home Runs79.8/100proj 0.4#10Walks78.2/100proj 0.8#7Fantasy Points72.5/100proj 8.2#9H+R+RBI66.6/100proj 2#18Hits56.6/100proj 1.1#48Total Bases52.9/100proj 1.7#49Runs49/100proj 0.5#75Stolen Bases27/100proj 0.1#67

Today's matchup

Pete is at Cincinnati Reds on the Friday, July 3, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — rbis (87.3/100, #5), home runs (79.8/100, #10), walks (78.2/100, #7), fantasy points (72.5/100, #9). We project Pete for 0.7 on the rbis board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Over his last 5 games, Pete is 3-for-18 (.167) with 1 homer. The full log's below.

How the model reads him

Pete's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Wednesday, July 1vs CWS30000
Tuesday, June 30vs CWS31001
Monday, June 29vs CWS40000
Sunday, June 28vs WSH41112
Saturday, June 27vs WSH41011
Friday, June 26vs WSH20000
Wednesday, June 24@ LAA43022
Tuesday, June 23@ LAA30000
Monday, June 22@ LAA41011
Sunday, June 21@ LAD32123
Saturday, June 20@ LAD30000
Friday, June 19@ LAD41111

Pete Alonso — FAQ

Who is Pete Alonso facing today?

Pete Alonso is facing Cincinnati Reds on Friday, July 3, 2026. His best matchup grades 87.3/100 on our rbis board.

What's Pete Alonso's projection today?

We project Pete for 0.7 on the rbis board (away vs CIN). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).