MatchWiz

Gunnar Henderson

Gunnar Henderson — our top-20 calls on him have hit 53% this season. His matchups, projections, and the full graded record.

Last scored board
63.5
Singles · @ NYY · 2026-09-27
Our calls on him · hits
53%
1+ hit in 10/19 top-20 calls
Games graded
152
this season, box-score final
Gunnar Henderson
SSBats LThrows RBaltimore Orioles
Singles63.5/100proj 0.6#66Walks58/100proj 0.4#30Fantasy Points54.2/100proj 7#67Runs52.2/100proj 0.5#57H+R+RBI52/100proj 1.8#89Hits51/100proj 1#107RBIs49.6/100proj 0.5#86Total Bases44.6/100proj 1.7#59Home Runs34.6/100proj 0.2#50Doubles30.9/100proj 0.2#136Stolen Bases17.6/100proj 0.1#87Triples14.4/100proj 0#56

Last scored matchup

Gunnar isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 11 days ago, away at New York Yankees on Sunday, September 27, 2026, where he landed on singles (63.5/100), walks (58/100), fantasy points (54.2/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

Recent form

Gunnar is 11-for-39 (.282) over his last 10 games, in line with his .225 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Gunnar has 21 home runs and 54 extra-base hits in 600 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a left-handed bat

Gunnar hits from the left side, and that's the first thing the model looks at. Left-handed hitters see right-handed pitching most nights, which is the favourable side — so a lefty bat's baseline is set against righties, and drawing a left-handed starter is a genuine downgrade rather than a rounding error. When you see his score fall on a day he's still in the lineup, an opposing lefty is usually why. Handedness also shapes the park read: pull-side geometry matters more for a left-handed swing than the raw park factor suggests.

Floor and ceiling

Gunnar has recorded at least one hit in 89 of 151 games he's batted in — 59% — with 29 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Gunnar is hitting .210 at home (62-for-295) and .239 on the road (73-for-305) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

His best game in the log

Gunnar's biggest night was Monday, September 21, 2026 against TOR — 3-for-4 with 1 homer, 1 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

How our calls on Gunnar have graded

In the 19 games where we ranked Gunnar a top-20 hitter matchup, he recorded a hit 10 times — 53%. Middle of the road, which is what most players look like. Every one of those calls was graded against the real box score, misses included.

Where he lands across our boards

Gunnar was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: singles graded 63.5/100 while triples came in at 14.4/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Gunnar's score rates the spot in front of him, not the name on the jersey. It weighs his rates against the kind of arm he's facing — handedness matters a lot — set against what that pitcher and his bullpen give up, then adjusts for expected playing time, park, weather, and recent form, normalized 0–100 across the slate. The weighting is proprietary and re-tuned weekly; the grading is public, and that's the half that proves anything.

What we'd flag

Books don't price every player — coverage tops out around 87% even for confirmed starters, so "no line" here usually means no book posted one rather than a gap in our data. Lineups change late, and an afternoon projection can be stale by first pitch. And the model is tuned across hundreds of graded outcomes, so one game tells you nothing about whether it's working.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Friday, September 25@ NYY52001
Wednesday, September 23vs TOR20000
Wednesday, September 23vs TOR30000
Monday, September 21vs TOR43111
Sunday, September 20vs MIL30000
Saturday, September 19vs MIL41000
Friday, September 18vs MIL53010
Wednesday, September 16@ NYM40000
Tuesday, September 15@ NYM51000
Monday, September 14@ NYM41111
Sunday, September 13@ TOR21000
Saturday, September 12@ TOR31010

Gunnar Henderson — FAQ

Is Gunnar Henderson playing today?

Gunnar Henderson isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Sunday, September 27, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Gunnar Henderson graded?

In the 19 games where our model ranked Gunnar a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 10 times — 53%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Gunnar Henderson been hitting lately?

Gunnar is 11-for-39 (.282) over his last 10 games, against .225 on the season across 600 at-bats in our log, with 21 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Gunnar Henderson appear on?

Gunnar was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — singles, walks, fantasy points, runs, h+r+rbi. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Gunnar Henderson's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).