MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Sunday, July 5, 2026

BAL @ CIN Home Runs matchups · Sunday, July 5, 2026

BAL
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
vs
1:05 PM EDT
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
CIN
Great American Ball ParkElevation 535 ftCenter Field 404 ft

BAL BAL Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from BAL's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 BF
Season.01662 BF
Last 2 Years.017239 BF
wOBA allowed.407
Hard-Hit %32%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 BF
Season.041169 BF
Last 2 Years.038836 BF
wOBA allowed.348
Hard-Hit %36%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.053114 PA
Last 2 Years.029421 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs CWS0
Jun 30vs CWS0
Jul 1vs CWS0
Jul 3@ CIN0
Jul 4@ CIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.01662 PA
Last 2 Years.017239 PA

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–2
ERA5.05
WHIP1.47
IP51.2
H / K / BB54 / 42 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.048230 PA
Season.0431078 PA
Last 2 Years.0343049 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.305
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.349
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.129

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Gunnar Henderson's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.03585 PA
Last 2 Years.019265 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs WSH0
Jun 29vs CWS0
Jul 1vs CWS0
Jul 3@ CIN0
Jul 4@ CIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA
Season.041169 PA
Last 2 Years.038836 PA

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–2
ERA5.05
WHIP1.47
IP51.2
H / K / BB54 / 42 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.043187 PA
Season.0261067 PA
Last 2 Years.0273615 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.316
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-6

Home Runs0 in 6 PA
Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.11

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Adley Rutschman's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05618 PA
Season.019103 PA
Last 2 Years.035285 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs CWS0
Jun 30vs CWS0
Jul 1vs CWS0
Jul 3@ CIN0
Jul 4@ CIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA
Season.041169 PA
Last 2 Years.038836 PA

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–2
ERA5.05
WHIP1.47
IP51.2
H / K / BB54 / 42 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.043187 PA
Season.0261067 PA
Last 2 Years.0273615 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.357
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.316
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.154

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Taylor Ward's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.028107 PA
Last 2 Years.038393 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs CWS0
Jun 30vs CWS0
Jul 1vs CWS0
Jul 3@ CIN0
Jul 4@ CIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA
Season.041169 PA
Last 2 Years.038836 PA

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–2
ERA5.05
WHIP1.47
IP51.2
H / K / BB54 / 42 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.043187 PA
Season.0261067 PA
Last 2 Years.0273615 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.294
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.316
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-5

Home Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.157

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Pete Alonso's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.01662 PA
Last 2 Years.02387 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs WSH0
Jun 29vs CWS0
Jun 30vs CWS0
Jul 3@ CIN1
Jul 4@ CIN1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.01662 PA
Last 2 Years.017239 PA

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–2
ERA5.05
WHIP1.47
IP51.2
H / K / BB54 / 42 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.048230 PA
Season.0431078 PA
Last 2 Years.0343049 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.268
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.349
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.09

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Samuel Basallo's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.3× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00029 PA
Last 2 Years.030198 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs CWS0
Jun 30vs CWS0
Jul 1vs CWS0
Jul 3@ CIN0
Jul 4@ CIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.01662 PA
Last 2 Years.017239 PA

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–2
ERA5.05
WHIP1.47
IP51.2
H / K / BB54 / 42 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.048230 PA
Season.0431078 PA
Last 2 Years.0343049 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.276
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.349
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.097

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Colton Cowser's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.018

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05618 PA
Season.01281 PA
Last 2 Years.008131 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27vs WSH0
Jun 28vs WSH0
Jun 30vs CWS0
Jul 1vs CWS1
Jul 4@ CIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA
Season.041169 PA
Last 2 Years.038836 PA

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–2
ERA5.05
WHIP1.47
IP51.2
H / K / BB54 / 42 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.043187 PA
Season.0261067 PA
Last 2 Years.0273615 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.276
Hard-Hit %20%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.316
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-1

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.041

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Leody Taveras's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1258 PA
Season.04522 PA
Last 2 Years.025242 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs CWS0
Jun 30vs CWS0
Jul 1vs CWS0
Jul 3@ CIN0
Jul 4@ CIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.01662 PA
Last 2 Years.017239 PA

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–2
ERA5.05
WHIP1.47
IP51.2
H / K / BB54 / 42 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.048230 PA
Season.0431078 PA
Last 2 Years.0343049 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.288
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.349
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.099

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jackson Holliday's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.01471 PA
Last 2 Years.019156 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs CWS0
Jun 30vs CWS0
Jul 1vs CWS0
Jul 3@ CIN0
Jul 4@ CIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA
Season.041169 PA
Last 2 Years.038836 PA

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–2
ERA5.05
WHIP1.47
IP51.2
H / K / BB54 / 42 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.043187 PA
Season.0261067 PA
Last 2 Years.0273615 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.316
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.091

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Blaze Alexander's full player page →

CIN CIN Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from CIN's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 BF
Season.028248 BF
Last 2 Years.028321 BF
wOBA allowed.330
Hard-Hit %30%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 BF
Season.026152 BF
Last 2 Years.024205 BF
wOBA allowed.331
Hard-Hit %34%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.033213 PA
Last 2 Years.034942 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 30@ MIL0
Jul 1@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL0
Jul 3vs BAL0
Jul 4vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.028248 PA
Last 2 Years.028321 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–8
ERA3.77
WHIP1.45
IP93.0
H / K / BB88 / 96 / 47

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033181 PA
Season.0301072 PA
Last 2 Years.0333046 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.337
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.325
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.195

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Elly De La Cruz's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07540 PA
Season.043282 PA
Last 2 Years.048333 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 30@ MIL1
Jul 1@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL1
Jul 3vs BAL0
Jul 4vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA
Season.026152 PA
Last 2 Years.024205 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–8
ERA3.77
WHIP1.45
IP93.0
H / K / BB88 / 96 / 47

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.006156 PA
Season.0241030 PA
Last 2 Years.0263425 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.335
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.227

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Sal Stewart's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.040

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00037 PA
Season.056180 PA
Last 2 Years.040683 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 30@ MIL0
Jul 1@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL0
Jul 3vs BAL0
Jul 4vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.028248 PA
Last 2 Years.028321 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–8
ERA3.77
WHIP1.45
IP93.0
H / K / BB88 / 96 / 47

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033181 PA
Season.0301072 PA
Last 2 Years.0333046 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.335
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.325
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.169

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

JJ Bleday's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.048

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00036 PA
Season.028179 PA
Last 2 Years.064872 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 30@ MIL0
Jul 1@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL0
Jul 3vs BAL0
Jul 4vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA
Season.026152 PA
Last 2 Years.024205 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–8
ERA3.77
WHIP1.45
IP93.0
H / K / BB88 / 96 / 47

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.006156 PA
Season.0241030 PA
Last 2 Years.0263425 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head4-for-8

Home Runs0 in 8 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances8
HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.188

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Eugenio Suárez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00031 PA
Season.047193 PA
Last 2 Years.037881 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27@ PIT0
Jun 28@ PIT0
Jun 30@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL0
Jul 4vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.028248 PA
Last 2 Years.028321 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–8
ERA3.77
WHIP1.45
IP93.0
H / K / BB88 / 96 / 47

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033181 PA
Season.0301072 PA
Last 2 Years.0333046 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.346
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.325
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-9

Home Runs0 in 9 PA
Career Average.222
Plate Appearances9
HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.166

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Nathaniel Lowe's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06332 PA
Season.033242 PA
Last 2 Years.036915 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29@ MIL0
Jul 1@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL0
Jul 3vs BAL0
Jul 4vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA
Season.026152 PA
Last 2 Years.024205 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–8
ERA3.77
WHIP1.45
IP93.0
H / K / BB88 / 96 / 47

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.006156 PA
Season.0241030 PA
Last 2 Years.0263425 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.299
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.128

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Spencer Steer's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05319 PA
Season.02050 PA
Last 2 Years.013301 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 24vs MIL0
Jun 27@ PIT0
Jun 30@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL1
Jul 4vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA
Season.026152 PA
Last 2 Years.024205 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–8
ERA3.77
WHIP1.45
IP93.0
H / K / BB88 / 96 / 47

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.006156 PA
Season.0241030 PA
Last 2 Years.0263425 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.283
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-5

Home Runs1 in 6 PA
Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB1 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.072

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jose Trevino's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08312 PA
Season.018165 PA
Last 2 Years.024836 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29@ MIL0
Jun 30@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL1
Jul 3vs BAL0
Jul 4vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.028248 PA
Last 2 Years.028321 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–8
ERA3.77
WHIP1.45
IP93.0
H / K / BB88 / 96 / 47

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033181 PA
Season.0301072 PA
Last 2 Years.0333046 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %26%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.325
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.072

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

TJ Friedl's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 5 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.022231 PA
Last 2 Years.025677 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 30@ MIL0
Jul 1@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL0
Jul 3vs BAL0
Jul 4vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA
Season.026152 PA
Last 2 Years.024205 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–8
ERA3.77
WHIP1.45
IP93.0
H / K / BB88 / 96 / 47

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.006156 PA
Season.0241030 PA
Last 2 Years.0263425 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.279
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.085

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Matt McLain's full player page →