Today's matchup
Leody is hosting Cleveland Guardians on the Monday, September 7, 2026 slate. He shows up on 12 boards — doubles (28.3/100), walks (24.5/100), singles (24.2/100), runs (17.3/100). We've got him at 0.2 on the doubles board. The model doesn't love the spot — the numbers are below. Open any board row for the full breakdown of what's driving it.
He's in a cold stretch
Leody is 2-for-25 (.080) across his last 10 games, down from .219 on the season. Slumps this size are mostly noise at this sample — 25 at-bats is a fortnight, not a trend — and the model treats it that way, discounting the cold run rather than writing him off. If the matchup underneath is good, he'll still grade well here. That's a feature, and sometimes it's wrong.
What kind of hitter he is
Leody has 8 home runs and 29 extra-base hits in 389 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.
He bats from both sides
Leody is a switch-hitter, which changes how the model reads every one of his matchups. Most hitters carry a real platoon penalty — a lefty bat facing a good lefty arm is a materially worse spot, and the score drops accordingly. Leody takes the favourable side almost every night, so he doesn't collect that penalty. What moves his number instead is the quality of the arm rather than its handedness, and how the two sides of his own swing actually compare, which is rarely as balanced as the switch-hitter label suggests.
Floor and ceiling
Leody has recorded at least one hit in 65 of 117 games he's batted in — 56% — with 20 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.
Home and away
Leody is hitting .212 at home (40-for-189) and .225 on the road (45-for-200) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.
No graded record on him yet
We haven't ranked Leody a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — not once so far. He's appeared in 124 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.
Where he lands across our boards
Leody was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: doubles graded 28.3/100 while triples came in at 2.3/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.
How the model reads him
Take the name off Leody and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.
What we'd flag
Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes. For Leody specifically, we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.