Best MLB RBIs Matchups — Tuesday, June 23, 2026
Top rbis spot: Pete Alonso
Pete Alonso (BAL) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Ryan Johnson. The righty is driving in runs at .171 RBI/PA against righties this year — and .218 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a RBI in about 16% of his trips. And Ryan Johnson has been getting lit up by righties lately — .364 RBIs per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Ryan Johnson. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) (100) vs LHP Sean Sullivan: an elite bat at .165 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park.
- Owen Caissie (MIA) (86) vs RHP Cal Quantrill: an elite bat at .173 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.214).
- Jonathan Aranda (TB) (82) vs RHP Luinder Avila: an excellent bat at .143 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.368), hot bat.
- Kyle Stowers (MIA) (82) vs RHP Cal Quantrill: an excellent bat at .153 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.214).
- Dillon Dingler (DET) (82) vs LHP Carlos Rodón: an elite bat at .171 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.083).
- Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) (80) vs RHP Casey Mize: an elite bat at .176 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.125).
- Andrew Vaughn (MIL) (80) vs LHP Nick Lodolo: an excellent bat at .157 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.154).
Platoon edges to target
- Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) — righty bat vs LHP, .197 against lefties this year.
- Owen Caissie (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .197 against righties this year.
- Jonathan Aranda (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, .197 against righties this year.
- Kyle Stowers (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .127 against righties this year.
- Dillon Dingler (DET) — righty bat vs LHP, .191 against lefties this year.
Best parks to drive in runs today
Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% run-scoring park). Top bat there: Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) at 100.
How it played out
5 of the top 10 rbis matchups landed at least one RBI. Top play Pete Alonso finished with 0 RBIs. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these rbis matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's RBIs per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.