MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Runs · Saturday, July 4, 2026

BAL @ CIN Runs matchups · Saturday, July 4, 2026

BAL
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
vs
7:10 PM EDT
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
CIN
Great American Ball ParkElevation 535 ftCenter Field 404 ft

BAL BAL Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from BAL's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.071294 BF
wOBA allowed.265
Hard-Hit %44%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.061326 BF
wOBA allowed.229
Hard-Hit %18%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.135

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.20040 PA
Season.137285 PA
Last 2 Years.150968 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 28vs WSH0
Jun 29vs CWS1
Jun 30vs CWS2
Jul 1vs CWS1
Jul 3@ CIN1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.087

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.071294 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.118

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.123236 PA
Season.1181167 PA
Last 2 Years.1113050 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.283
Hard-Hit % Allowed40%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head4-for-4

Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.800
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB1 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Runs0.507

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Gunnar Henderson's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.116

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA
Season.123155 PA
Last 2 Years.106621 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 18@ SEA0
Jun 28vs WSH1
Jun 29vs CWS0
Jul 1vs CWS0
Jul 3@ CIN1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.087

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.071294 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.118

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.123236 PA
Season.1181167 PA
Last 2 Years.1113050 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.283
Hard-Hit % Allowed40%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-3

Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 2

Projection

Projected Runs0.468

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Adley Rutschman's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.119

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09841 PA
Season.131297 PA
Last 2 Years.1211100 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 28vs WSH0
Jun 29vs CWS0
Jun 30vs CWS0
Jul 1vs CWS0
Jul 3@ CIN0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.079

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.061326 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.108

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.100219 PA
Season.1061275 PA
Last 2 Years.1104210 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.257
Hard-Hit % Allowed23%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.434

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Taylor Ward's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.131

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15439 PA
Season.150274 PA
Last 2 Years.1371029 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 28vs WSH1
Jun 29vs CWS0
Jun 30vs CWS0
Jul 1vs CWS0
Jul 3@ CIN0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.079

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.061326 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.108

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.100219 PA
Season.1061275 PA
Last 2 Years.1104210 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.356
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.257
Hard-Hit % Allowed23%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-11

Runs0 in 15 PA
Career Average.133
Plate Appearances15
HR · K · BB2 · 3 · 4

Projection

Projected Runs0.439

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Pete Alonso's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.113

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05934 PA
Season.126206 PA
Last 2 Years.107299 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 27vs WSH0
Jun 28vs WSH0
Jun 29vs CWS0
Jun 30vs CWS0
Jul 3@ CIN1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.087

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.071294 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.118

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.123236 PA
Season.1181167 PA
Last 2 Years.1113050 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.332
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.283
Hard-Hit % Allowed40%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.429

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Samuel Basallo's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.120

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1437 PA
Season.128109 PA
Last 2 Years.127221 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

May 10vs ATH1
Jun 28vs WSH0
Jun 29vs CWS0
Jun 30vs CWS1
Jul 3@ CIN0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.087

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.071294 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.118

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.123236 PA
Season.1181167 PA
Last 2 Years.1113050 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.283
Hard-Hit % Allowed40%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.443

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Dylan Beavers's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.123

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11127 PA
Season.140186 PA
Last 2 Years.132673 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 28vs WSH1
Jun 29vs CWS0
Jun 30vs CWS0
Jul 1vs CWS0
Jul 3@ CIN0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.087

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.071294 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.118

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.123236 PA
Season.1181167 PA
Last 2 Years.1113050 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.283
Hard-Hit % Allowed40%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.435

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Colton Cowser's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.120

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13023 PA
Season.132144 PA
Last 2 Years.113335 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 28vs WSH0
Jun 29vs CWS1
Jun 30vs CWS0
Jul 1vs CWS1
Jul 3@ CIN0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.079

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.061326 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.108

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.100219 PA
Season.1061275 PA
Last 2 Years.1104210 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.334
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.257
Hard-Hit % Allowed23%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-4

Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Runs0.394

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Blaze Alexander's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.14696 PA
Last 2 Years.119697 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 28vs WSH1
Jun 29vs CWS0
Jun 30vs CWS0
Jul 1vs CWS1
Jul 3@ CIN0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.087

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.071294 PA

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.118

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.123236 PA
Season.1181167 PA
Last 2 Years.1113050 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.283
Hard-Hit % Allowed40%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.404

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jackson Holliday's full player page →

CIN CIN Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from CIN's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08635 BF
Season.100191 BF
Last 2 Years.113335 BF
wOBA allowed.300
Hard-Hit %38%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 BF
Season.117120 BF
Last 2 Years.160232 BF
wOBA allowed.293
Hard-Hit %35%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.133

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11127 PA
Season.156211 PA
Last 2 Years.163944 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 29@ MIL1
Jun 30@ MIL1
Jul 1@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL0
Jul 3vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.110

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08635 PA
Season.100191 PA
Last 2 Years.113335 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–2
ERA3.11
WHIP1.30
IP72.1
H / K / BB67 / 57 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.120

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.125184 PA
Season.1181119 PA
Last 2 Years.1193022 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.325
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.555

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Elly De La Cruz's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.123

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.12839 PA
Season.128281 PA
Last 2 Years.139332 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 29@ MIL0
Jun 30@ MIL1
Jul 1@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL1
Jul 3vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.118

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.117120 PA
Last 2 Years.160232 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–2
ERA3.11
WHIP1.30
IP72.1
H / K / BB67 / 57 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.105

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.053150 PA
Season.1291035 PA
Last 2 Years.1093373 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.531

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Sal Stewart's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.127

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.16131 PA
Season.141241 PA
Last 2 Years.122917 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 28@ PIT0
Jun 29@ MIL1
Jul 1@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL0
Jul 3vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.118

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.117120 PA
Last 2 Years.160232 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–2
ERA3.11
WHIP1.30
IP72.1
H / K / BB67 / 57 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.105

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.053150 PA
Season.1291035 PA
Last 2 Years.1093373 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.299
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.524

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Spencer Steer's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.109

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05735 PA
Season.084178 PA
Last 2 Years.135874 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 28@ PIT0
Jun 30@ MIL0
Jul 1@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL1
Jul 3vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.118

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.117120 PA
Last 2 Years.160232 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–2
ERA3.11
WHIP1.30
IP72.1
H / K / BB67 / 57 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.105

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.053150 PA
Season.1291035 PA
Last 2 Years.1093373 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.305
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.49

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Eugenio Suárez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.14335 PA
Season.10586 PA
Last 2 Years.111523 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 29@ MIL0
Jun 30@ MIL0
Jul 1@ MIL1
Jul 2@ MIL1
Jul 3vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.118

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.117120 PA
Last 2 Years.160232 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–2
ERA3.11
WHIP1.30
IP72.1
H / K / BB67 / 57 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.105

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.053150 PA
Season.1291035 PA
Last 2 Years.1093373 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.303
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.489

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Noelvi Marte's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.9× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.119

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05735 PA
Season.135178 PA
Last 2 Years.137685 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 29@ MIL0
Jun 30@ MIL0
Jul 1@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL1
Jul 3vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.110

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08635 PA
Season.100191 PA
Last 2 Years.113335 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–2
ERA3.11
WHIP1.30
IP72.1
H / K / BB67 / 57 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.120

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.125184 PA
Season.1181119 PA
Last 2 Years.1193022 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.325
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.47

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

JJ Bleday's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.109

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.14321 PA
Season.072181 PA
Last 2 Years.114667 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 26@ PIT1
Jun 28@ PIT1
Jun 29@ MIL0
Jul 1@ MIL1
Jul 3vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.118

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.117120 PA
Last 2 Years.160232 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–2
ERA3.11
WHIP1.30
IP72.1
H / K / BB67 / 57 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.105

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.053150 PA
Season.1291035 PA
Last 2 Years.1093373 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.326
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.444

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Tyler Stephenson's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.109

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05917 PA
Season.095231 PA
Last 2 Years.115677 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 29@ MIL0
Jun 30@ MIL0
Jul 1@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL1
Jul 3vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.118

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.117120 PA
Last 2 Years.160232 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–2
ERA3.11
WHIP1.30
IP72.1
H / K / BB67 / 57 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.105

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.053150 PA
Season.1291035 PA
Last 2 Years.1093373 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.292
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.433

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Matt McLain's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 29@ MIL1
Jun 30@ MIL0
Jul 1@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL0
Jul 3vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.110

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08635 PA
Season.100191 PA
Last 2 Years.113335 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–2
ERA3.11
WHIP1.30
IP72.1
H / K / BB67 / 57 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.120

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.125184 PA
Season.1181119 PA
Last 2 Years.1193022 PA

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.325
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.439

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Edwin Arroyo's full player page →