Who has the best runs matchup today (Saturday, July 4, 2026)?

Liam Hicks (MIA) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Aaron Civale. A strong bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB runs matchups today (Saturday, July 4, 2026)?

The top runs matchups on Saturday, July 4, 2026: Liam Hicks (100), Brice Turang (99), Trea Turner (98), Trent Grisham (98), Jake Bauers (95). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by runs upside.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

Liam Hicks (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .165 against righties this year. Brice Turang (MIL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .184 against righties this year. Trent Grisham (NYY) — lefty bat vs RHP, .162 against righties this year. Jake Bauers (MIL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .189 against righties this year. Christian Yelich (MIL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .188 against righties this year.

How is the runs matchup score calculated?

It reads how often he scores against that hand, weighted to recent form, then asks how good the bats behind him are at bringing him home. Spot in the order matters more here than almost anywhere. Then the bullpen, park and weather. 0–100 across the slate.

It's the share of a hitter's plate appearances that end with him scoring a run. Around .117 is league average. Runs depend on getting on base and the bats behind you, so lineup spot and team context matter as much as the individual.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better. Runs scored is a team stat wearing one player's name — the top of the order in a good spot will out-grade a better hitter batting seventh, because he gets more trips and more help.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a run.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Same idea as the other contact boards, with one wrinkle: scoring a run starts with reaching base. The score leans on his rate against today's hand, then asks whether the bats behind him can bring him around.

What are park factors?

A park that gives up hits gives up runs. Gaps, altitude, and weather all raise the odds a leadoff single turns into a crossed plate. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a run in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for runs props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ run" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against the box score. Runs scored leans on teammates, so the top of this board out-hits the slate by a smaller margin than the pure-contact boards do — the posted season rate shows exactly how much.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB runs matchups — Saturday, July 4, 2026

Every hitter on the Saturday, July 4, 2026 slate — ranked by who's most likely to score a run. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Saturday, July 4, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 4/5 (80%) on 1+ run, against 48% on the season.

Top 5

4/580%

season 48%

Top 10

8/1080%

season 51%

Full slate

106/26640%

season 38%

Top call Liam Hicks came through. Jake Bauers didn't.

Each hitter below carries a 0–100 matchup score — a read on the spot in front of him, not a ranking of how good he is, so a star in a brutal matchup can sit below an average hitter in a soft one. Confidence next to it is coverage: how much real data backs the number. Every call here was graded against the box score — wins and misses both, with the record on this page. How this board is built →

Final · 7–1

PITaway

WSHhomeTop matchup84 Final · 11–4

MINaway

NYYhomeTop matchup98 Final · 3–0

DETaway

TEXhomeTop matchup74 Final · 0–11

TORaway

SEAhomeTop matchup87 Final · 8–5

BALaway

CINhomeTop matchup75 Final · 8–10

TBaway

HOUhomeTop matchup71 Final · 3–1

CWSaway

CLEhomeTop matchup72 Final · 3–0

STLaway

CHChomeTop matchup84 Final · 3–14

NYMaway

ATLhomeTop matchup75 Final · 6–4

SFaway

COLhomeTop matchup83 Final · 6–1

PHIaway

KChomeTop matchup98 Final · 8–1

BOSaway

LAAhomeTop matchup82 Final · 7–2

MIAaway

ATHhomeTop matchup100 Final · 3–4

MILaway

AZhomeTop matchup99 Final · 0–3

SDaway

LADhomeTop matchup86

Not starting57 not in the official lineup — moved to the bottom

PosSort

#Hitter · Matchup · 323 shownScore

108 with a RLive count — updates as games play

1
Randy ArozarenaLF
SEAvsTOR· 3-for-4
3RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #9
T1
Michael Harris IICF
ATLvsNYM· 3-for-5
3RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #111
T1
Jose Altuve2B
HOUvsTB· 2-for-3
3RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #130
4
Liam HicksC
MIA@ATH· 3-for-5
2RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #1
T4
Kyle Stowers1B
MIA@ATH· 2-for-4
2RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #8
T4
Wilyer AbreuRF
BOS@LAA· 1-for-3
2RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #14
T4
Trevor LarnachLF
MIN@NYY· 2-for-3
2RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #18
T4
Anthony Seigler2B
BOS@LAA· 1-for-3
2RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #22
T4
Mauricio DubónLF
ATLvsNYM· 1-for-4
2RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #38
T4
Kody Clemens1B
MIN@NYY· 2-for-4
2RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #41
T4
Sal Stewart1B
CINvsBAL· 1-for-4
2RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #53
T4
Josh BellDH
MIN@NYY· 3-for-5
2RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #68
T4
Junior Caminero3B
TB@HOU· 2-for-4
2RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #69
T4
Yordan AlvarezDH
HOUvsTB· 3-for-4
2RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #72
T4
Alec Bohm3B
PHI@KC· 2-for-4
2RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #88
T4
Austin Riley3B
ATLvsNYM· 1-for-4
2RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #114
T4
Dominic CanzoneDH
SEAvsTOR· 2-for-4
2RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #123
T4
Luke Keaschall2B
MIN@NYY· 1-for-4
2RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #139
T4
Cole CarriggCF
COLvsSF· 2-for-4
2RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #146
T4
Colt EmersonSS
SEAvsTOR· 2-for-4
2RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #263
T4
Nick AllenSS
HOUvsTB· 1-for-3
2RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #265
T4
Mike YastrzemskiLF
ATLvsNYM· 2-for-2
2RFinal
Proj 0.5 R
23
Brice Turang2B
MIL@AZ· 3-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #2
T23
Trea TurnerSS
PHI@KC· 1-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #3
T23
Trent GrishamCF
NYYvsMIN· 0-for-2
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #4
T23
Christian YelichDH
MIL@AZ· 1-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #6
T23
Tommy Edman2B
LADvsSD· 0-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #10
T23
James WoodRF
WSHvsPIT· 1-for-2
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #11
T23
Heliot RamosLF
SF@COL· 1-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #13
T23
Byron BuxtonCF
MIN@NYY· 1-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #16
T23
Drake BaldwinC
ATLvsNYM· 0-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #24
T23
Konnor GriffinSS
PIT@WSH· 1-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #27
T23
Luis Arraez2B
SF@COL· 3-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #29
T23
JJ Wetherholt2B
STL@CHC· 3-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #32
T23
Otto LopezSS
MIA@ATH· 3-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #35
T23
Bryan ReynoldsLF
PIT@WSH· 2-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #37
T23
Ceddanne RafaelaCF
BOS@LAA· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #39
T23
Jonathan Aranda1B
TB@HOU· 1-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #40
T23
Jordan WalkerRF
STL@CHC· 1-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #42
T23
Matt Olson1B
ATLvsNYM· 1-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #44
T23
Miguel Vargas3B
CWS@CLE· 0-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #45
T23
Casey SchmittLF
SF@COL· 2-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #47
T23
Willson Contreras1B
BOS@LAA· 1-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #56
T23
Jasson DomínguezRF
NYYvsMIN· 2-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #62
T23
Hunter GoodmanC
COLvsSF· 2-for-2
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #64
T23
Jung Hoo LeeRF
SF@COL· 1-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #65
T23
Riley GreeneLF
DET@TEX· 2-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #70
T23
Cedric MullinsCF
TB@HOU· 1-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #75
T23
Ozzie Albies2B
ATLvsNYM· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #76
T23
Ryan O'HearnRF
PIT@WSH· 2-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #77
T23
Gunnar HendersonSS
BAL@CIN· 1-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #78
T23
Willy AdamesSS
SF@COL· 2-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #82
T23
Kerry CarpenterRF
DET@TEX· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #87
T23
Bryce EldridgeDH
SF@COL· 2-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #97
T23
Lane ThomasLF
KCvsPHI· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #100
T23
J.P. CrawfordSS
SEAvsTOR· 0-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #103
T23
Victor Mesa Jr.RF
TB@HOU· 0-for-2
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #104
T23
Ryan McMahon3B
NYYvsMIN· 0-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #105
T23
Romy GonzalezDH
BOS@LAA· 1-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #113
T23
Tyler FreemanRF
COLvsSF· 0-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #117
T23
Gabriel MorenoC
AZvsMIL· 1-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #121
T23
Spencer Steer1B
CINvsBAL· 1-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #135
T23
Victor RoblesRF
SEAvsTOR· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #138
T23
Joe MackC
MIA@ATH· 2-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #140
T23
Freddie Freeman1B
LADvsSD· 2-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #141
T23
Carlos CortesRF
ATHvsMIA· 2-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #143
T23
Corbin CarrollRF
AZvsMIL· 0-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #144
T23
Nick Gonzales3B
PIT@WSH· 2-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #145
T23
Henry BolteCF
ATHvsMIA· 2-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #147
T23
Andruw MonasterioSS
BOS@LAA· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #150
T23
Jake MangumCF
PIT@WSH· 0-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #152
T23
J.T. RealmutoC
PHI@KC· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #153
T23
Cal RaleighC
SEAvsTOR· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #154
T23
Taylor WallsSS
TB@HOU· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #155
T23
Adley RutschmanC
BAL@CIN· 2-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #158
T23
Nathan ChurchCF
STL@CHC· 0-for-2
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #161
T23
Colt Keith3B
DET@TEX· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #163
T23
Eli WhiteRF
ATLvsNYM· 2-for-2
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #168
T23
Richie Palacios2B
TB@HOU· 2-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #172
T23
Colson MontgomerySS
CWS@CLE· 2-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #175
T23
Josh LoweLF
LAAvsBOS· 1-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #177
T23
Bo Bichette3B
NYM@ATL· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #184
T23
Max SchuemannLF
NYYvsMIN· 2-for-2
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #187
T23
Joey BartC
ATLvsNYM· 1-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #188
T23
Jonny DeLucaRF
TB@HOU· 2-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #192
T23
Javier Sanoja3B
MIA@ATH· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #193
T23
Bryson Stott2B
PHI@KC· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #201
T23
Jose TrevinoC
CINvsBAL· 3-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #203
T23
TJ FriedlCF
CINvsBAL· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #204
T23
Colton CowserCF
BAL@CIN· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #208
T23
Mark Vientos1B
NYM@ATL· 2-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #211
T23
Alex JacksonC
MIN@NYY· 1-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #213
T23
Pete Alonso1B
BAL@CIN· 3-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #220
T23
Christian Walker1B
HOUvsTB· 1-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #225
T23
Austin HedgesC
CLEvsCWS· 2-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #227
T23
Samuel BasalloC
BAL@CIN· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #231
T23
Dalton RushingC
LADvsSD· 0-for-2
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #234
T23
Gabriel Rincones Jr.RF
PHI@KC· 2-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #237
T23
Cole Young2B
SEAvsTOR· 1-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #238
T23
Leody TaverasCF
BAL@CIN· 0-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #242
T23
Adrian Del CastilloDH
AZvsMIL· 1-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #244
T23
Tristan PetersCF
CWS@CLE· 2-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #248
T23
Taylor TrammellCF
HOUvsTB· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #250
T23
Jackson Holliday2B
BAL@CIN· 0-for-2
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #253
T23
Tyrone TaylorLF
NYM@ATL· 1-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #259
T23
Yainer DiazC
HOUvsTB· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #264
T23
Blaze Alexander3B
BAL@CIN· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #266
T23
Jackson ChourioLF
MIL@AZ· 1-for-2
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R

Best MLB Runs Matchups — Saturday, July 4, 2026

Liam Hicks (MIA) is the top runs matchup on the Saturday, July 4, 2026 board at 100, with Brice Turang (MIL) and Trea Turner (PHI) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by who's most likely to score a run — on-base ability, the arm and bullpen they face, lineup spot, park, and weather. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top runs spot: Liam Hicks

Liam Hicks (MIA) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Aaron Civale. The lefty is scoring at .165 R/PA against righties this year — and .278 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a run in about 14% of his trips. And Aaron Civale has been getting lit up by righties lately — .263 runs per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Aaron Civale. It all sets up in a neutral park.

The rest of the top of the board

Brice Turang (MIL) (99) vs RHP Merrill Kelly: a strong bat at .135 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.103), hot bat.
Trea Turner (PHI) (98) vs RHP Michael Wacha: a strong bat at .146 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.040), hot bat.
Trent Grisham (NYY) (98) vs RHP Zebby Matthews: a strong bat at .137 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.080), hot bat.
Jake Bauers (MIL) (95) vs RHP Merrill Kelly: a strong bat at .148 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.103).
Christian Yelich (MIL) (93) vs RHP Merrill Kelly: a strong bat at .136 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.103), due to bounce back.
Ben Rice (NYY) (92) vs RHP Zebby Matthews: a strong bat at .138 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.080).
Kyle Stowers (MIA) (90) vs RHP Aaron Civale: a solid bat at .129 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.263).

Platoon edges to target

Liam Hicks (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .165 against righties this year.
Brice Turang (MIL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .184 against righties this year.
Trent Grisham (NYY) — lefty bat vs RHP, .162 against righties this year.
Jake Bauers (MIL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .189 against righties this year.
Christian Yelich (MIL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .188 against righties this year.

How it played out

8 of the top 10 runs matchups landed at least one run. Top play Liam Hicks finished with 2 runs. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these runs matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's runs scored per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

What the runs board is

The Runs board projects the chance a hitter scores a run. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

His on-base ability at the top of the order.
The bats due up behind him.
The opposing run-prevention.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Like RBIs, runs is a lumpy market that grades efficient once you model the clustering honestly. Transparency board — our number set beside the line, graded.

How to use it

Useful context for top-of-the-order run creation, not a lean.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best runs matchup today (Saturday, July 4, 2026)?: Liam Hicks (MIA) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Aaron Civale. A strong bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB runs matchups today (Saturday, July 4, 2026)?: The top runs matchups on Saturday, July 4, 2026: Liam Hicks (100), Brice Turang (99), Trea Turner (98), Trent Grisham (98), Jake Bauers (95). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by runs upside.
Did the top runs matchup get a run on Saturday, July 4, 2026?: Yes — Liam Hicks got 2 runs.
Which hitters have a platoon edge today?: Liam Hicks (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .165 against righties this year. Brice Turang (MIL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .184 against righties this year. Trent Grisham (NYY) — lefty bat vs RHP, .162 against righties this year. Jake Bauers (MIL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .189 against righties this year. Christian Yelich (MIL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .188 against righties this year.
How is the runs matchup score calculated?: It reads how often he scores against that hand, weighted to recent form, then asks how good the bats behind him are at bringing him home. Spot in the order matters more here than almost anywhere. Then the bullpen, park and weather. 0–100 across the slate.
What does R/PA mean?: It's the share of a hitter's plate appearances that end with him scoring a run. Around .117 is league average. Runs depend on getting on base and the bats behind you, so lineup spot and team context matter as much as the individual.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better. Runs scored is a team stat wearing one player's name — the top of the order in a good spot will out-grade a better hitter batting seventh, because he gets more trips and more help.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a run.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Same idea as the other contact boards, with one wrinkle: scoring a run starts with reaching base. The score leans on his rate against today's hand, then asks whether the bats behind him can bring him around.
What are park factors?: A park that gives up hits gives up runs. Gaps, altitude, and weather all raise the odds a leadoff single turns into a crossed plate. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a run in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for runs props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ run" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against the box score. Runs scored leans on teammates, so the top of this board out-hits the slate by a smaller margin than the pure-contact boards do — the posted season rate shows exactly how much.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.