MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Stolen Bases · Tuesday, July 7, 2026

BOS @ CWS Stolen Bases matchups · Tuesday, July 7, 2026

BOS
BOS
Boston Red Sox
vs
7:40 PM EDT
CWS
Chicago White Sox
CWS
Rate FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft

BOS BOS Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from BOS's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years
wOBA allowed.279
Hard-Hit %32%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years
wOBA allowed.339
Hard-Hit %38%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs LHP.011

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.00016 PA
Last 2 Years.00020 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 29vs WSH1
Jun 30vs WSH0
Jul 1vs WSH0
Jul 4@ LAA0
Jul 5@ LAA1

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

W–L2–5
ERA5.86
WHIP1.35
IP43.0
H / K / BB32 / 40 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.061

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Anthony Seigler's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs LHP.013

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA
Season.01189 PA
Last 2 Years.019321 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 30vs WSH0
Jul 1vs WSH0
Jul 3@ LAA1
Jul 4@ LAA0
Jul 5@ LAA1

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

W–L2–5
ERA5.86
WHIP1.35
IP43.0
H / K / BB32 / 40 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.064

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Ceddanne Rafaela's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs LHP.016

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.036112 PA
Last 2 Years.024213 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 30vs WSH0
Jul 1vs WSH0
Jul 3@ LAA0
Jul 4@ LAA0
Jul 5@ LAA0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

W–L2–5
ERA5.86
WHIP1.35
IP43.0
H / K / BB32 / 40 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.333
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.067

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Wilyer Abreu's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2.6× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs LHP.010

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.00095 PA
Last 2 Years.007292 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 30vs WSH1
Jul 1vs WSH0
Jul 3@ LAA0
Jul 4@ LAA0
Jul 5@ LAA0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

W–L2–5
ERA5.86
WHIP1.35
IP43.0
H / K / BB32 / 40 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.332
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.055

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Willson Contreras's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs LHP.010

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.00020 PA
Last 2 Years.000122 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 25vs NYY0
Jun 27vs NYY0
Jun 28vs NYY0
Jun 29vs WSH0
Jul 5@ LAA0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

W–L2–5
ERA5.86
WHIP1.35
IP43.0
H / K / BB32 / 40 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.054

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Masataka Yoshida's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs LHP.018

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11118 PA
Season.05474 PA
Last 2 Years.034207 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 30vs WSH0
Jul 1vs WSH0
Jul 3@ LAA0
Jul 4@ LAA0
Jul 5@ LAA0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

W–L2–5
ERA5.86
WHIP1.35
IP43.0
H / K / BB32 / 40 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.066

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Caleb Durbin's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs LHP.019

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06715 PA
Season.05690 PA
Last 2 Years.032406 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 29vs WSH0
Jun 30vs WSH0
Jul 3@ LAA0
Jul 4@ LAA2
Jul 5@ LAA0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

W–L2–5
ERA5.86
WHIP1.35
IP43.0
H / K / BB32 / 40 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.065

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jarren Duran's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs LHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.03033 PA
Last 2 Years.006169 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 27vs NYY0
Jun 29vs WSH0
Jun 30vs WSH0
Jul 3@ LAA0
Jul 5@ LAA0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

W–L2–5
ERA5.86
WHIP1.35
IP43.0
H / K / BB32 / 40 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.052

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Carlos Narváez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs LHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA
Season.0004 PA
Last 2 Years.0005 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 27vs NYY0
Jun 28vs NYY0
Jun 29vs WSH0
Jun 30vs WSH0
Jul 5@ LAA0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

W–L2–5
ERA5.86
WHIP1.35
IP43.0
H / K / BB32 / 40 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.051

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Tsung-Che Cheng's full player page →

CWS CWS Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from CWS's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years
wOBA allowed.290
Hard-Hit %24%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years
wOBA allowed.280
Hard-Hit %36%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs LHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jul 1@ BAL0
Jul 2@ CLE0
Jul 3@ CLE0
Jul 4@ CLE0
Jul 5@ CLE0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L4–6
ERA3.39
WHIP1.12
IP74.1
H / K / BB60 / 74 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.05

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Sam Antonacci's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs LHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jul 1@ BAL0
Jul 2@ CLE0
Jul 3@ CLE0
Jul 4@ CLE0
Jul 5@ CLE0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L4–6
ERA3.39
WHIP1.12
IP74.1
H / K / BB60 / 74 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.049

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Miguel Vargas's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs LHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 30@ BAL0
Jul 2@ CLE0
Jul 3@ CLE0
Jul 4@ CLE0
Jul 5@ CLE0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L4–6
ERA3.39
WHIP1.12
IP74.1
H / K / BB60 / 74 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.048

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Kyle Teel's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs LHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 30@ BAL0
Jul 1@ BAL0
Jul 2@ CLE0
Jul 3@ CLE0
Jul 5@ CLE0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L4–6
ERA3.39
WHIP1.12
IP74.1
H / K / BB60 / 74 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.047

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Andrew Benintendi's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs LHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 30@ BAL0
Jul 2@ CLE0
Jul 3@ CLE0
Jul 4@ CLE0
Jul 5@ CLE0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L4–6
ERA3.39
WHIP1.12
IP74.1
H / K / BB60 / 74 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.046

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Colson Montgomery's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.5× / ~1.6×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs LHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jul 1@ BAL0
Jul 2@ CLE0
Jul 3@ CLE0
Jul 4@ CLE0
Jul 5@ CLE0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L4–6
ERA3.39
WHIP1.12
IP74.1
H / K / BB60 / 74 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.045

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Braden Montgomery's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs LHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jul 1@ BAL0
Jul 2@ CLE0
Jul 3@ CLE0
Jul 4@ CLE0
Jul 5@ CLE0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L4–6
ERA3.39
WHIP1.12
IP74.1
H / K / BB60 / 74 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.043

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Chase Meidroth's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 8-game hitting streak

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs LHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jul 1@ BAL0
Jul 2@ CLE0
Jul 3@ CLE0
Jul 4@ CLE0
Jul 5@ CLE0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L4–6
ERA3.39
WHIP1.12
IP74.1
H / K / BB60 / 74 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.042

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Tristan Peters's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs LHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 30@ BAL0
Jul 1@ BAL0
Jul 2@ CLE0
Jul 3@ CLE0
Jul 5@ CLE0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L4–6
ERA3.39
WHIP1.12
IP74.1
H / K / BB60 / 74 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.041

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jacob Gonzalez's full player page →