MatchWiz

Colson Montgomery

Colson Montgomery — today's matchup, what the model projects, and how our calls on him have graded. Top board: rbis at 63.6/100.

Today's top board
63.6
RBIs · vs NYM
Our calls on him · hits
50%
record builds as games settle
Games graded
120
this season, box-score final
Colson Montgomery
SSBats LThrows RChicago White Sox
RBIs63.6/100proj 0.5#50Walks47.1/100proj 0.4#80Home Runs43.2/100proj 0.2#16Total Bases39.5/100proj 1.5#132H+R+RBI39.1/100proj 1.6#126Runs35.1/100proj 0.5#128Fantasy Points27.6/100proj 6.1#134Hits26.2/100proj 0.9#177Singles21.7/100proj 0.5#181Doubles16.8/100proj 0.2#157Triples2.8/100proj 0#197Stolen Bases0.4/100proj 0#193

Today's matchup

Colson is hosting New York Mets on the Sunday, August 23, 2026 slate. He shows up on 12 boards — rbis (63.6/100, #50), walks (47.1/100, #80), home runs (43.2/100, #16), total bases (39.5/100, #132). We've got him at 0.5 on the rbis board. Open any board row for the full breakdown of what's driving it.

Recent form

Colson is 9-for-39 (.231) over his last 10 games, in line with his .212 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Colson has 26 home runs and 45 extra-base hits in 453 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a left-handed bat

Colson hits from the left side, and that's the first thing the model looks at. Left-handed hitters see right-handed pitching most nights, which is the favourable side — so a lefty bat's baseline is set against righties, and drawing a left-handed starter is a genuine downgrade rather than a rounding error. When you see his score fall on a day he's still in the lineup, an opposing lefty is usually why. Handedness also shapes the park read: pull-side geometry matters more for a left-handed swing than the raw park factor suggests.

Floor and ceiling

Colson has recorded at least one hit in 68 of 120 games he's batted in — 57% — with 24 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Colson is hitting .203 at home (44-for-217) and .220 on the road (52-for-236) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

His best game in the log

Colson's biggest night was Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at CHC — 3-for-4. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

No graded record on him yet

We haven't ranked Colson a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — 4 times so far. He's appeared in 120 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.

Where he lands across our boards

Colson was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: rbis graded 63.6/100 while stolen bases came in at 0.4/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Take the name off Colson and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.

What we'd flag

Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes. For Colson specifically, we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Saturday, August 22vs NYM50000
Friday, August 21vs NYM31111
Thursday, August 20vs ATL20000
Wednesday, August 19@ CHC41000
Tuesday, August 18@ CHC43010
Sunday, August 16@ DET42001
Saturday, August 15@ DET41002
Friday, August 14@ DET50000
Thursday, August 13vs CIN50000
Wednesday, August 12vs CIN31020
Tuesday, August 11vs CIN40000
Sunday, August 9vs CLE31113

Colson Montgomery — FAQ

Who is Colson Montgomery facing today?

Colson Montgomery is hosting New York Mets on Sunday, August 23, 2026. His strongest matchup grades 63.6/100 on our rbis board, ranked #50.

What is Colson Montgomery's projection today?

We project Colson for 0.5 on the rbis board. That's the model's number for this specific matchup — the opposing arm, the park, the weather, and his expected playing time all feed it. It's graded against the real box score tonight.

How has Colson Montgomery been hitting lately?

Colson is 9-for-39 (.231) over his last 10 games, against .212 on the season across 453 at-bats in our log, with 26 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Colson Montgomery appear on?

Colson was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — rbis, walks, home runs, total bases, h+r+rbi. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Colson Montgomery's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).