MatchWiz

Jacob Gonzalez

Jacob Gonzalez — hitting .224 in our graded log with 6 home runs. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
55.1
Doubles · @ LAD · 2026-08-22
Our calls on him · hits
record builds as games settle
Games graded
60
this season, box-score final
Jacob Gonzalez
SSBats LThrows RPittsburgh Pirates
Doubles55.1/100proj 0.2Hits42.3/100proj 1Runs36.4/100proj 0.5H+R+RBI36.2/100proj 1.6Total Bases36/100proj 1.4Stolen Bases34.8/100proj 0.1Fantasy Points31.4/100proj 6.1Singles29.6/100proj 0.5RBIs24.6/100proj 0.4Walks18.7/100proj 0.3Triples14.6/100proj 0Home Runs13.7/100proj 0.1

Last scored matchup

Jacob isn't on today's slate. He was last scored yesterday, away at Los Angeles Dodgers on Saturday, August 22, 2026, where he landed on doubles (55.1/100), hits (42.3/100), runs (36.4/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

He's in a cold stretch

Jacob is 4-for-25 (.160) across his last 10 games, down from .224 on the season. Slumps this size are mostly noise at this sample — 25 at-bats is a fortnight, not a trend — and the model treats it that way, discounting the cold run rather than writing him off. If the matchup underneath is good, he'll still grade well here. That's a feature, and sometimes it's wrong.

What kind of hitter he is

Jacob puts the ball in play — 32 strikeouts in 165 at-bats, about 19% of the time. Contact hitters carry their value on the hits board rather than the power boards, and they're less matchup-dependent than sluggers: a strikeout arm hurts him less than it hurts a hitter who sells out for damage.

He's a left-handed bat

Jacob hits from the left side, and that's the first thing the model looks at. Left-handed hitters see right-handed pitching most nights, which is the favourable side — so a lefty bat's baseline is set against righties, and drawing a left-handed starter is a genuine downgrade rather than a rounding error. When you see his score fall on a day he's still in the lineup, an opposing lefty is usually why. Handedness also shapes the park read: pull-side geometry matters more for a left-handed swing than the raw park factor suggests.

Floor and ceiling

Jacob has recorded at least one hit in 27 of 59 games he's batted in — 46% — with 8 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Jacob is hitting .231 at home (15-for-65) and .220 on the road (22-for-100) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

No graded record on him yet

We haven't ranked Jacob a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — not once so far. He's appeared in 60 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.

Where he lands across our boards

Jacob was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: doubles graded 55.1/100 while home runs came in at 13.7/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Jacob's score rates the spot in front of him, not the name on the jersey. It weighs his rates against the kind of arm he's facing — handedness matters a lot — set against what that pitcher and his bullpen give up, then adjusts for expected playing time, park, weather, and recent form, normalized 0–100 across the slate. The weighting is proprietary and re-tuned weekly; the grading is public, and that's the half that proves anything.

What we'd flag

Books don't price every player — coverage tops out around 87% even for confirmed starters, so "no line" here usually means no book posted one rather than a gap in our data. Lineups change late, and an afternoon projection can be stale by first pitch. And the model is tuned across hundreds of graded outcomes, so one game tells you nothing about whether it's working. For Jacob specifically, we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Friday, August 21@ LAD40000
Wednesday, August 19vs DET21000
Tuesday, August 18vs DET30000
Monday, August 17@ 20000
Saturday, August 15vs BOS30000
Friday, August 14vs BOS11010
Thursday, August 13@ MIA41122
Wednesday, August 12@ MIA30000
Tuesday, August 11@ MIA31000
Sunday, August 9vs NYM00000
Saturday, August 8vs NYM51001
Friday, August 7vs NYM11001

Jacob Gonzalez — FAQ

Is Jacob Gonzalez playing today?

Jacob Gonzalez isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Saturday, August 22, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How has Jacob Gonzalez been hitting lately?

Jacob is 4-for-25 (.160) over his last 10 games, against .224 on the season across 165 at-bats in our log, with 6 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Jacob Gonzalez appear on?

Jacob was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — doubles, hits, runs, h+r+rbi, total bases. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Jacob Gonzalez's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).