Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Sunday, May 24, 2026
Top total bases spot: Willy Adames
Willy Adames (SF) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Noah Schultz. The righty is racking up bases at — TB/PA against lefties this year, a solid bat that turns into a total base in about 37% of his trips. And Noah Schultz has been thin against lefties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Noah Schultz too — .333 across 3 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Chase Meidroth (CWS) (100) vs LHP Robbie Ray: a solid bat at .370 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Zach Neto (LAA) (100) vs LHP MacKenzie Gore: a solid bat at .370 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Alejandro Osuna (TEX) (100) vs LHP Reid Detmers: a solid bat at .370 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) (91) vs RHP Luis Medina: a solid bat at .370 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Lawrence Butler (ATH) (91) vs RHP Michael King: a solid bat at .370 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
- Luis Arraez (SF) (90) vs LHP Noah Schultz: a solid bat at .370 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Munetaka Murakami (CWS) (90) vs LHP Robbie Ray: a solid bat at .370 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Arms giving up extra bases today
- LHP Noah Schultz has been giving up bases to lefties — .360 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Willy Adames (SF), Luis Arraez (SF), and Casey Schmitt (SF).
- LHP Robbie Ray has been giving up bases to lefties — .360 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Chase Meidroth (CWS), Munetaka Murakami (CWS), and Miguel Vargas (CWS).
- LHP MacKenzie Gore has been giving up bases to lefties — .360 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Zach Neto (LAA), Mike Trout (LAA), and Vaughn Grissom (LAA).
- LHP Reid Detmers has been giving up bases to lefties — .360 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Alejandro Osuna (TEX), Justin Foscue (TEX), and Brandon Nimmo (TEX).
How it played out
6 of the top 10 total bases matchups landed at least one total base. Top play Willy Adames finished with 2 total bases. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these total bases matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.