MatchWiz

Data sources & attributions

Every external source behind the numbers on this site, what each one provides, and its licence.

MatchWiz doesn't collect its own data. Every projection here is built on top of public feeds, licensed APIs, and open datasets maintained by other people — so the least we can do is say exactly which, and what each one contributes. Where a source's licence requires attribution, that requirement is stated with it.

The modelling on top of this data is ours. The data underneath it mostly isn't, and this page is where that's acknowledged. If you maintain one of these sources and something here is wrong or under-credited, tell us and we'll fix it.

Baseball

Schedules, lineups and box scores come from MLB's official feed — the same source that settles the games.

  • MLB Stats API Schedules, rosters, confirmed lineups, live game state, and final box scores.
  • FanGraphs Supplementary player and pitcher season data.
  • Chadwick Bureau Register The open player-ID crosswalk that reconciles player identities across sources.

Golf

Strokes-gained modelling, field and leaderboard data, plus course geometry for the pin and wind reads.

  • DataGolf Strokes-gained modelling, player ratings, and pre-tournament projections.
  • Sportradar Tournament, field and scoring data (licensed API).
  • ESPN Event schedules, live leaderboards, and player headshots.
  • PGA Tour Official pin sheets and on-site meteorologist forecasts.
  • OpenStreetMap Course and hole geometry used for the wind, elevation and orientation reads. Queried via Nominatim and Overpass.
    © OpenStreetMap contributors — data available under the Open Database Licence (ODbL).

Soccer

The MLS goal and player-prop models are built on public expected-goals data.

  • American Soccer Analysis Per-shot and per-game expected-goals (xG) data for MLS, which the goal model and every player prop are built from.

UFC

Per-fight stat lines from 2015 to the present, covering UFC and Contender Series bouts.

  • ESPN Event cards, fight results, and per-fight statistics.

Football

Play-by-play and participation data from the open nflverse project.

  • nflverse Play-by-play with EPA, snap counts, depth charts, and participation data.
    Data provided by nflverse, released under CC BY 4.0.
  • Wikipedia Supplementary reference data during football research.
    Text available under CC BY-SA 4.0.

Odds & DFS (all sports)

Every projection on this site is published next to a real market price. These are where those prices come from.

  • The Odds API Sportsbook lines and prices across the US books we track, refreshed through the day with extra pulls near game time.
  • DraftKings Daily fantasy salaries and contest structures for the DFS boards and lineup optimizers.

How the data is used

Everything is used to produce original modelling and analysis — projections, matchup scores, fair odds, and the graded record of how those calls landed. We don't republish any source's dataset wholesale, and we don't present anyone else's numbers as our own: where a figure is a source's (a strokes-gained rating, an xG value, a book's price), it's labelled as such on the page showing it.

Sportsbook prices are shown for comparison against our projections. MatchWiz takes no bets, holds no funds, and settles nothing — see Terms of Use and Responsible Gaming.

Trademarks and team, league and event names belong to their respective owners. MatchWiz is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by MLB, the PGA Tour, the UFC, MLS, the NFL, or any sportsbook.