MatchWiz

Weekly recaps

What the models called each week, and how it actually landed — written from the graded ledger, misses included.

Every projection this site publishes gets scored against the real result. These are the weekly write-ups of that ledger — which boards earned their place, where the top of the board beat the field, which calls looked good and lost anyway. They're built from the same graded numbers that appear on the boards themselves, so nothing here is a claim you can't go and check.

One a week, not one a day. A week is enough time for a result to mean something and short enough that the story is still specific — and it keeps this an editorial archive rather than a feed. If you want the method behind the numbers, that's the methodology page.

Each recap covers whichever sports actually had graded results that week: the MLB boards every week in season, the week's golf tournament and how our ranking held up against the real leaderboard, every UFC card we priced and the favourites that lost anyway, and MLS when there were fixtures to grade. A sport with nothing graded that week simply isn't in that week's piece — the sports covered are listed at the top of each one.