MLB stats & reference

There's more to a player's situation than a single board row. The stats section pulls the full picture together — the model's projection for today's matchup, what the boards say about his spot, and a running record of how our calls on him have graded all season. If you want to go deeper on one bat or one arm than the board view shows, this is where you do it.

A page for every player

Every hitter and starting pitcher who's appeared in a graded game this season gets a page. Pull up a name and you get the matchup projection for today — factoring in the opposing arm, handedness, the ballpark, and batting-order slot — along with how that player's board ratings have tracked recently, and whether our calls on him have paid or not.

The graded record on a player is the part most sites don't show. It isn't a sales pitch; it's the real number. If we've misjudged a hitter's power in a particular park six times, the record says so. That's how you decide whether to trust the model in a specific spot — not by taking our word for it, but by reading the same ledger the model tunes against.

Standings — the race, live

The standings pull from the same final-score data that flows into every board each morning. Division standings, the wild card race with the current in-out cutline, and league and overall views are all there. When model playoff-odds projections land, they'll show up here first — driven by the same run projections that power the boards, not a regression to some historical average.

The same model, every player

Whether you're on a player page or the standings view, the numbers come from the same matchup engine that runs every board on the site — one model, one graded ledger, all public. There's no separate stats system running alongside it. How MatchWiz works walks through the full methodology if you want to understand what's under the hood before you use the numbers.

What a player page won't tell you

It won't give you a season projection. Every number here is about a specific game against a specific opponent — that's the whole design. If you want to know what a hitter does over the next month, this isn't the tool; if you want to know whether tonight's spot is a good one and how our reads on him have graded, it is.

It also won't hide a thin sample behind a confident number. A player with 40 at-bats gets a score like everyone else, but his confidence rating stays low and the page says so in plain language. The same goes for a pitcher coming off a long layoff — we flag the gap rather than quietly projecting him at full workload, because a first start back is often pitch-limited in a way no stat line reveals.

And it won't pretend the market doesn't exist. Where a book has posted a line, you'll see it beside our projection, including the days the two agree and there's nothing interesting to say.

How the reference desk fits together

Three surfaces, one engine. Player pages are the entity level — one page per hitter and starting pitcher, with his matchup, form, and graded record. Standings are the team level, rebuilt each morning from final scores with the wild-card cutline drawn. The boards are the daily level: the same players ranked against each other for one slate.

They cross-link on purpose. A board row opens to a player page; a player page links back to every board he ranks on and to the game he's playing in. Start wherever you like — the numbers are the same wherever you land, because there's one model producing them and one ledger grading it.