MLB DFS Projections — Best Daily Fantasy Baseball Plays — Thursday, June 4, 2026
Top fantasy points spot: Taylor Ward
Taylor Ward (BAL) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Brayan Bello. The righty is piling up fantasy points at — fantasy/PA against righties this year, a solid bat worth about 1.63 fantasy points a trip. And Brayan Bello has been thin against righties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Brayan Bello too — .429 across 14 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Jarren Duran (BOS) (92) vs LHP Trevor Rogers: a solid bat at 1.630 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hot bat.
- Trent Grisham (NYY) (92) vs RHP Slade Cecconi: a solid bat at 1.630 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Kyle Manzardo (CLE) (92) vs LHP Carlos Rodón: a solid bat at 1.630 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) (91) vs LHP Trevor Rogers: a solid bat at 1.630 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- José Ramírez (CLE) (91) vs LHP Carlos Rodón: a solid bat at 1.630 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hot bat.
- Kyle Schwarber (PHI) (88) vs RHP Lucas Giolito: a solid bat at 1.630 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) (88) vs RHP Zack Wheeler: a solid bat at 1.630 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Arms giving up fantasy points today
- RHP Brayan Bello has been giving up points to righties — 1.600 fantasy points per batter faced. Bats to target: Taylor Ward (BAL), Gunnar Henderson (BAL), and Adley Rutschman (BAL).
- LHP Trevor Rogers has been giving up points to lefties — 1.600 fantasy points per batter faced. Bats to target: Jarren Duran (BOS), Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS), and Wilyer Abreu (BOS).
- RHP Slade Cecconi has been giving up points to righties — 1.600 fantasy points per batter faced. Bats to target: Trent Grisham (NYY), Ben Rice (NYY), and Paul Goldschmidt (NYY).
- LHP Carlos Rodón has been giving up points to lefties — 1.600 fantasy points per batter faced. Bats to target: Kyle Manzardo (CLE), José Ramírez (CLE), and Rhys Hoskins (CLE).
How it played out
7 of the top 10 fantasy points matchups landed at least one fantasy point. Top play Taylor Ward finished with 15 fantasy points. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these fantasy points matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's fantasy points per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.