Best MLB Doubles Matchups — Sunday, August 9, 2026
Top doubles spot: Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Randy Vásquez. The lefty is driving the ball at .059 2B/PA against righties this year — and .089 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a double in about 6% of his trips. And Randy Vásquez has been keeping the ball in front of righties lately — .037 doubles per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 1 career PA against Randy Vásquez, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Alex Bregman (CHC) (100) vs RHP Randy Dobnak: an elite bat at .062 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.118).
- Andruw Monasterio (BOS) (96) vs RHP J.T. Ginn: an elite bat at .074 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.063), hot bat.
- Jung Hoo Lee (SF) (93) vs RHP Troy Melton: an elite bat at .062 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.000).
- Brandon Nimmo (TEX) (92) vs LHP Cade Povich: an excellent bat at .057 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.143).
- Ildemaro Vargas (AZ) (87) vs LHP Justin Wrobleski: an excellent bat at .059 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.032).
- Randal Grichuk (CWS) (86) vs LHP Joey Cantillo: an elite bat at .073 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.000).
- A.J. Ewing (NYM) (86) vs RHP Jared Jones: a strong bat at .052 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.053).
Platoon edges to target
- Yordan Alvarez (HOU) — lefty bat vs RHP, .059 against righties this year.
- Jung Hoo Lee (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .065 against righties this year.
- Ildemaro Vargas (AZ) — righty bat vs LHP, .060 against lefties this year.
- Randal Grichuk (CWS) — righty bat vs LHP, .084 against lefties this year.
- A.J. Ewing (NYM) — lefty bat vs RHP, .048 against righties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Andruw Monasterio (BOS), Jake McCarthy (COL), Andrew Vaughn (MIL), Jonathan Aranda (TB), Royce Lewis (MIN), and Javier Sanoja (MIA). Cold but due to bounce back: Ketel Marte (AZ), Yandy Díaz (TB), Jeremy Peña (HOU), Alec Burleson (STL), and Randy Arozarena (SEA).
How it played out
1 of the top 10 doubles matchups landed at least one double. Top play Yordan Alvarez finished with 0 doubles. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these doubles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's doubles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.