MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Hits · Sunday, April 12, 2026

BOS @ STL Hits matchups · Sunday, April 12, 2026

BOS
BOS
Boston Red Sox
93
Final
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
STL
Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft 78°F CloudyWind 18 mph, Out To LF

BOS BOS Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.18527 BF
Season.18527 BF
Last 2 Years.220601 BF
wOBA allowed.310
Hard-Hit %40%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06316 BF
Season.06316 BF
Last 2 Years.235642 BF
wOBA allowed.167
Hard-Hit %27%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.210

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.16343 PA
Season.15944 PA
Last 2 Years.229249 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.224

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.18527 PA
Season.18527 PA
Last 2 Years.220601 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L9–5
ERA3.83
WHIP1.23
IP89.1
H / K / BB84 / 68 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.244

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.247235 PA
Season.246252 PA
Last 2 Years.2312306 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Hits1.035

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits5 books

MGMBetMGM-225
BOLBetOnline-233
DKDraftKings-237
BOVBovada-240
BRBetRivers-250

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Roman Anthony's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.207

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.14734 PA
Season.14335 PA
Last 2 Years.216408 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.206

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA
Season.06316 PA
Last 2 Years.235642 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L9–5
ERA3.83
WHIP1.23
IP89.1
H / K / BB84 / 68 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.208

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.188207 PA
Season.208236 PA
Last 2 Years.2203191 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.266
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.288
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Hits0.968

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits3 books

MGMBetMGM-225
BRBetRivers-305
BOLBetOnline-312

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Caleb Durbin's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.221

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.17135 PA
Season.17135 PA
Last 2 Years.255992 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.224

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.18527 PA
Season.18527 PA
Last 2 Years.220601 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L9–5
ERA3.83
WHIP1.23
IP89.1
H / K / BB84 / 68 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.244

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.247235 PA
Season.246252 PA
Last 2 Years.2312306 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.143
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Hits1.013

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits5 books

MGMBetMGM-250
BOLBetOnline-250
DKDraftKings-268
BOVBovada-275
BRBetRivers-305

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Jarren Duran's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.228

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.21347 PA
Season.20848 PA
Last 2 Years.221705 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.206

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA
Season.06316 PA
Last 2 Years.235642 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L9–5
ERA3.83
WHIP1.23
IP89.1
H / K / BB84 / 68 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.208

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.188207 PA
Season.208236 PA
Last 2 Years.2203191 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.342
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.288
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.750
Plate Appearances8

Projection

Projected Hits0.973

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits6 books

MGMBetMGM-200
BOLBetOnline-227
FANFanatics-235
BRBetRivers-245
BOVBovada-250
DKDraftKings-251

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Willson Contreras's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.6× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.284

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.34943 PA
Season.34144 PA
Last 2 Years.240755 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.224

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.18527 PA
Season.18527 PA
Last 2 Years.220601 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L9–5
ERA3.83
WHIP1.23
IP89.1
H / K / BB84 / 68 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.244

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.247235 PA
Season.246252 PA
Last 2 Years.2312306 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.385
Hard-Hit %41%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Hits1.107

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits5 books

BOLBetOnline-244
BRBetRivers-245
MGMBetMGM-250
BOVBovada-250
DKDraftKings-251

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Wilyer Abreu's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.197

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.12548 PA
Season.14349 PA
Last 2 Years.240592 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.206

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA
Season.06316 PA
Last 2 Years.235642 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L9–5
ERA3.83
WHIP1.23
IP89.1
H / K / BB84 / 68 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.208

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.188207 PA
Season.208236 PA
Last 2 Years.2203191 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.254
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.288
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.714
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Hits0.879

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits5 books

MGMBetMGM-235
BOLBetOnline-238
BOVBovada-260
DKDraftKings-261
BRBetRivers-265

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Trevor Story's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.198

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10837 PA
Season.15439 PA
Last 2 Years.209148 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.224

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.18527 PA
Season.18527 PA
Last 2 Years.220601 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L9–5
ERA3.83
WHIP1.23
IP89.1
H / K / BB84 / 68 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.244

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.247235 PA
Season.246252 PA
Last 2 Years.2312306 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.280
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Hits0.872

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits5 books

MGMBetMGM-160
BOLBetOnline-175
BOVBovada-185
DKDraftKings-186
BRBetRivers-195

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Marcelo Mayer's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.271

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.41712 PA
Season.41712 PA
Last 2 Years.231480 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.206

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA
Season.06316 PA
Last 2 Years.235642 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L9–5
ERA3.83
WHIP1.23
IP89.1
H / K / BB84 / 68 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.208

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.188207 PA
Season.208236 PA
Last 2 Years.2203191 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.350
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.288
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Hits0.961

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits4 books

BOLBetOnline-196
MGMBetMGM-200
BOVBovada-200
DKDraftKings-202

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Connor Wong's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.242

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.22935 PA
Season.24337 PA
Last 2 Years.248851 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.206

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA
Season.06316 PA
Last 2 Years.235642 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L9–5
ERA3.83
WHIP1.23
IP89.1
H / K / BB84 / 68 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.208

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.188207 PA
Season.208236 PA
Last 2 Years.2203191 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.288
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Hits0.904

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits4 books

MGMBetMGM-190
BOLBetOnline-208
BOVBovada-230
DKDraftKings-232

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Ceddanne Rafaela's full player page →

STL STL Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.30423 BF
Season.30423 BF
Last 2 Years.218774 BF
wOBA allowed.468
Hard-Hit %13%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.27322 BF
Season.27322 BF
Last 2 Years.220608 BF
wOBA allowed.406
Hard-Hit %13%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.222

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.18937 PA
Season.19541 PA
Last 2 Years.19541 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.257

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.30423 PA
Season.30423 PA
Last 2 Years.218774 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L2–6
ERA6.34
WHIP1.67
IP61.0
H / K / BB78 / 44 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.210

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.198111 PA
Season.191115 PA
Last 2 Years.2092117 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.361
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Hits1.086

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits5 books

MGMBetMGM-220
BOLBetOnline-233
DKDraftKings-246
BRBetRivers-250
BOVBovada-250

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

JJ Wetherholt's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.211

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.16237 PA
Season.14342 PA
Last 2 Years.247519 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.249

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.27322 PA
Season.27322 PA
Last 2 Years.220608 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L2–6
ERA6.34
WHIP1.67
IP61.0
H / K / BB78 / 44 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.211

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.207256 PA
Season.201283 PA
Last 2 Years.2124355 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.330
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.337
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Hits1.048

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits5 books

MGMBetMGM-225
BOLBetOnline-233
BRBetRivers-235
DKDraftKings-243
BOVBovada-245

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Iván Herrera's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.232

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.18937 PA
Season.22041 PA
Last 2 Years.264882 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.257

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.30423 PA
Season.30423 PA
Last 2 Years.218774 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L2–6
ERA6.34
WHIP1.67
IP61.0
H / K / BB78 / 44 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.210

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.198111 PA
Season.191115 PA
Last 2 Years.2092117 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.347
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.361
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Hits1.097

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits3 books

MGMBetMGM-275
BOLBetOnline-312
BRBetRivers-335

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Alec Burleson's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.240

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.25735 PA
Season.23738 PA
Last 2 Years.196419 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.249

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.27322 PA
Season.27322 PA
Last 2 Years.220608 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L2–6
ERA6.34
WHIP1.67
IP61.0
H / K / BB78 / 44 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.211

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.207256 PA
Season.201283 PA
Last 2 Years.2124355 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.340
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.337
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.667
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Hits1.1

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits5 books

MGMBetMGM-200
BOLBetOnline-208
BRBetRivers-215
DKDraftKings-224
BOVBovada-230

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Jordan Walker's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.9× / ~1.4×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.225

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.22236 PA
Season.20539 PA
Last 2 Years.177600 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.257

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.30423 PA
Season.30423 PA
Last 2 Years.218774 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L2–6
ERA6.34
WHIP1.67
IP61.0
H / K / BB78 / 44 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.210

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.198111 PA
Season.191115 PA
Last 2 Years.2092117 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.361
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Hits1.031

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits5 books

BOVBovada-135
DKDraftKings-137
BOLBetOnline-145
BRBetRivers-159
MGMBetMGM-165

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Nolan Gorman's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.226

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.17617 PA
Season.17617 PA
Last 2 Years.213492 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.249

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.27322 PA
Season.27322 PA
Last 2 Years.220608 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L2–6
ERA6.34
WHIP1.67
IP61.0
H / K / BB78 / 44 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.211

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.207256 PA
Season.201283 PA
Last 2 Years.2124355 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.300
Hard-Hit %28%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.337
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.154
Plate Appearances13

Projection

Projected Hits0.962

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits4 books

MGMBetMGM-185
BOLBetOnline-196
DKDraftKings-206
BOVBovada-210

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Ramón Urías's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.243

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.2504 PA
Season.2504 PA
Last 2 Years.220100 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.249

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.27322 PA
Season.27322 PA
Last 2 Years.220608 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L2–6
ERA6.34
WHIP1.67
IP61.0
H / K / BB78 / 44 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.211

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.207256 PA
Season.201283 PA
Last 2 Years.2124355 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.337
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Hits0.974

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits4 books

MGMBetMGM-165
BOVBovada-170
BOLBetOnline-172
DKDraftKings-174

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

José Fermín's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.256

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.28628 PA
Season.28628 PA
Last 2 Years.233292 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.249

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.27322 PA
Season.27322 PA
Last 2 Years.220608 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L2–6
ERA6.34
WHIP1.67
IP61.0
H / K / BB78 / 44 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.211

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.207256 PA
Season.201283 PA
Last 2 Years.2124355 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.337
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Hits1.006

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits5 books

MGMBetMGM-165
BOLBetOnline-189
BRBetRivers-205
DKDraftKings-205
BOVBovada-210

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

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Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.200

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 PA
Season.14827 PA
Last 2 Years.191434 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.257

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.30423 PA
Season.30423 PA
Last 2 Years.218774 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L2–6
ERA6.34
WHIP1.67
IP61.0
H / K / BB78 / 44 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.210

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.198111 PA
Season.191115 PA
Last 2 Years.2092117 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.261
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.361
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Hits0.834

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits4 books

MGMBetMGM-135
BOLBetOnline-147
DKDraftKings-159
BOVBovada-160

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

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