Best MLB Hits Matchups — Thursday, May 7, 2026
Top hits spot: Mickey Moniak
Mickey Moniak (COL) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Christian Scott. The lefty is hitting .333 H/PA against righties this year — and .381 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a hit in about 30% of his trips. And Christian Scott has been tough on righties lately — .077 hits per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 2 career PA against Christian Scott, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a hitter's park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Otto Lopez (MIA) (90) vs LHP Cade Povich: an excellent bat at .289 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.222), hot bat.
- Manny Machado (SD) (84) vs LHP Matthew Liberatore: an excellent bat at .273 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.375), due to bounce back.
- Jackson Merrill (SD) (82) vs LHP Matthew Liberatore: a solid bat at .250 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.235), hot bat.
- Edouard Julien (COL) (81) vs RHP Christian Scott: a strong bat at .258 into an arm tough on the same side (.077), hitter's park.
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) (76) vs RHP Andrew Painter: a strong bat at .259 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.333).
- Shea Langeliers (ATH) (76) vs RHP Andrew Painter: a solid bat at .249 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.261), hot bat.
- Mark Vientos (NYM) (75) vs LHP Jose Quintana: a strong bat at .255 into an arm tough on the same side (.188), hitter's park.
Pitchers getting tattooed today
- RHP Slade Cecconi has been vulnerable to righties — .287 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Bobby Witt Jr. (KC), Maikel Garcia (KC), and Vinnie Pasquantino (KC).
- RHP Simeon Woods Richardson has been vulnerable to righties — .278 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Curtis Mead (WSH), James Wood (WSH), and CJ Abrams (WSH).
- RHP Andrew Painter has been vulnerable to righties — .270 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Nick Kurtz (ATH), Shea Langeliers (ATH), and Carlos Cortes (ATH).
- LHP Matthew Liberatore has been vulnerable to lefties — .263 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Manny Machado (SD), Jackson Merrill (SD), and Miguel Andujar (SD).
Platoon edges to target
- Mickey Moniak (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .333 against righties this year.
- Otto Lopez (MIA) — righty bat vs LHP, .390 against lefties this year.
- Manny Machado (SD) — righty bat vs LHP, .308 against lefties this year.
- Edouard Julien (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .271 against righties this year.
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .211 against righties this year.
Best parks to hit in today
Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% hits park). Top bat there: Mickey Moniak (COL) at 100.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Mickey Moniak (COL), Otto Lopez (MIA), Jackson Merrill (SD), Shea Langeliers (ATH), Brandon Marsh (PHI), and Cody Bellinger (NYY). Cold but due to bounce back: Manny Machado (SD), Richie Palacios (TB), Moisés Ballesteros (CHC), Steven Kwan (CLE), and Oneil Cruz (PIT).
How it played out
4 of the top 10 hits matchups landed at least one hit. Top play Mickey Moniak finished with 0 hits. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these hits matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's hits per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.