Best MLB Hits Matchups — Tuesday, June 30, 2026
Top hits spot: Xavier Edwards
Xavier Edwards (MIA) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Tanner Gordon. The lefty is hitting .261 H/PA against righties this year — and .286 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a hit in about 26% of his trips. And Tanner Gordon has been thin against righties lately. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Tanner Gordon. It all sets up in a hitter's park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Otto Lopez (MIA) (97) vs RHP Tanner Gordon: an excellent bat at .271 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park.
- Esteury Ruiz (MIA) (83) vs RHP Tanner Gordon: a solid bat at .245 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park, due to bounce back.
- Travis Bazzana (CLE) (80) vs RHP Jacob deGrom: an excellent bat at .280 into an arm giving up plenty to the same side (.242), due to bounce back.
- Trevor Larnach (MIN) (79) vs RHP Mike Burrows: an excellent bat at .286 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.273).
- Ozzie Albies (ATL) (79) vs LHP Matthew Liberatore: a strong bat at .265 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.375), due to bounce back.
- Konnor Griffin (PIT) (78) vs LHP Cristopher Sánchez: a strong bat at .261 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.309), hot bat.
- Mauricio Dubón (ATL) (77) vs LHP Matthew Liberatore: a solid bat at .240 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.375), hot bat.
Pitchers getting tattooed today
- RHP Tanner Gordon has been getting tattooed by righties — .297 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Xavier Edwards (MIA), Otto Lopez (MIA), and Esteury Ruiz (MIA).
- LHP Matthew Liberatore has been vulnerable to lefties — .283 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Ozzie Albies (ATL), Mauricio Dubón (ATL), and Michael Harris II (ATL).
- RHP Kevin Gausman has been vulnerable to righties — .268 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Bo Bichette (NYM), Carson Benge (NYM), and Juan Soto (NYM).
- LHP Cristopher Sánchez has been vulnerable to lefties — .262 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Konnor Griffin (PIT), Bryan Reynolds (PIT), and Esmerlyn Valdez (PIT).
Platoon edges to target
- Xavier Edwards (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .261 against righties this year.
- Travis Bazzana (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .273 against righties this year.
- Trevor Larnach (MIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .266 against righties this year.
- Ozzie Albies (ATL) — righty bat vs LHP, .290 against lefties this year.
- Konnor Griffin (PIT) — righty bat vs LHP, .269 against lefties this year.
Best parks to hit in today
Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% hits park). Top bat there: Xavier Edwards (MIA) at 100.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Xavier Edwards (MIA), Konnor Griffin (PIT), Mauricio Dubón (ATL), Luis Arraez (SF), Sam Antonacci (CWS), and TJ Rumfield (COL). Cold but due to bounce back: Esteury Ruiz (MIA), Travis Bazzana (CLE), Ozzie Albies (ATL), Paul Goldschmidt (NYY), and William Contreras (MIL).
Lineup watch
270 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these hits matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's hits per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.