Best MLB H+R+RBI Matchups — Saturday, June 6, 2026
Top h+r+rbi spot: Jake McCarthy
Jake McCarthy (COL) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Jacob Misiorowski. The lefty is stacking production at — (H+R+RBI)/PA against righties this year, a solid bat that turns into a H+R+RBI in about 45% of his trips. And Jacob Misiorowski has been thin against righties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 2 career PA against Jacob Misiorowski, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a hitter's park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Christian Yelich (MIL) (100) vs RHP Zach Agnos: a solid bat at .450 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park.
- Sterlin Thompson (COL) (92) vs RHP Jacob Misiorowski: a solid bat at .450 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park.
- Tyler Freeman (COL) (92) vs RHP Jacob Misiorowski: a solid bat at .450 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park, hot bat.
- Jackson Chourio (MIL) (92) vs RHP Zach Agnos: a solid bat at .450 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park.
- TJ Rumfield (COL) (85) vs RHP Jacob Misiorowski: a solid bat at .450 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park.
- Brice Turang (MIL) (85) vs RHP Zach Agnos: a solid bat at .450 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park, hot bat.
- Kyle Schwarber (PHI) (83) vs LHP Brandon Eisert: a solid bat at .450 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Arms giving up production today
- RHP Jacob Misiorowski has been giving up production to righties — .450 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Jake McCarthy (COL), Sterlin Thompson (COL), and Tyler Freeman (COL).
- RHP Zach Agnos has been giving up production to righties — .450 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Christian Yelich (MIL), Jackson Chourio (MIL), and Brice Turang (MIL).
- LHP Brandon Eisert has been giving up production to lefties — .450 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Kyle Schwarber (PHI), Trea Turner (PHI), and Bryce Harper (PHI).
- RHP Jack Kochanowicz has been giving up production to righties — .450 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Shohei Ohtani (LAD), Andy Pages (LAD), and Freddie Freeman (LAD).
Best parks for all-around production today
Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% run-scoring park). Top bat there: Jake McCarthy (COL) at 100.
How it played out
4 of the top 10 h+r+rbi matchups landed at least one H+R+RBI. Top play Jake McCarthy finished with 1 H+R+RBI. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these h+r+rbi matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's combined hits + runs + RBIs per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.