Who has the best h+r+rbi matchup today (Thursday, June 25, 2026)?

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Freddy Peralta. An excellent bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB h+r+rbi matchups today (Thursday, June 25, 2026)?

The top h+r+rbi matchups on Thursday, June 25, 2026: Pete Crow-Armstrong (100), Bryce Harper (83), Yandy Díaz (75), Paul Goldschmidt (75), Brandon Marsh (75). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by h+r+rbi upside.

Did the top h+r+rbi matchup get a H+R+RBI on Thursday, June 25, 2026?

Yes — Pete Crow-Armstrong got 3 H+R+RBI.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .557 against righties this year. Bryce Harper (PHI) — lefty bat vs RHP, .588 against righties this year. Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) — righty bat vs LHP, .682 against lefties this year. Brandon Marsh (PHI) — lefty bat vs RHP, .612 against righties this year. Matt Chapman (SF) — righty bat vs LHP, .452 against lefties this year.

Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?

LHP Jeffrey Springs has been getting lit up by lefties — .597 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Matt Chapman (SF), Bryce Eldridge (SF), and Casey Schmitt (SF). RHP Kevin Gausman has been getting lit up by righties — .560 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Wyatt Langford (TEX), Jake Burger (TEX), and Ezequiel Duran (TEX). RHP Freddy Peralta has been getting lit up by righties — .559 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC), Ian Happ (CHC), and Michael Busch (CHC). RHP Casey Legumina has been vulnerable to righties — .509 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Nick Loftin (KC), Carter Jensen (KC), and Jac Caglianone (KC).

How is the h+r+rbi matchup score calculated?

It blends three routes to the line: his hit rate against that hand, the bats in front of him for RBI, and the bats behind him for runs. Recent form counts most. Then the bullpen, order spot and park. 0–100 across the slate.

What does H+R+RBI mean?

It adds a hitter's hits, runs scored, and runs batted in into one number — the books call it a combo prop. It rewards all-around production: a 2-hit night with a run and an RBI is 4. Per plate appearance, around .45 is league average.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better. H+R+RBI is the most forgiving prop on the board — three ways to get there — so scores run higher here than on any single-outcome board. Compare within this board, not across.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a H+R+RBI.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

This board stacks three outcomes, so the platoon split compounds. The opposite hand lifts his own hit chances and the chances he's on base when the next guy drives him in.

What are park factors?

A park that produces hits produces all three legs of this number. Gaps, altitude, and weather raise the whole line together. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a H+R+RBI in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for h+r+rbi props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ H+R+RBI" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against the box score. Three ways to clear one line makes this the most forgiving prop we publish, and the hit rate reflects that — compare it against the other boards' rates, not in isolation.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB H+R+RBI matchups — Thursday, June 25, 2026

Every hitter on the Thursday, June 25, 2026 slate — ranked by combined hits + runs + RBI upside — the best all-around production. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Thursday, June 25, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 5/5 (100%) on our H+R+RBI over/under, against 67% on the season.

Top 5

5/5100%

season 67%

Top 10

7/1070%

season 64%

Full slate

70/13651%

season 51%

Top call Pete Crow-Armstrong came through. Matt Chapman didn't.

Each hitter below carries a 0–100 matchup score — a read on the spot in front of him, not a ranking of how good he is, so a star in a brutal matchup can sit below an average hitter in a soft one. Confidence next to it is coverage: how much real data backs the number. Every call here was graded against the box score — wins and misses both, with the record on this page. How this board is built →

Final · 2–13

KCaway

TBhomeTop matchup75 Final · 1–5

SEAaway

PIThomeTop matchup59 Final · 9–6

ATHaway

SFhomeTop matchup74 Final · 2–1

HOUaway

DEThomeTop matchup69 Final · 10–5

PHIaway

WSHhomeTop matchup83 Final · 6–5

TEXaway

TORhomeTop matchup73 Final · 4–3

CHCaway

NYMhomeTop matchup100 Final · 3–6

NYYaway

BOShomeTop matchup75

Not starting39 not in the official lineup — moved to the bottom

PosSort

#Hitter · Matchup · 183 shownScore

104 with a H+R+RBILive count — updates as games play

1
Junior Caminero3B
TBvsKC· 3-for-5
12H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI, #25
2
Bryce Harper1B
PHI@WSH· 2-for-3
7H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.5 H+R+RBI, #2
T2
Brandon MarshLF
PHI@WSH· 2-for-4
7H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.4 H+R+RBI, #5
4
Jonathan Aranda1B
TBvsKC· 3-for-5
6H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.2 H+R+RBI, #16
T4
Caleb Durbin3B
BOSvsNYY· 2-for-3
6H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #94
T4
Kazuma Okamoto3B
TORvsTEX· 2-for-4
6H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #95
T4
Jeff McNeil2B
ATH@SF· 3-for-4
6H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #108
T4
Henry DavisC
PITvsSEA· 2-for-3
6H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.6 H+R+RBI, #137
9
Wyatt LangfordLF
TEX@TOR· 1-for-5
5H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.3 H+R+RBI, #9
T9
Dylan CrewsRF
WSHvsPHI· 3-for-4
5H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.2 H+R+RBI, #27
T9
Brandon Lowe2B
PITvsSEA· 2-for-4
5H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI, #32
T9
Jake Burger1B
TEX@TOR· 2-for-4
5H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI, #33
T9
Jung Hoo LeeRF
SFvsATH· 1-for-4
5H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #49
T9
Lawrence ButlerRF
ATH@SF· 2-for-5
5H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #74
T9
Joc PedersonDH
TEX@TOR· 2-for-3
5H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #84
T9
Victor Mesa Jr.RF
TBvsKC· 1-for-3
5H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.7 H+R+RBI, #110
T9
Alika WilliamsSS
ATH@SF· 2-for-4
5H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #118
18
Paul Goldschmidt1B
NYY@BOS· 2-for-4
4H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.3 H+R+RBI, #4
T18
Carter JensenC
KC@TB· 1-for-4
4H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.2 H+R+RBI, #19
T18
Willy AdamesSS
SFvsATH· 1-for-3
4H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #59
T18
Victor BericotoLF
SFvsATH· 1-for-4
4H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #65
T18
Henry BolteCF
ATH@SF· 3-for-5
4H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #77
T18
José CaballeroSS
NYY@BOS· 2-for-4
4H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #92
T18
Cedric MullinsCF
TBvsKC· 2-for-4
4H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #101
T18
Daylen LileLF
WSHvsPHI· 2-for-4
4H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #113
26
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
CHC@NYM· 2-for-5
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.6 H+R+RBI, #1
T26
Kyle SchwarberDH
PHI@WSH· 2-for-4
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.4 H+R+RBI, #7
T26
Dillon DinglerC
DETvsHOU· 1-for-3
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.3 H+R+RBI, #15
T26
Trea TurnerSS
PHI@WSH· 2-for-5
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.3 H+R+RBI, #17
T26
Jeremy PeñaSS
HOU@DET· 2-for-4
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.2 H+R+RBI, #22
T26
Curtis Mead3B
WSHvsPHI· 1-for-5
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.2 H+R+RBI, #23
T26
Michael ConfortoDH
CHC@NYM· 1-for-4
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI, #43
T26
Tyler SoderstromLF
ATH@SF· 2-for-4
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI, #44
T26
J.T. RealmutoC
PHI@WSH· 1-for-5
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #53
T26
Ceddanne RafaelaCF
BOSvsNYY· 1-for-4
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #56
T26
Alex Bregman3B
CHC@NYM· 1-for-4
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #58
T26
Shea LangeliersC
ATH@SF· 1-for-5
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #67
T26
Richie Palacios2B
TBvsKC· 2-for-5
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #69
T26
Ernie Clement2B
TORvsTEX· 2-for-4
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #78
T26
Jonah HeimC
ATH@SF· 1-for-4
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #83
T26
Max Muncy3B
ATH@SF· 1-for-5
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #91
T26
Taylor WallsSS
TBvsKC· 1-for-3
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #99
T26
Jacob YoungCF
WSHvsPHI· 1-for-3
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #109
T26
Justin CrawfordCF
PHI@WSH· 2-for-5
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #112
T26
Taylor TrammellCF
HOU@DET· 1-for-2
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.7 H+R+RBI, #135
T26
Myles StrawCF
TORvsTEX· 1-for-2
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.6 H+R+RBI, #139
T26
Nicky Lopez2B
TEX@TOR· 2-for-4
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.6 H+R+RBI, #142
T26
Jared Young1B
NYMvsCHC· 1-for-1
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI
T26
Nick FortesC
TBvsKC· 1-for-1
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.7 H+R+RBI
50
Yandy DíazDH
TBvsKC· 1-for-4
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.3 H+R+RBI, #3
T50
Casey SchmittLF
SFvsATH· 1-for-4
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.3 H+R+RBI, #14
T50
J.P. CrawfordSS
SEA@PIT· 1-for-5
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI, #28
T50
Bryan ReynoldsLF
PITvsSEA· 1-for-3
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI, #34
T50
Riley GreeneLF
DETvsHOU· 2-for-4
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.2 H+R+RBI, #35
T50
Ian HappLF
CHC@NYM· 1-for-4
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI, #36
T50
Chandler SimpsonLF
TBvsKC· 1-for-5
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #64
T50
Ryan O'HearnRF
PITvsSEA· 1-for-4
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #72
T50
Nasim Nuñez2B
WSHvsPHI· 1-for-2
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #76
T50
Jasson DomínguezRF
NYY@BOS· 1-for-4
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #81
T50
Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B
NYY@BOS· 1-for-3
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #102
T50
Alejandro KirkC
TORvsTEX· 1-for-4
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #103
T50
Jarren DuranLF
BOSvsNYY· 1-for-3
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.7 H+R+RBI, #123
T50
A.J. EwingCF
NYMvsCHC· 1-for-4
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.7 H+R+RBI, #125
T50
Kyle HigashiokaC
TEX@TOR· 2-for-3
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.7 H+R+RBI, #127
T50
Jared TrioloSS
PITvsSEA· 1-for-3
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.6 H+R+RBI, #130
T50
Anthony Seigler2B
BOSvsNYY· 2-for-4
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.7 H+R+RBI, #133
67
Matt Chapman3B
SFvsATH· 1-for-2
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.4 H+R+RBI, #6
T67
Bo Bichette3B
NYMvsCHC· 1-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.3 H+R+RBI, #8
T67
Nick Kurtz1B
ATH@SF· 0-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.3 H+R+RBI, #10
T67
Bryce EldridgeDH
SFvsATH· 0-for-3
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.3 H+R+RBI, #12
T67
Kevin McGonigleSS
DETvsHOU· 1-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.3 H+R+RBI, #20
T67
Juan SotoLF
NYMvsCHC· 1-for-3
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.2 H+R+RBI, #24
T67
Cal RaleighC
SEA@PIT· 1-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI, #29
T67
Carson BengeRF
NYMvsCHC· 1-for-5
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI, #31
T67
Michael Busch1B
CHC@NYM· 1-for-5
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI, #38
T67
Nick Gonzales3B
PITvsSEA· 1-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #41
T67
Alec Bohm3B
PHI@WSH· 0-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI, #42
T67
Luke RaleyRF
SEA@PIT· 1-for-2
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #46
T67
Josh Naylor1B
SEA@PIT· 1-for-3
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #47
T67
Andrés Chaparro1B
WSHvsPHI· 0-for-3
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI, #48
T67
Amed Rosario3B
NYY@BOS· 1-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #54
T67
Isaac Paredes3B
HOU@DET· 0-for-3
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #66
T67
Randy ArozarenaLF
SEA@PIT· 1-for-3
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #68
T67
Julio RodríguezCF
SEA@PIT· 1-for-5
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #71
T67
Willson Contreras1B
BOSvsNYY· 0-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #75
T67
Corey SeagerSS
TEX@TOR· 0-for-3
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #88
T67
Christian Walker1B
HOU@DET· 1-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #96
T67
Starling MarteRF
KC@TB· 0-for-1
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #97
T67
Masataka YoshidaDH
BOSvsNYY· 0-for-3
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #104
T67
Dansby SwansonSS
CHC@NYM· 0-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #111
T67
Nathan LukesRF
TORvsTEX· 0-for-2
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #116
T67
Ronny MauricioSS
NYMvsCHC· 1-for-5
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #117
T67
Cam SmithRF
HOU@DET· 1-for-3
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #120
T67
MJ MelendezDH
NYMvsCHC· 1-for-2
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.7 H+R+RBI, #121
T67
Hao-Yu Lee2B
DETvsHOU· 1-for-3
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #124
T67
Hunter FeducciaC
TBvsKC· 0-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.7 H+R+RBI, #126
T67
Davis SchneiderLF
TORvsTEX· 0-for-2
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.7 H+R+RBI, #128
T67
Austin WellsC
NYY@BOS· 1-for-3
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.7 H+R+RBI, #132
T67
Alejandro OsunaLF
TEX@TOR· 1-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.7 H+R+RBI, #134
T67
Brett Baty3B
NYMvsCHC· 1-for-5
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.7 H+R+RBI, #136
T67
Mitch GarverC
SEA@PIT· 0-for-2
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.6 H+R+RBI, #138
T67
Carlos NarváezC
BOSvsNYY· 1-for-2
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.6 H+R+RBI, #143
T67
Nate EatonOF
BOSvsNYY
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI
T67
Andruw MonasterioSS
BOSvsNYY
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.6 H+R+RBI

Best MLB H+R+RBI Matchups — Thursday, June 25, 2026

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) is the top h+r+rbi matchup on the Thursday, June 25, 2026 board at 100, with Bryce Harper (PHI) and Yandy Díaz (TB) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by combined hits + runs + RBI upside — the best all-around production — the bat, the arm and bullpen they face, batting order, park, and weather. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top h+r+rbi spot: Pete Crow-Armstrong

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Freddy Peralta. The lefty is stacking production at .557 (H+R+RBI)/PA against righties this year — and .864 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a H+R+RBI in about 59% of his trips. And Freddy Peralta has been getting lit up by righties lately — .886 H+R+RBI per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Freddy Peralta too — .333 across 15 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park.

The rest of the top of the board

Bryce Harper (PHI) (83) vs RHP Cade Cavalli: an excellent bat at .571 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.480).
Yandy Díaz (TB) (75) vs RHP Seth Lugo: a strong bat at .524 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.400).
Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) (75) vs LHP Connelly Early: a strong bat at .518 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.529).
Brandon Marsh (PHI) (75) vs RHP Cade Cavalli: an excellent bat at .552 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.480).
Matt Chapman (SF) (74) vs LHP Jeffrey Springs: a solid bat at .456 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (1.067).
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) (74) vs RHP Cade Cavalli: a strong bat at .504 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.480).
Bo Bichette (NYM) (73) vs LHP Matthew Boyd: a strong bat at .506 into an arm with little track record against the same side.

Arms giving up production today

LHP Jeffrey Springs has been getting lit up by lefties — .597 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Matt Chapman (SF), Bryce Eldridge (SF), and Casey Schmitt (SF).
RHP Kevin Gausman has been getting lit up by righties — .560 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Wyatt Langford (TEX), Jake Burger (TEX), and Ezequiel Duran (TEX).
RHP Freddy Peralta has been getting lit up by righties — .559 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC), Ian Happ (CHC), and Michael Busch (CHC).
RHP Casey Legumina has been vulnerable to righties — .509 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Nick Loftin (KC), Carter Jensen (KC), and Jac Caglianone (KC).

Platoon edges to target

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .557 against righties this year.
Bryce Harper (PHI) — lefty bat vs RHP, .588 against righties this year.
Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) — righty bat vs LHP, .682 against lefties this year.
Brandon Marsh (PHI) — lefty bat vs RHP, .612 against righties this year.
Matt Chapman (SF) — righty bat vs LHP, .452 against lefties this year.

How it played out

10 of the top 10 h+r+rbi matchups landed at least one H+R+RBI. Top play Pete Crow-Armstrong finished with 3 H+R+RBI. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these h+r+rbi matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's combined hits + runs + RBIs per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

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What the hits + runs + RBIs board is

The H+R+RBI board projects a hitter's combined H+R+RBI vs the book's line. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

His hit, run, and RBI projections, composed from the tuned component boards.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Composed from our tuned hit/run/RBI numbers, this grades efficient — no edge in any gap bin. Transparency board.

How to use it

A tidy one-number read on a hitter's all-around night; research, not a play.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best h+r+rbi matchup today (Thursday, June 25, 2026)?: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Freddy Peralta. An excellent bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB h+r+rbi matchups today (Thursday, June 25, 2026)?: The top h+r+rbi matchups on Thursday, June 25, 2026: Pete Crow-Armstrong (100), Bryce Harper (83), Yandy Díaz (75), Paul Goldschmidt (75), Brandon Marsh (75). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by h+r+rbi upside.
Did the top h+r+rbi matchup get a H+R+RBI on Thursday, June 25, 2026?: Yes — Pete Crow-Armstrong got 3 H+R+RBI.
Which hitters have a platoon edge today?: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .557 against righties this year. Bryce Harper (PHI) — lefty bat vs RHP, .588 against righties this year. Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) — righty bat vs LHP, .682 against lefties this year. Brandon Marsh (PHI) — lefty bat vs RHP, .612 against righties this year. Matt Chapman (SF) — righty bat vs LHP, .452 against lefties this year.
Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?: LHP Jeffrey Springs has been getting lit up by lefties — .597 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Matt Chapman (SF), Bryce Eldridge (SF), and Casey Schmitt (SF). RHP Kevin Gausman has been getting lit up by righties — .560 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Wyatt Langford (TEX), Jake Burger (TEX), and Ezequiel Duran (TEX). RHP Freddy Peralta has been getting lit up by righties — .559 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC), Ian Happ (CHC), and Michael Busch (CHC). RHP Casey Legumina has been vulnerable to righties — .509 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Nick Loftin (KC), Carter Jensen (KC), and Jac Caglianone (KC).
How is the h+r+rbi matchup score calculated?: It blends three routes to the line: his hit rate against that hand, the bats in front of him for RBI, and the bats behind him for runs. Recent form counts most. Then the bullpen, order spot and park. 0–100 across the slate.
What does H+R+RBI mean?: It adds a hitter's hits, runs scored, and runs batted in into one number — the books call it a combo prop. It rewards all-around production: a 2-hit night with a run and an RBI is 4. Per plate appearance, around .45 is league average.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better. H+R+RBI is the most forgiving prop on the board — three ways to get there — so scores run higher here than on any single-outcome board. Compare within this board, not across.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a H+R+RBI.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: This board stacks three outcomes, so the platoon split compounds. The opposite hand lifts his own hit chances and the chances he's on base when the next guy drives him in.
What are park factors?: A park that produces hits produces all three legs of this number. Gaps, altitude, and weather raise the whole line together. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a H+R+RBI in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for h+r+rbi props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ H+R+RBI" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against the box score. Three ways to clear one line makes this the most forgiving prop we publish, and the hit rate reflects that — compare it against the other boards' rates, not in isolation.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.