MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Saturday, March 28, 2026

BOS @ CIN Home Runs matchups · Saturday, March 28, 2026

BOS
BOS
Boston Red Sox
56
Final
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
CIN
Great American Ball ParkElevation 535 ftCenter Field 404 ft 49°F SunnyWind 2 mph, L To R

BOS BOS Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.036823 BF
wOBA allowed.355
Hard-Hit %38%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.017655 BF
wOBA allowed.263
Hard-Hit %25%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.019206 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.036823 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.00016 PA
Last 2 Years.0301710 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.335
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.346
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.158

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

BRBetRivers+420
MGMBetMGM+400
BOLBetOnline+400
CZRCaesars+390
BOVBovada+340

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Roman Anthony's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.035571 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.017655 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00024 PA
Season.00024 PA
Last 2 Years.0292676 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.280
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.143
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.146

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+425
CZRCaesars+425
BRBetRivers+420
BOLBetOnline+400
BOVBovada+360

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Trevor Story's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.030992 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.036823 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.00016 PA
Last 2 Years.0301710 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.363
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.346
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances12

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.165

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+425
BRBetRivers+420
BOLBetOnline+400
CZRCaesars+400
BOVBovada+340

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Jarren Duran's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.038687 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.017655 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00024 PA
Season.00024 PA
Last 2 Years.0292676 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.280
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances10

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.142

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+450
BRBetRivers+440
BOVBovada+425
CZRCaesars+425
BOLBetOnline+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Willson Contreras's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.048730 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.036823 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.00016 PA
Last 2 Years.0301710 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.346
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.222
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.165

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

BRBetRivers+450
MGMBetMGM+400
BOLBetOnline+400
CZRCaesars+400
BOVBovada+360

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Wilyer Abreu's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.019374 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.017655 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00024 PA
Season.00024 PA
Last 2 Years.0292676 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.280
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.107

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

BOLBetOnline+900
MGMBetMGM+850
BOVBovada+850
CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Caleb Durbin's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.0002 PA
Last 2 Years.036111 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.036823 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.00016 PA
Last 2 Years.0301710 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.346
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.131

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+575
BOVBovada+575
CZRCaesars+525
BOLBetOnline+500
BRBetRivers+475

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Marcelo Mayer's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.017477 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.017655 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00024 PA
Season.00024 PA
Last 2 Years.0292676 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.297
Hard-Hit %27%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.280
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances8

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.066

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Connor Wong's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.0002 PA
Last 2 Years.025845 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.017655 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00024 PA
Season.00024 PA
Last 2 Years.0292676 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.280
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.286
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.102

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+800
BOVBovada+700
CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+550

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Ceddanne Rafaela's full player page →

CIN CIN Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.030705 BF
wOBA allowed.308
Hard-Hit %36%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.035719 BF
wOBA allowed.299
Hard-Hit %33%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.028748 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.030705 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L9–1
ERA2.69
WHIP1.11
IP83.2
H / K / BB72 / 75 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.0006 PA
Last 2 Years.0222235 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances12

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.132

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+950
BOVBovada+850
CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700
BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

TJ Friedl's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.027447 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.035719 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L9–1
ERA2.69
WHIP1.11
IP83.2
H / K / BB72 / 75 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.00029 PA
Last 2 Years.0234203 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.800
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.133

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+750
CZRCaesars+750
BOVBovada+725
BOLBetOnline+700
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Matt McLain's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.037969 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.030705 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L9–1
ERA2.69
WHIP1.11
IP83.2
H / K / BB72 / 75 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.0006 PA
Last 2 Years.0222235 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.335
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.357
Plate Appearances14

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.159

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+650
BOVBovada+650
CZRCaesars+500
BOLBetOnline+450
BRBetRivers+440

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Elly De La Cruz's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.019258 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.035719 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L9–1
ERA2.69
WHIP1.11
IP83.2
H / K / BB72 / 75 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.00029 PA
Last 2 Years.0234203 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.284
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.101

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Dane Myers's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.061920 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.035719 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L9–1
ERA2.69
WHIP1.11
IP83.2
H / K / BB72 / 75 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.00029 PA
Last 2 Years.0234203 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.533
Plate Appearances15

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.18

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+400
BOLBetOnline+400
CZRCaesars+400
BOVBovada+385
BRBetRivers+375

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Eugenio Suárez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.035922 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.035719 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L9–1
ERA2.69
WHIP1.11
IP83.2
H / K / BB72 / 75 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.00029 PA
Last 2 Years.0234203 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances12

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.124

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+750
BOVBovada+725
BOLBetOnline+700
BRBetRivers+700
CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Spencer Steer's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.035453 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.035719 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L9–1
ERA2.69
WHIP1.11
IP83.2
H / K / BB72 / 75 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.00029 PA
Last 2 Years.0234203 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.119

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Noelvi Marte's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.020353 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.035719 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L9–1
ERA2.69
WHIP1.11
IP83.2
H / K / BB72 / 75 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.00029 PA
Last 2 Years.0234203 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.300
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.086

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

MGMBetMGM+1350
CZRCaesars+1100
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Jose Trevino's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.034859 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.030705 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L9–1
ERA2.69
WHIP1.11
IP83.2
H / K / BB72 / 75 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.0006 PA
Last 2 Years.0222235 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.328
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances10

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.123

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Nathaniel Lowe's full player page →