MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Wednesday, April 1, 2026

LAA @ CHC Home Runs matchups · Wednesday, April 1, 2026

LAA
LAA
Los Angeles Angels
26
Final
CHC
Chicago Cubs
CHC
Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft 39°F CloudyWind 21 mph, In From LF

LAA LAA Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 BF
Season.0006 BF
Last 2 Years.018220 BF
wOBA allowed.299
Hard-Hit %100%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 BF
Season.09111 BF
Last 2 Years.029681 BF
wOBA allowed.531
Hard-Hit %67%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.0002 PA
Last 2 Years.053228 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA
Season.09111 PA
Last 2 Years.029681 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–1
ERA5.08
WHIP1.40
IP33.2
H / K / BB37 / 37 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04589 PA
Season.04589 PA
Last 2 Years.0324791 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -25%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.332
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.667
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.138

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600
BOVBovada+550
BRBetRivers+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Zach Neto's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.024123 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA
Season.09111 PA
Last 2 Years.029681 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–1
ERA5.08
WHIP1.40
IP33.2
H / K / BB37 / 37 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04589 PA
Season.04589 PA
Last 2 Years.0324791 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -25%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.113

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

BOLBetOnline+600
CZRCaesars+525
BRBetRivers+475
BOVBovada+475

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Mike Trout's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.0003 PA
Last 2 Years.071211 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA
Season.09111 PA
Last 2 Years.029681 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–1
ERA5.08
WHIP1.40
IP33.2
H / K / BB37 / 37 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04589 PA
Season.04589 PA
Last 2 Years.0324791 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.329
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.152

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

BOLBetOnline+700
CZRCaesars+575
BOVBovada+500
BRBetRivers+460

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Jo Adell's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.0002 PA
Last 2 Years.039206 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA
Season.09111 PA
Last 2 Years.029681 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–1
ERA5.08
WHIP1.40
IP33.2
H / K / BB37 / 37 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04589 PA
Season.04589 PA
Last 2 Years.0324791 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.328
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.182
Plate Appearances33

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.131

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

BOVBovada+650
BOLBetOnline+600
CZRCaesars+575
BRBetRivers+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Jorge Soler's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA
Season.0004 PA
Last 2 Years.00037 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA
Season.09111 PA
Last 2 Years.029681 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–1
ERA5.08
WHIP1.40
IP33.2
H / K / BB37 / 37 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04589 PA
Season.04589 PA
Last 2 Years.0324791 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -14%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.227
Plate Appearances22

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.101

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+1150
CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Yoán Moncada's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.0002 PA
Last 2 Years.01192 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA
Season.09111 PA
Last 2 Years.029681 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–1
ERA5.08
WHIP1.40
IP33.2
H / K / BB37 / 37 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04589 PA
Season.04589 PA
Last 2 Years.0324791 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -25%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.304
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.143
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.09

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

BOVBovada+1100
CZRCaesars+1100
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Oswald Peraza's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.024169 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA
Season.09111 PA
Last 2 Years.029681 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–1
ERA5.08
WHIP1.40
IP33.2
H / K / BB37 / 37 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04589 PA
Season.04589 PA
Last 2 Years.0324791 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -13%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.305
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.08

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

BRBetRivers+1000
CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900
BOVBovada+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Jeimer Candelario's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.044

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.073124 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA
Season.09111 PA
Last 2 Years.029681 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–1
ERA5.08
WHIP1.40
IP33.2
H / K / BB37 / 37 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04589 PA
Season.04589 PA
Last 2 Years.0324791 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -11%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.111
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.142

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+900
BOVBovada+725

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Travis d'Arnaud's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.03330 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA
Season.09111 PA
Last 2 Years.029681 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–1
ERA5.08
WHIP1.40
IP33.2
H / K / BB37 / 37 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04589 PA
Season.04589 PA
Last 2 Years.0324791 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -12%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.103

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+1300
BRBetRivers+1100
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Bryce Teodosio's full player page →

CHC CHC Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.3333 BF
Season.3333 BF
Last 2 Years.023306 BF
wOBA allowed.691
Hard-Hit %67%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 BF
Season.00019 BF
Last 2 Years.0351202 BF
wOBA allowed.387
Hard-Hit %53%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.0003 PA
Last 2 Years.021288 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.00019 PA
Last 2 Years.0351202 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L0–3
ERA5.81
WHIP1.58
IP31.0
H / K / BB35 / 33 / 14

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.000136 PA
Season.000136 PA
Last 2 Years.0302564 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -25%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.332
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.321
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.667
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.102

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

CZRCaesars+1300
BOVBovada+1100
BRBetRivers+1050
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Nico Hoerner's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.2005 PA
Season.2005 PA
Last 2 Years.038313 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.00019 PA
Last 2 Years.0351202 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L0–3
ERA5.81
WHIP1.58
IP31.0
H / K / BB35 / 33 / 14

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.000136 PA
Season.000136 PA
Last 2 Years.0302564 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -10%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.321
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.258
Plate Appearances31

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.132

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

CZRCaesars+1100
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+750
BOVBovada+725

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Alex Bregman's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1676 PA
Season.1676 PA
Last 2 Years.037347 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.00019 PA
Last 2 Years.0351202 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L0–3
ERA5.81
WHIP1.58
IP31.0
H / K / BB35 / 33 / 14

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.000136 PA
Season.000136 PA
Last 2 Years.0302564 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -16%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.321
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.122

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+750
BOVBovada+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Ian Happ's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.0003 PA
Last 2 Years.034177 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.00019 PA
Last 2 Years.0351202 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L0–3
ERA5.81
WHIP1.58
IP31.0
H / K / BB35 / 33 / 14

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.000136 PA
Season.000136 PA
Last 2 Years.0302564 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -11%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.326
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.321
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.114

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

CZRCaesars+1100
BRBetRivers+1000
BOLBetOnline+900
BOVBovada+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Carson Kelly's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.4×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA
Season.0004 PA
Last 2 Years.025197 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.3333 PA
Season.3333 PA
Last 2 Years.023306 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L0–3
ERA5.81
WHIP1.58
IP31.0
H / K / BB35 / 33 / 14

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.01760 PA
Season.01760 PA
Last 2 Years.0322190 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.11

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

BOLBetOnline+900
CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+700
BOVBovada+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Michael Busch's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.0002 PA
Last 2 Years.038262 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.00019 PA
Last 2 Years.0351202 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L0–3
ERA5.81
WHIP1.58
IP31.0
H / K / BB35 / 33 / 14

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.000136 PA
Season.000136 PA
Last 2 Years.0302564 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -25%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.330
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.321
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.106

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

CZRCaesars+1100
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+800
BOVBovada+725

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Dansby Swanson's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.0003 PA
Last 2 Years.053113 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.00019 PA
Last 2 Years.0351202 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L0–3
ERA5.81
WHIP1.58
IP31.0
H / K / BB35 / 33 / 14

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.000136 PA
Season.000136 PA
Last 2 Years.0302564 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.321
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.113

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

CZRCaesars+1300
BRBetRivers+1150
BOVBovada+950
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Matt Shaw's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.0007 PA
Last 2 Years.028287 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.3333 PA
Season.3333 PA
Last 2 Years.023306 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L0–3
ERA5.81
WHIP1.58
IP31.0
H / K / BB35 / 33 / 14

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.01760 PA
Season.01760 PA
Last 2 Years.0322190 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -18%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.300
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.085

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

CZRCaesars+1100
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+900
BOVBovada+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Pete Crow-Armstrong's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.0005 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.3333 PA
Season.3333 PA
Last 2 Years.023306 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L0–3
ERA5.81
WHIP1.58
IP31.0
H / K / BB35 / 33 / 14

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.01760 PA
Season.01760 PA
Last 2 Years.0322190 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.105

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Moisés Ballesteros's full player page →