Last scored matchup
Ian isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 7 days ago, away at San Diego Padres on Thursday, October 1, 2026, where he landed on doubles (86.7/100), walks (78.3/100), triples (64.9/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.
He's in a cold stretch
Ian is 5-for-33 (.152) across his last 10 games, down from .215 on the season. Slumps this size are mostly noise at this sample — 33 at-bats is a fortnight, not a trend — and the model treats it that way, discounting the cold run rather than writing him off. If the matchup underneath is good, he'll still grade well here. That's a feature, and sometimes it's wrong.
What kind of hitter he is
Ian has 24 home runs and 55 extra-base hits in 545 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.
He bats from both sides
Ian is a switch-hitter, which changes how the model reads every one of his matchups. Most hitters carry a real platoon penalty — a lefty bat facing a good lefty arm is a materially worse spot, and the score drops accordingly. Ian takes the favourable side almost every night, so he doesn't collect that penalty. What moves his number instead is the quality of the arm rather than its handedness, and how the two sides of his own swing actually compare, which is rarely as balanced as the switch-hitter label suggests.
Floor and ceiling
Ian has recorded at least one hit in 85 of 151 games he's batted in — 56% — with 28 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.
Home and away
Ian is hitting .214 at home (55-for-257) and .215 on the road (62-for-288) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.
How our calls on Ian have graded
In the 10 games where we ranked Ian a top-20 hitter matchup, he recorded a hit 7 times — 70%. That's a thin sample and we'd treat it as such. Every one of those calls was graded against the real box score, misses included.
Where he lands across our boards
Ian was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: doubles graded 86.7/100 while singles came in at 9.6/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.
How the model reads him
Ian gets scored the same way a backup infielder does — same inputs, same scale, no thumb on it. What he's done against arms of this handedness, what this particular pitcher and bullpen give up, his likely plate appearances, the ballpark, the conditions, his recent form. The weighting behind those is ours and gets re-tuned weekly against what actually happened. The output is public and graded, which is the only claim worth making.
What we'd flag
Read this page knowing what it can't do. It can't show you a line no book posted — coverage peaks around 87% for confirmed starters. It can't see a lineup change that happens after the projection publishes. And it can't tell you anything useful from one game, because the model is only measurable across a season-sized sample.