MatchWiz

Pete Crow-Armstrong

Pete Crow-Armstrong — our top-20 calls on him have hit 71% this season. His matchups, projections, and the full graded record.

Last scored board
100
Fantasy Points · @ SD · 2026-10-01
Our calls on him · hits
71%
1+ hit in 40/56 top-20 calls
Games graded
163
this season, box-score final
Pete Crow-Armstrong
CFBats LThrows LChicago Cubs
Fantasy Points100/100proj 7.9#1Home Runs100/100proj 0.3#1Runs100/100proj 0.6#1Triples100/100proj 0#1RBIs99.5/100proj 0.5#3Stolen Bases95.6/100proj 0.2#3H+R+RBI95.1/100proj 2#2Total Bases93.5/100proj 1.7#2Hits77.6/100proj 1.1#3Walks73.4/100proj 0.4#5Doubles71.7/100proj 0.2#5Singles48.8/100proj 0.6#9

Last scored matchup

Pete isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 7 days ago, away at San Diego Padres on Thursday, October 1, 2026, where he landed on fantasy points (100/100), home runs (100/100), runs (100/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

Recent form

Pete is 8-for-36 (.222) over his last 10 games, in line with his .275 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Pete has 45 home runs and 84 extra-base hits in 629 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a left-handed bat

Pete hits from the left side, and that's the first thing the model looks at. Left-handed hitters see right-handed pitching most nights, which is the favourable side — so a lefty bat's baseline is set against righties, and drawing a left-handed starter is a genuine downgrade rather than a rounding error. When you see his score fall on a day he's still in the lineup, an opposing lefty is usually why. Handedness also shapes the park read: pull-side geometry matters more for a left-handed swing than the raw park factor suggests.

Floor and ceiling

Pete has recorded at least one hit in 110 of 163 games he's batted in — 67% — with 42 multi-hit games among them. That's about average — most regulars land somewhere near it.

Home and away

Pete is hitting .307 at home (93-for-303) and .245 on the road (80-for-326) across the season. That's a real-looking split, and it's the kind of thing that's usually part park and part noise. The model doesn't apply a blanket home-road adjustment — it prices the actual ballpark he's standing in, which is the part that carries signal.

His best game in the log

Pete's biggest night was Wednesday, September 16, 2026 against ATL — 3-for-4 with 2 homers, 3 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

How our calls on Pete have graded

We've ranked Pete a top-20 hitter matchup 56 times this season. He got a hit in 40 of them — 71%. That's the model reading him well, and it's the number we'd point to if you asked why we keep ranking him. It's also a season-sized sample on one player, which is smaller than it sounds; don't extrapolate it into a promise about tonight.

Where he lands across our boards

Pete was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: fantasy points graded 100/100 while singles came in at 48.8/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Take the name off Pete and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.

What we'd flag

Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Wednesday, September 30@ SD40000
Tuesday, September 29@ SD30000
Sunday, September 27@ BOS11000
Friday, September 25@ BOS41000
Friday, September 25@ BOS40000
Thursday, September 24vs MIA31000
Wednesday, September 23vs MIA30000
Tuesday, September 22vs MIA42010
Sunday, September 20@ CIN53132
Saturday, September 19@ CIN50000
Friday, September 18@ CIN50000
Wednesday, September 16vs ATL43233

Pete Crow-Armstrong — FAQ

Is Pete Crow-Armstrong playing today?

Pete Crow-Armstrong isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Thursday, October 1, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Pete Crow-Armstrong graded?

In the 56 games where our model ranked Pete a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 40 times — 71%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Pete Crow-Armstrong been hitting lately?

Pete is 8-for-36 (.222) over his last 10 games, against .275 on the season across 629 at-bats in our log, with 45 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Pete Crow-Armstrong appear on?

Pete was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — fantasy points, home runs, runs, triples, rbis. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Pete Crow-Armstrong's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).