Last scored matchup
Zach isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 11 days ago, away at Seattle Mariners on Sunday, September 27, 2026, where he landed on runs (73.4/100), fantasy points (64.3/100), walks (55.5/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.
He's in a cold stretch
Zach is 6-for-34 (.176) across his last 10 games, down from .241 on the season. Slumps this size are mostly noise at this sample — 34 at-bats is a fortnight, not a trend — and the model treats it that way, discounting the cold run rather than writing him off. If the matchup underneath is good, he'll still grade well here. That's a feature, and sometimes it's wrong.
What kind of hitter he is
Zach has 27 home runs and 63 extra-base hits in 615 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.
He's a right-handed bat
Zach hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.
Floor and ceiling
Zach has recorded at least one hit in 99 of 156 games he's batted in — 63% — with 37 multi-hit games among them. That's about average — most regulars land somewhere near it.
Home and away
Zach is hitting .208 at home (60-for-288) and .269 on the road (88-for-327) across the season. That's a real-looking split, and it's the kind of thing that's usually part park and part noise. The model doesn't apply a blanket home-road adjustment — it prices the actual ballpark he's standing in, which is the part that carries signal.
Against Seattle Mariners
Zach is 6-for-21 (.286) against Seattle Mariners in our log, over 6 games. Worth knowing, worth not over-reading. 21 at-bats against one club is a tiny sample, and the model treats it as a minor input next to what that pitching staff actually allows to his handedness. Batter-versus-pitcher history is the most quoted number in baseball and one of the least predictive.
His best game in the log
Zach's biggest night was Friday, September 25, 2026 at SEA — 3-for-5 with 1 homer, 2 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.
How our calls on Zach have graded
In the 49 games where we ranked Zach a top-20 hitter matchup, he recorded a hit 29 times — 59%. Middle of the road, which is what most players look like. Every one of those calls was graded against the real box score, misses included.
Where he lands across our boards
Zach was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: runs graded 73.4/100 while triples came in at 8.7/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.
How the model reads him
Take the name off Zach and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.
What we'd flag
Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes.