MatchWiz

Matt Shaw

Matt Shaw — hitting .226 in our graded log with 4 home runs. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
46.9
Walks · vs TOR · 2026-08-06
Our calls on him · hits
record builds as games settle
Games graded
45
this season, box-score final
Matt Shaw
RFBats RThrows RChicago Cubs
Walks46.9/100proj 0.4Stolen Bases46.1/100proj 0.2Hits45.1/100proj 0.9Fantasy Points36/100proj 6.3Runs35.2/100proj 0.5RBIs33.7/100proj 0.4H+R+RBI31.2/100proj 1.6Triples25.7/100proj 0Singles24.2/100proj 0.6Total Bases22/100proj 1.4Doubles15.9/100proj 0.1Home Runs10.4/100proj 0.1

Not on the current slate

Matt hasn't been scored in 17 days — his last matchup was against Toronto Blue Jays on Thursday, August 6, 2026. A gap that long usually means an injury, a minor-league option, or a roster move rather than a rest day. Everything below is his most recent real production, not a projection.

Recent form

Matt is 6-for-28 (.214) over his last 10 games, in line with his .226 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

He's a right-handed bat

Matt hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Matt has recorded at least one hit in 18 of 40 games he's batted in — 45% — with 6 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Matt is hitting .250 at home (12-for-48) and .209 on the road (14-for-67) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

No graded record on him yet

We haven't ranked Matt a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — not once so far. He's appeared in 45 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.

Where he lands across our boards

Matt was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: walks graded 46.9/100 while home runs came in at 10.4/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Take the name off Matt and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.

What we'd flag

Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes. For Matt specifically, we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Sunday, June 28@ MIL00000
Saturday, June 27@ MIL31020
Friday, June 26@ MIL10000
Thursday, June 25@ 00010
Wednesday, June 24@ NYM40001
Tuesday, June 23@ NYM31010
Saturday, June 20vs TOR51113
Friday, June 19vs TOR50020
Wednesday, June 17vs COL42012
Tuesday, June 16vs COL31010
Monday, June 15vs COL42012
Saturday, June 13@ 00000

Matt Shaw — FAQ

Is Matt Shaw playing today?

Matt Shaw isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Thursday, August 6, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How has Matt Shaw been hitting lately?

Matt is 6-for-28 (.214) over his last 10 games, against .226 on the season across 115 at-bats in our log, with 4 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Matt Shaw appear on?

Matt was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — walks, stolen bases, hits, fantasy points, runs. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Matt Shaw's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).