MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · 2B · Chicago Cubs

Nico Hoerner

Nico Hoerner — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: stolen bases at 72.6/100.

Today's top board
72.6
Stolen Bases · @ CIN
Our calls on him · hits
79%
1+ hit in 15/19 top-20 calls
Games graded
89
this season, box-score final
Nico Hoerner
2BBats RThrows RChicago Cubs
Stolen Bases72.6/100proj 0.1#10Hits49.6/100proj 1#105H+R+RBI44.1/100proj 1.6#145RBIs39.4/100proj 0.4#141Fantasy Points34.3/100proj 6#157Total Bases29.9/100proj 1.4#170Runs28.7/100proj 0.4#179Home Runs16.4/100proj 0.1#170Walks14.8/100proj 0.3#171

Today's matchup

Nico is at Cincinnati Reds on the Sunday, July 12, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — stolen bases (72.6/100, #10), hits (49.6/100, #105), h+r+rbi (44.1/100, #145), rbis (39.4/100, #141). We project Nico for 0.1 on the stolen bases board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Over his last 5 games, Nico is 1-for-15 (.067). The full log's below.

How our calls on Nico have done

When we've ranked Nico a top-20 hitter matchup this season, he's recorded a hit in 15 of 19 games (79%). That's the honest number — graded against the real box score, hits and misses both.

How the model reads him

Nico's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Sunday, July 12@ CIN40000
Saturday, July 11@ CIN40000
Friday, July 10@ CIN30000
Thursday, July 9@ BAL41000
Wednesday, July 8@ BAL0000
Tuesday, July 7@ BAL41010
Sunday, July 5vs STL31012
Saturday, July 4vs STL41000
Friday, July 3vs STL41000
Wednesday, July 1vs SD30000
Tuesday, June 30vs SD51000
Monday, June 29vs SD31000

Nico Hoerner — FAQ

Who is Nico Hoerner facing today?

Nico Hoerner is facing Cincinnati Reds on Sunday, July 12, 2026. His best matchup grades 72.6/100 on our stolen bases board.

What's Nico Hoerner's projection today?

We project Nico for 0.1 on the stolen bases board (away vs CIN). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Nico Hoerner done?

In the 19 games where our model ranked Nico a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 15 times (79%). Every projection is graded against the real result.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).