MatchWiz

Dansby Swanson

Dansby Swanson — hitting .213 in our graded log with 17 home runs. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
61
Stolen Bases · vs CWS · 2026-08-17
Our calls on him · hits
record builds as games settle
Games graded
115
this season, box-score final
Dansby Swanson
SSBats RThrows RChicago Cubs
Stolen Bases61/100proj 0.2RBIs48.1/100proj 0.5Runs41.2/100proj 0.5Fantasy Points33.7/100proj 6.6Singles28.6/100proj 0.5H+R+RBI25.5/100proj 1.6Total Bases24.8/100proj 1.5Walks24.6/100proj 0.3Home Runs20.7/100proj 0.1Doubles11.8/100proj 0.2Hits7.2/100proj 0.8Triples3.6/100proj 0

Last scored matchup

Dansby isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 6 days ago, at home against Chicago White Sox on Monday, August 17, 2026, where he landed on stolen bases (61/100), rbis (48.1/100), runs (41.2/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

Recent form

Dansby is 5-for-29 (.172) over his last 10 games, in line with his .213 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Dansby has 17 home runs and 34 extra-base hits in 394 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a right-handed bat

Dansby hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Dansby has recorded at least one hit in 57 of 113 games he's batted in — 50% — with 22 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Dansby is hitting .224 at home (43-for-192) and .203 on the road (41-for-202) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

His best game in the log

Dansby's biggest night was Tuesday, August 4, 2026 against LAD — 3-for-4 with 1 homer, 1 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

No graded record on him yet

We haven't ranked Dansby a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — not once so far. He's appeared in 115 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.

Where he lands across our boards

Dansby was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: stolen bases graded 61/100 while triples came in at 3.6/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Take the name off Dansby and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.

What we'd flag

Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes. For Dansby specifically, we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Sunday, August 16vs STL00000
Friday, August 14vs STL31010
Thursday, August 13@ WSH10000
Wednesday, August 12@ WSH42132
Tuesday, August 11@ WSH20001
Sunday, August 9@ KC41010
Saturday, August 8@ KC40000
Friday, August 7@ KC30010
Thursday, August 6vs TOR40000
Wednesday, August 5vs LAD41011
Tuesday, August 4vs LAD43121
Monday, August 3vs LAD32010

Dansby Swanson — FAQ

Is Dansby Swanson playing today?

Dansby Swanson isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Monday, August 17, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How has Dansby Swanson been hitting lately?

Dansby is 5-for-29 (.172) over his last 10 games, against .213 on the season across 394 at-bats in our log, with 17 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Dansby Swanson appear on?

Dansby was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — stolen bases, rbis, runs, fantasy points, singles. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Dansby Swanson's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).