MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · 3B · Chicago Cubs

Alex Bregman

Alex Bregman — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: runs at 63.6/100.

Today's top board
63.6
Runs · vs STL
Our calls on him · hits
78%
1+ hit in 7/9 top-20 calls
Games graded
83
this season, box-score final
Alex Bregman
3BBats RThrows RChicago Cubs
Runs63.6/100proj 0.5#29H+R+RBI62.1/100proj 1.8#80Total Bases54.5/100proj 1.6#74RBIs49.5/100proj 0.5#106Fantasy Points48.8/100proj 6.8#86Hits48.6/100proj 1#88Walks30.6/100proj 0.4#101Home Runs25.8/100proj 0.1#118Stolen Bases16.9/100proj 0#139

Today's matchup

Alex is hosting St. Louis Cardinals on the Friday, July 3, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — runs (63.6/100, #29), h+r+rbi (62.1/100, #80), total bases (54.5/100, #74), rbis (49.5/100, #106). We project Alex for 0.5 on the runs board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Over his last 5 games, Alex is 3-for-19 (.158) with 1 homer. The full log's below.

How our calls on Alex have done

When we've ranked Alex a top-20 hitter matchup this season, he's recorded a hit in 7 of 9 games (78%). That's the honest number — graded against the real box score, hits and misses both.

How the model reads him

Alex's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Wednesday, July 1vs SD50010
Tuesday, June 30vs SD31113
Monday, June 29vs SD42000
Sunday, June 28@ MIL40010
Saturday, June 27@ MIL30011
Friday, June 26@ MIL31000
Thursday, June 25@ NYM41011
Wednesday, June 24@ NYM30000
Tuesday, June 23@ NYM50000
Saturday, June 20vs TOR41010
Friday, June 19vs TOR41012
Wednesday, June 17vs COL10011

Alex Bregman — FAQ

Who is Alex Bregman facing today?

Alex Bregman is hosting St. Louis Cardinals on Friday, July 3, 2026. His best matchup grades 63.6/100 on our runs board.

What's Alex Bregman's projection today?

We project Alex for 0.5 on the runs board (home vs STL). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Alex Bregman done?

In the 9 games where our model ranked Alex a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 7 times (78%). Every projection is graded against the real result.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).