MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · 1B · Chicago Cubs

Michael Busch

Michael Busch — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: total bases at 65.4/100.

Today's top board
65.4
Total Bases · @ CIN
Our calls on him · hits
38%
1+ hit in 3/8 top-20 calls
Games graded
93
this season, box-score final
Michael Busch
1BBats LThrows RChicago Cubs
Total Bases65.4/100proj 1.7#46Fantasy Points54.7/100proj 6.9#82Hits52.6/100proj 1#89Runs51.6/100proj 0.5#90H+R+RBI46.4/100proj 1.6#131Walks40.6/100proj 0.5#49Stolen Bases39.3/100proj 0.1#66RBIs28.2/100proj 0.4#174Home Runs22.2/100proj 0.1#140

Today's matchup

Michael is at Cincinnati Reds on the Sunday, July 12, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — total bases (65.4/100, #46), fantasy points (54.7/100, #82), hits (52.6/100, #89), runs (51.6/100, #90). We project Michael for 1.7 on the total bases board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Over his last 5 games, Michael is 7-for-20 (.350). The full log's below.

How our calls on Michael have done

When we've ranked Michael a top-20 hitter matchup this season, he's recorded a hit in 3 of 8 games (38%). That's the honest number — graded against the real box score, hits and misses both.

How the model reads him

Michael's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Sunday, July 12@ CIN42011
Saturday, July 11@ CIN43010
Friday, July 10@ CIN40000
Thursday, July 9@ BAL41000
Wednesday, July 8@ BAL41010
Tuesday, July 7@ BAL20001
Sunday, July 5vs STL21010
Saturday, July 4vs STL40000
Friday, July 3vs STL41000
Wednesday, July 1vs SD62121
Tuesday, June 30vs SD41111
Monday, June 29vs SD40000

Michael Busch — FAQ

Who is Michael Busch facing today?

Michael Busch is facing Cincinnati Reds on Sunday, July 12, 2026. His best matchup grades 65.4/100 on our total bases board.

What's Michael Busch's projection today?

We project Michael for 1.7 on the total bases board (away vs CIN). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Michael Busch done?

In the 8 games where our model ranked Michael a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 3 times (38%). Every projection is graded against the real result.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).