Today's matchup
Carson is hosting St. Louis Cardinals on the Friday, July 3, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — h+r+rbi (39.6/100, #155), rbis (35/100, #167), hits (34.3/100, #140), runs (33.8/100, #152). We project Carson for 1.6 on the h+r+rbi board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.
Carson's recent starts
Carson's recent game log is below.
How the model reads him
Carson's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.