MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · C · Chicago Cubs

Carson Kelly

Carson Kelly — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: fantasy points at 59.6/100.

Today's top board
59.6
Fantasy Points · @ CIN
Season line · ERA
18.00
0-0 · 0 K, 2.00 WHIP
Games graded
63
this season, box-score final
Carson Kelly
CBats RThrows RChicago Cubs
Fantasy Points59.6/100proj 7.1#62H+R+RBI55.2/100proj 1.7#90Hits54.8/100proj 1#79Walks53.3/100proj 0.6#20RBIs51.3/100proj 0.5#98Total Bases46.9/100proj 1.5#114Runs46.3/100proj 0.5#114Stolen Bases44.8/100proj 0.1#42Home Runs39.8/100proj 0.2#56

Today's matchup

Carson is at Cincinnati Reds on the Sunday, July 12, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — fantasy points (59.6/100, #62), h+r+rbi (55.2/100, #90), hits (54.8/100, #79), walks (53.3/100, #20). We project Carson for 7.1 on the fantasy points board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Carson's recent starts

Carson's recent game log is below.

How the model reads him

Carson's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppIPKHERBB
Sunday, July 12@ CIN
Saturday, July 11@ CIN
Friday, July 10@ CIN
Thursday, July 9@ BAL
Wednesday, July 8@ BAL
Sunday, July 5vs STL
Friday, July 3vs STL
Tuesday, June 30vs SD
Sunday, June 28@ MIL
Saturday, June 27@ MIL
Friday, June 26@ MIL
Thursday, June 25@

Carson Kelly — FAQ

Who is Carson Kelly facing today?

Carson Kelly is facing Cincinnati Reds on Sunday, July 12, 2026. His best matchup grades 59.6/100 on our fantasy points board.

What's Carson Kelly's projection today?

We project Carson for 7.1 on the fantasy points board (away vs CIN). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).