MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Wednesday, April 1, 2026

DET @ AZ Home Runs matchups · Wednesday, April 1, 2026

DET
DET
Detroit Tigers
01
Final
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
AZ
Chase FieldElevation 1,086 ftCenter Field 407 ft 80°F Partly CloudyWind 11 mph, Varies

DET DET Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 BF
Season.0009 BF
Last 2 Years.027704 BF
wOBA allowed.355
Hard-Hit %100%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10010 BF
Season.10010 BF
Last 2 Years.036728 BF
wOBA allowed.386
Hard-Hit %63%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.00020 PA
Last 2 Years.028904 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.0009 PA
Last 2 Years.027704 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L3–8
ERA6.36
WHIP1.56
IP92.0
H / K / BB116 / 56 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.01188 PA
Season.01188 PA
Last 2 Years.0303027 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.137

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

BOVBovada+700
CZRCaesars+525
BRBetRivers+510
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Colt Keith's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.00017 PA
Last 2 Years.00017 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.0009 PA
Last 2 Years.027704 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L3–8
ERA6.36
WHIP1.56
IP92.0
H / K / BB116 / 56 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.01188 PA
Season.01188 PA
Last 2 Years.0303027 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.136

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

BOVBovada+600
CZRCaesars+525
BOLBetOnline+500
BRBetRivers+460

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Kevin McGonigle's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.00022 PA
Last 2 Years.018963 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10010 PA
Season.10010 PA
Last 2 Years.036728 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L3–8
ERA6.36
WHIP1.56
IP92.0
H / K / BB116 / 56 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04271 PA
Season.04271 PA
Last 2 Years.0303741 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.222
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.109

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

BOLBetOnline+700
BOVBovada+700
CZRCaesars+625
BRBetRivers+475

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Gleyber Torres's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.00049 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10010 PA
Season.10010 PA
Last 2 Years.036728 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L3–8
ERA6.36
WHIP1.56
IP92.0
H / K / BB116 / 56 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04271 PA
Season.04271 PA
Last 2 Years.0303741 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.12

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jahmai Jones's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.3× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10010 PA
Season.10010 PA
Last 2 Years.024420 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10010 PA
Season.10010 PA
Last 2 Years.036728 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L3–8
ERA6.36
WHIP1.56
IP92.0
H / K / BB116 / 56 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04271 PA
Season.04271 PA
Last 2 Years.0303741 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.133

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+510
BOVBovada+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Dillon Dingler's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.00022 PA
Last 2 Years.059681 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.0009 PA
Last 2 Years.027704 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L3–8
ERA6.36
WHIP1.56
IP92.0
H / K / BB116 / 56 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.01188 PA
Season.01188 PA
Last 2 Years.0303027 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.328
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.375
Plate Appearances8

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.156

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

CZRCaesars+475
BOLBetOnline+450
BOVBovada+360
BRBetRivers+340

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Kerry Carpenter's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.0002 PA
Last 2 Years.028473 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10010 PA
Season.10010 PA
Last 2 Years.036728 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L3–8
ERA6.36
WHIP1.56
IP92.0
H / K / BB116 / 56 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04271 PA
Season.04271 PA
Last 2 Years.0303741 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.114

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700
BRBetRivers+650

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Matt Vierling's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.00013 PA
Last 2 Years.029410 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.0009 PA
Last 2 Years.027704 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L3–8
ERA6.36
WHIP1.56
IP92.0
H / K / BB116 / 56 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.01188 PA
Season.01188 PA
Last 2 Years.0303027 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.108

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

BOVBovada+850
BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Parker Meadows's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.00012 PA
Last 2 Years.028533 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10010 PA
Season.10010 PA
Last 2 Years.036728 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L3–8
ERA6.36
WHIP1.56
IP92.0
H / K / BB116 / 56 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04271 PA
Season.04271 PA
Last 2 Years.0303741 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.299
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.385
Plate Appearances13

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.099

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

BRBetRivers+800
BOVBovada+800
CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Javier Báez's full player page →

AZ AZ Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 BF
Season.0007 BF
Last 2 Years.007273 BF

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 BF
Season.00015 BF
Last 2 Years.0251229 BF
wOBA allowed.204
Hard-Hit %33%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.0003 PA
Last 2 Years.069392 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.00015 PA
Last 2 Years.0251229 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L4–4
ERA3.15
WHIP0.91
IP65.2
H / K / BB52 / 75 / 8

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04490 PA
Season.04490 PA
Last 2 Years.0273920 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.344
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.291
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.211

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

BOVBovada+460
BOLBetOnline+450
CZRCaesars+400
BRBetRivers+390

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Ketel Marte's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.0006 PA
Last 2 Years.039409 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.0007 PA
Last 2 Years.007273 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L4–4
ERA3.15
WHIP0.91
IP65.2
H / K / BB52 / 75 / 8

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00052 PA
Season.00052 PA
Last 2 Years.0242786 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.292
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.134

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

BRBetRivers+750
BOVBovada+700
BOLBetOnline+600
CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Corbin Carroll's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.0006 PA
Last 2 Years.018341 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.00015 PA
Last 2 Years.0251229 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L4–4
ERA3.15
WHIP0.91
IP65.2
H / K / BB52 / 75 / 8

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04490 PA
Season.04490 PA
Last 2 Years.0273920 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.291
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.115

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

BOVBovada+1200
CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+800

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Geraldo Perdomo's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA
Season.0004 PA
Last 2 Years.010196 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.00015 PA
Last 2 Years.0251229 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L4–4
ERA3.15
WHIP0.91
IP65.2
H / K / BB52 / 75 / 8

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04490 PA
Season.04490 PA
Last 2 Years.0273920 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.291
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.125

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

BOVBovada+850
BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+525
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Gabriel Moreno's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.4×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.5002 PA
Season.5002 PA
Last 2 Years.017182 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.00015 PA
Last 2 Years.0251229 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L4–4
ERA3.15
WHIP0.91
IP65.2
H / K / BB52 / 75 / 8

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04490 PA
Season.04490 PA
Last 2 Years.0273920 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.291
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.128

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Ildemaro Vargas's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.0003 PA
Last 2 Years.026268 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.00015 PA
Last 2 Years.0251229 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L4–4
ERA3.15
WHIP0.91
IP65.2
H / K / BB52 / 75 / 8

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04490 PA
Season.04490 PA
Last 2 Years.0273920 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.291
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.222
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.112

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

BOVBovada+725
BOLBetOnline+600
CZRCaesars+575
BRBetRivers+510

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Nolan Arenado's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.00015 PA
Last 2 Years.0251229 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L4–4
ERA3.15
WHIP0.91
IP65.2
H / K / BB52 / 75 / 8

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04490 PA
Season.04490 PA
Last 2 Years.0273920 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.291
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.127

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

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Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.01282 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.00015 PA
Last 2 Years.0251229 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L4–4
ERA3.15
WHIP0.91
IP65.2
H / K / BB52 / 75 / 8

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04490 PA
Season.04490 PA
Last 2 Years.0273920 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.291
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.103

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Tim Tawa's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA
Season.0004 PA
Last 2 Years.00041 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.00015 PA
Last 2 Years.0251229 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L4–4
ERA3.15
WHIP0.91
IP65.2
H / K / BB52 / 75 / 8

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04490 PA
Season.04490 PA
Last 2 Years.0273920 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.291
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.112

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOVBovada+950
CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

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