MatchWiz

Corbin Carroll

Corbin Carroll — our top-20 calls on him have hit 65% this season. His matchups, projections, and the full graded record.

Last scored board
62.7
RBIs · @ SD · 2026-09-27
Our calls on him · hits
65%
1+ hit in 22/34 top-20 calls
Games graded
150
this season, box-score final
Corbin Carroll
RFBats LThrows LArizona Diamondbacks
RBIs62.7/100proj 0.5#23Fantasy Points58.9/100proj 7.2#24Home Runs53/100proj 0.2#17Runs50/100proj 0.5#50H+R+RBI46/100proj 1.7#59Walks45.8/100proj 0.4#35Triples44.4/100proj 0.1#4Total Bases44/100proj 1.7#33Hits37.2/100proj 0.9#92Stolen Bases34.3/100proj 0.1#27Singles31.1/100proj 0.6#99Doubles23/100proj 0.2#106

Last scored matchup

Corbin isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 11 days ago, away at San Diego Padres on Sunday, September 27, 2026, where he landed on rbis (62.7/100), fantasy points (58.9/100), home runs (53/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

Recent form

Corbin is 8-for-36 (.222) over his last 10 games, in line with his .235 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Corbin has 22 home runs and 68 extra-base hits in 561 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a left-handed bat

Corbin hits from the left side, and that's the first thing the model looks at. Left-handed hitters see right-handed pitching most nights, which is the favourable side — so a lefty bat's baseline is set against righties, and drawing a left-handed starter is a genuine downgrade rather than a rounding error. When you see his score fall on a day he's still in the lineup, an opposing lefty is usually why. Handedness also shapes the park read: pull-side geometry matters more for a left-handed swing than the raw park factor suggests.

Floor and ceiling

Corbin has recorded at least one hit in 94 of 150 games he's batted in — 63% — with 33 multi-hit games among them. That's about average — most regulars land somewhere near it.

Home and away

Corbin is hitting .249 at home (68-for-273) and .222 on the road (64-for-288) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

Against San Diego Padres

Corbin is 2-for-12 (.167) against San Diego Padres in our log, over 3 games. Worth knowing, worth not over-reading. 12 at-bats against one club is a tiny sample, and the model treats it as a minor input next to what that pitching staff actually allows to his handedness. Batter-versus-pitcher history is the most quoted number in baseball and one of the least predictive.

His best game in the log

Corbin's biggest night was Friday, September 18, 2026 against NYY — 2-for-4 with 1 homer, 2 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

How our calls on Corbin have graded

We've ranked Corbin a top-20 hitter matchup 34 times this season. He got a hit in 22 of them — 65%. That's the model reading him well, and it's the number we'd point to if you asked why we keep ranking him. It's also a season-sized sample on one player, which is smaller than it sounds; don't extrapolate it into a promise about tonight.

Where he lands across our boards

Corbin was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: rbis graded 62.7/100 while doubles came in at 23/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Corbin gets scored the same way a backup infielder does — same inputs, same scale, no thumb on it. What he's done against arms of this handedness, what this particular pitcher and bullpen give up, his likely plate appearances, the ballpark, the conditions, his recent form. The weighting behind those is ours and gets re-tuned weekly against what actually happened. The output is public and graded, which is the only claim worth making.

What we'd flag

Read this page knowing what it can't do. It can't show you a line no book posted — coverage peaks around 87% for confirmed starters. It can't see a lineup change that happens after the projection publishes. And it can't tell you anything useful from one game, because the model is only measurable across a season-sized sample.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Sunday, September 27@ SD31011
Saturday, September 26@ SD51001
Friday, September 25@ SD40001
Thursday, September 24@ COL31000
Wednesday, September 23@ COL41002
Tuesday, September 22@ COL41001
Sunday, September 20vs NYY31012
Saturday, September 19vs NYY20001
Friday, September 18vs NYY42112
Wednesday, September 16vs MIA40000
Tuesday, September 15vs MIA41000
Monday, September 14vs MIA52113

Corbin Carroll — FAQ

Is Corbin Carroll playing today?

Corbin Carroll isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Sunday, September 27, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Corbin Carroll graded?

In the 34 games where our model ranked Corbin a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 22 times — 65%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Corbin Carroll been hitting lately?

Corbin is 8-for-36 (.222) over his last 10 games, against .235 on the season across 561 at-bats in our log, with 22 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Corbin Carroll appear on?

Corbin was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — rbis, fantasy points, home runs, runs, h+r+rbi. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Corbin Carroll's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).