MatchWiz

Ildemaro Vargas

Ildemaro Vargas — 0-0, 4.91 ERA. The model's read on his matchups, graded in the open.

Last scored board
83.9
H+R+RBI · @ COL · 2026-09-23
Season line · ERA
4.91
0-0 · 0 K, 1.64 WHIP
Games graded
140
this season, box-score final
Ildemaro Vargas
1BBats SThrows RArizona Diamondbacks
H+R+RBI83.9/100proj 2Singles83/100proj 0.7Total Bases77.8/100proj 1.7Hits75.6/100proj 1.1Runs74.8/100proj 0.6Fantasy Points68/100proj 7.2RBIs67.2/100proj 0.6Triples56.5/100proj 0Doubles53.7/100proj 0.2Walks42.4/100proj 0.4Stolen Bases19.6/100proj 0.1Home Runs1.7/100proj 0.1

Last scored matchup

Ildemaro isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 14 days ago, away at Colorado Rockies on Wednesday, September 23, 2026, where he landed on h+r+rbi (83.9/100), singles (83/100), total bases (77.8/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

Season line

0 starts, 0-0, 4.91 ERA, 1.64 WHIP, 3.2 innings. He's struck out 0 over that span, against 3 walks. This is the baseline the matchup adjusts from — the model starts here and then asks what the specific lineup he's facing does to strikeout arms, how the park plays, and how deep he's likely to go.

He throws right-handed

Ildemaro throws right-handed, which is the ordinary case and means fewer wild swings in the lineup he faces. Opposing managers aren't restacking against him the way they would a left-hander, so his projection moves more on the quality of the lineup than on its handedness. What does move it: how deep he's been going lately, and whether the lineup in front of him strikes out.

Where he lands across our boards

Ildemaro was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: h+r+rbi graded 83.9/100 while home runs came in at 1.7/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Ildemaro's score comes from the matchup, not his reputation. The model weighs how the opposing lineup handles his handedness, how many batters he's likely to face given recent workload, the park, and the weather — then normalizes 0–100 against every other arm on the slate. How those factors are weighted is our own, and it re-tunes weekly against real outcomes. We publish the score and grade it in public; that's the half you can check.

What we'd flag

Read this page knowing what it can't do. It can't show you a line no book posted — coverage peaks around 87% for confirmed starters. It can't see a lineup change that happens after the projection publishes. And it can't tell you anything useful from one game, because the model is only measurable across a season-sized sample.

Recent game log

DateOppIPKHERBB
Sunday, September 27@ ——————
Saturday, September 26@ ——————
Friday, September 25@ ——————
Thursday, September 24@ ——————
Wednesday, September 23@ COL—————
Tuesday, September 22@ COL—————
Sunday, September 20@ ——————
Saturday, September 19@ ——————
Friday, September 18@ ——————
Saturday, September 12vs TEX—————
Friday, September 11vs TEX—————
Wednesday, September 9@ KC—————

Ildemaro Vargas — FAQ

Is Ildemaro Vargas playing today?

Ildemaro Vargas isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Wednesday, September 23, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

Which MatchWiz boards does Ildemaro Vargas appear on?

Ildemaro was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — h+r+rbi, singles, total bases, hits, runs. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Ildemaro Vargas's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).