MatchWiz

Kerry Carpenter

Kerry Carpenter — hitting .196 in our graded log with 8 home runs. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
52.5
RBIs · vs BAL · 2026-07-27
Our calls on him · hits
50%
record builds as games settle
Games graded
63
this season, box-score final
Kerry Carpenter
RFBats LThrows RDetroit Tigers
RBIs52.5/100proj 0.5Home Runs36.8/100proj 0.2H+R+RBI33.7/100proj 1.6Doubles30.1/100proj 0.2Singles30.1/100proj 0.6Triples30.1/100proj 0Walks27.3/100proj 0.3Fantasy Points20.5/100proj 5.8Total Bases19.5/100proj 1.4Hits19.4/100proj 0.9Runs16.8/100proj 0.4Stolen Bases0.9/100proj 0

Not on the current slate

Kerry hasn't been scored in 27 days — his last matchup was against Baltimore Orioles on Monday, July 27, 2026. A gap that long usually means an injury, a minor-league option, or a roster move rather than a rest day. Everything below is his most recent real production, not a projection.

He's in a cold stretch

Kerry is 3-for-31 (.097) across his last 10 games, down from .196 on the season. Slumps this size are mostly noise at this sample — 31 at-bats is a fortnight, not a trend — and the model treats it that way, discounting the cold run rather than writing him off. If the matchup underneath is good, he'll still grade well here. That's a feature, and sometimes it's wrong.

What kind of hitter he is

Kerry has 8 home runs and 13 extra-base hits in 184 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a left-handed bat

Kerry hits from the left side, and that's the first thing the model looks at. Left-handed hitters see right-handed pitching most nights, which is the favourable side — so a lefty bat's baseline is set against righties, and drawing a left-handed starter is a genuine downgrade rather than a rounding error. When you see his score fall on a day he's still in the lineup, an opposing lefty is usually why. Handedness also shapes the park read: pull-side geometry matters more for a left-handed swing than the raw park factor suggests.

Floor and ceiling

Kerry has recorded at least one hit in 31 of 63 games he's batted in — 49% — with 5 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Kerry is hitting .209 at home (19-for-91) and .183 on the road (17-for-93) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

No graded record on him yet

We haven't ranked Kerry a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — 4 times so far. He's appeared in 63 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.

Where he lands across our boards

Kerry was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: rbis graded 52.5/100 while stolen bases came in at 0.9/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Kerry's score rates the spot in front of him, not the name on the jersey. It weighs his rates against the kind of arm he's facing — handedness matters a lot — set against what that pitcher and his bullpen give up, then adjusts for expected playing time, park, weather, and recent form, normalized 0–100 across the slate. The weighting is proprietary and re-tuned weekly; the grading is public, and that's the half that proves anything.

What we'd flag

Books don't price every player — coverage tops out around 87% even for confirmed starters, so "no line" here usually means no book posted one rather than a gap in our data. Lineups change late, and an afternoon projection can be stale by first pitch. And the model is tuned across hundreds of graded outcomes, so one game tells you nothing about whether it's working. For Kerry specifically, we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Sunday, July 26vs KC20000
Saturday, July 25vs KC31000
Thursday, July 23vs KC41010
Wednesday, July 22@ CHC41000
Monday, July 20@ CHC50000
Sunday, July 19@ LAA40000
Saturday, July 18@ LAA40000
Friday, July 17@ LAA20000
Sunday, July 12vs PHI20000
Saturday, July 11vs PHI10000
Friday, July 10vs PHI20000
Thursday, July 9vs ATH10010

Kerry Carpenter — FAQ

Is Kerry Carpenter playing today?

Kerry Carpenter isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Monday, July 27, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How has Kerry Carpenter been hitting lately?

Kerry is 3-for-31 (.097) over his last 10 games, against .196 on the season across 184 at-bats in our log, with 8 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Kerry Carpenter appear on?

Kerry was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — rbis, home runs, h+r+rbi, doubles, singles. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Kerry Carpenter's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).