MatchWiz

Jose Fernandez

Jose Fernandez — hitting .255 in our graded log with 3 home runs. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
58.1
Stolen Bases · @ COL · 2026-09-23
Our calls on him · hits
80%
1+ hit in 4/5 top-20 calls
Games graded
69
this season, box-score final
Jose Fernandez
DHBats RThrows RArizona Diamondbacks
Stolen Bases58.1/100proj 0.1Hits55.5/100proj 1.1Fantasy Points46.1/100proj 6.6H+R+RBI45.3/100proj 1.7Singles45.2/100proj 0.6Total Bases44.5/100proj 1.5Doubles33.9/100proj 0.2Runs29.9/100proj 0.5RBIs29.3/100proj 0.4Triples26.1/100proj 0Walks15.8/100proj 0.3Home Runs8.1/100proj 0.1

Not on the current slate

Jose hasn't been scored in 15 days — his last matchup was against Colorado Rockies on Wednesday, September 23, 2026. A gap that long usually means an injury, a minor-league option, or a roster move rather than a rest day. Everything below is his most recent real production, not a projection.

He's a right-handed bat

Jose hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Jose has recorded at least one hit in 35 of 64 games he's batted in — 55% — with 12 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Jose is hitting .268 at home (22-for-82) and .246 on the road (28-for-114) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

How our calls on Jose have graded

In the 5 games where we ranked Jose a top-20 hitter matchup, he recorded a hit 4 times — 80%. That's a thin sample and we'd treat it as such. Every one of those calls was graded against the real box score, misses included.

Where he lands across our boards

Jose was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: stolen bases graded 58.1/100 while home runs came in at 8.1/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Jose gets scored the same way a backup infielder does — same inputs, same scale, no thumb on it. What he's done against arms of this handedness, what this particular pitcher and bullpen give up, his likely plate appearances, the ballpark, the conditions, his recent form. The weighting behind those is ours and gets re-tuned weekly against what actually happened. The output is public and graded, which is the only claim worth making.

What we'd flag

Read this page knowing what it can't do. It can't show you a line no book posted — coverage peaks around 87% for confirmed starters. It can't see a lineup change that happens after the projection publishes. And it can't tell you anything useful from one game, because the model is only measurable across a season-sized sample.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Sunday, September 27@ —10000
Friday, September 25@ —10000
Thursday, September 24@ —11000
Tuesday, September 22@ COL40000
Saturday, September 19@ —10000
Friday, September 18@ —10000
Wednesday, September 16@ —11000
Tuesday, September 15@ —00000
Saturday, August 29@ SF20000
Thursday, August 27@ SF41000
Wednesday, August 26vs CHC30000
Saturday, August 22vs CIN31000

Jose Fernandez — FAQ

Is Jose Fernandez playing today?

Jose Fernandez isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Wednesday, September 23, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Jose Fernandez graded?

In the 5 games where our model ranked Jose a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 4 times — 80%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Jose Fernandez been hitting lately?

Jose is 3-for-16 (.188) over his last 10 games, against .255 on the season across 196 at-bats in our log, with 3 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Jose Fernandez appear on?

Jose was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — stolen bases, hits, fantasy points, h+r+rbi, singles. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Jose Fernandez's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).