MatchWiz

Jose Fernandez

Jose Fernandez — hitting .258 in our graded log with 3 home runs. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
60.8
Doubles · vs PHI · 2026-09-01
Our calls on him · hits
80%
1+ hit in 4/5 top-20 calls
Games graded
61
this season, box-score final
Jose Fernandez
DHBats RThrows RArizona Diamondbacks
Doubles60.8/100proj 0.2Singles46.8/100proj 0.6Hits34.4/100proj 0.9Total Bases32.7/100proj 1.4H+R+RBI31.4/100proj 1.6Fantasy Points29.7/100proj 6.1Runs29.7/100proj 0.5Stolen Bases28.7/100proj 0.1Walks21.4/100proj 0.3RBIs21.2/100proj 0.4Home Runs10.6/100proj 0.1Triples1.6/100proj 0

Last scored matchup

Jose isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 4 days ago, at home against Philadelphia Phillies on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, where he landed on doubles (60.8/100), singles (46.8/100), hits (34.4/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

Recent form

Jose is 8-for-31 (.258) over his last 10 games, in line with his .258 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

He's a right-handed bat

Jose hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Jose has recorded at least one hit in 33 of 57 games he's batted in — 58% — with 12 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Jose is hitting .268 at home (22-for-82) and .250 on the road (26-for-104) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

His best game in the log

Jose's biggest night was Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at BOS — 2-for-4 with 1 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

How our calls on Jose have graded

In the 5 games where we ranked Jose a top-20 hitter matchup, he recorded a hit 4 times — 80%. That's a thin sample and we'd treat it as such. Every one of those calls was graded against the real box score, misses included.

Where he lands across our boards

Jose was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: doubles graded 60.8/100 while triples came in at 1.6/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Jose gets scored the same way a backup infielder does — same inputs, same scale, no thumb on it. What he's done against arms of this handedness, what this particular pitcher and bullpen give up, his likely plate appearances, the ballpark, the conditions, his recent form. The weighting behind those is ours and gets re-tuned weekly against what actually happened. The output is public and graded, which is the only claim worth making.

What we'd flag

Read this page knowing what it can't do. It can't show you a line no book posted — coverage peaks around 87% for confirmed starters. It can't see a lineup change that happens after the projection publishes. And it can't tell you anything useful from one game, because the model is only measurable across a season-sized sample.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Saturday, August 29@ SF20000
Thursday, August 27@ SF41000
Wednesday, August 26vs CHC30000
Saturday, August 22vs CIN31000
Friday, August 21vs CIN21010
Wednesday, August 19@ BOS42011
Tuesday, August 18@ BOS41000
Monday, August 17@ BOS31000
Thursday, June 4vs LAD41000
Wednesday, June 3vs LAD20000
Monday, June 1vs LAD10000
Sunday, May 31@ SEA30000

Jose Fernandez — FAQ

Is Jose Fernandez playing today?

Jose Fernandez isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Tuesday, September 1, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Jose Fernandez graded?

In the 5 games where our model ranked Jose a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 4 times — 80%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Jose Fernandez been hitting lately?

Jose is 8-for-31 (.258) over his last 10 games, against .258 on the season across 186 at-bats in our log, with 3 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Jose Fernandez appear on?

Jose was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — doubles, singles, hits, total bases, h+r+rbi. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Jose Fernandez's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).