MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · 3B · Arizona Diamondbacks

Nolan Arenado

Nolan Arenado — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: total bases at 40.4/100.

Today's top board
40.4
Total Bases · @ LAD
Our calls on him · hits
0%
record builds as games settle
Games graded
79
this season, box-score final
Nolan Arenado
3BBats RThrows RArizona Diamondbacks
Total Bases40.4/100proj 1.5#37RBIs39.5/100proj 0.4#38H+R+RBI28.7/100proj 1.6#46Home Runs22.8/100proj 0.1#39Runs22.1/100proj 0.4#46Hits21.8/100proj 0.9#48Fantasy Points20.9/100proj 5.9#45Stolen Bases19.7/100proj 0#37Walks15.7/100proj 0.3#46

Today's matchup

Nolan is at Los Angeles Dodgers on the Sunday, July 12, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — total bases (40.4/100, #37), rbis (39.5/100, #38), h+r+rbi (28.7/100, #46), home runs (22.8/100, #39). We project Nolan for 1.5 on the total bases board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Over his last 5 games, Nolan is 5-for-17 (.294) with 2 homers. The full log's below.

How the model reads him

Nolan's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Saturday, July 11@ LAD31121
Friday, July 10@ LAD20020
Thursday, July 9@ SD41111
Wednesday, July 8@ SD43000
Tuesday, July 7@ SD40000
Monday, July 6@ SD41111
Saturday, July 4vs MIL30000
Friday, July 3vs MIL51002
Wednesday, July 1vs SF41010
Tuesday, June 30vs SF41010
Monday, June 29vs SF22121
Sunday, June 28@ TB40000

Nolan Arenado — FAQ

Who is Nolan Arenado facing today?

Nolan Arenado is facing Los Angeles Dodgers on Sunday, July 12, 2026. His best matchup grades 40.4/100 on our total bases board.

What's Nolan Arenado's projection today?

We project Nolan for 1.5 on the total bases board (away vs LAD). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).