MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · 3B · Arizona Diamondbacks

Nolan Arenado

Nolan Arenado — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: runs at 27.7/100.

Today's top board
27.7
Runs · vs MIL
Our calls on him · hits
0%
record builds as games settle
Games graded
71
this season, box-score final
Nolan Arenado
3BBats RThrows RArizona Diamondbacks
Runs27.7/100proj 0.5#163RBIs23.9/100proj 0.4#189Total Bases22.8/100proj 1.4#169Hits22.1/100proj 0.9#176H+R+RBI19.7/100proj 1.5#182Home Runs14.3/100proj 0.1#171Fantasy Points13.9/100proj 5.6#195Walks13.1/100proj 0.3#182Stolen Bases0.6/100proj 0#215

Today's matchup

Nolan is hosting Milwaukee Brewers on the Friday, July 3, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — runs (27.7/100, #163), rbis (23.9/100, #189), total bases (22.8/100, #169), hits (22.1/100, #176). We project Nolan for 0.5 on the runs board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Over his last 5 games, Nolan is 5-for-17 (.294) with 1 homer. The full log's below.

How the model reads him

Nolan's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Wednesday, July 1vs SF41010
Tuesday, June 30vs SF41010
Monday, June 29vs SF22121
Sunday, June 28@ TB40000
Saturday, June 27@ TB31000
Friday, June 26@ TB31000
Wednesday, June 24@ STL51010
Tuesday, June 23@ STL41011
Monday, June 22@ STL41001
Sunday, June 21vs MIN31010
Saturday, June 20vs MIN20000
Friday, June 19vs MIN42010

Nolan Arenado — FAQ

Who is Nolan Arenado facing today?

Nolan Arenado is hosting Milwaukee Brewers on Friday, July 3, 2026. His best matchup grades 27.7/100 on our runs board.

What's Nolan Arenado's projection today?

We project Nolan for 0.5 on the runs board (home vs MIL). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).