MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Saturday, July 4, 2026

MIL @ AZ Home Runs matchups · Saturday, July 4, 2026

MIL
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
vs
9:40 PM EDT
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
AZ
Chase FieldElevation 1,086 ftCenter Field 407 ft

MIL MIL Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from MIL's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03529 BF
Season.052210 BF
Last 2 Years.046724 BF
wOBA allowed.393
Hard-Hit %42%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 BF
Season.046152 BF
Last 2 Years.027594 BF
wOBA allowed.351
Hard-Hit %33%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00031 PA
Season.019159 PA
Last 2 Years.047641 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs CHC0
Jun 29vs CIN0
Jun 30vs CIN0
Jul 2vs CIN0
Jul 3@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03529 PA
Season.052210 PA
Last 2 Years.046724 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L5–8
ERA5.84
WHIP1.53
IP81.2
H / K / BB92 / 47 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030169 PA
Season.026906 PA
Last 2 Years.0292852 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.339
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.349
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-23

Home Runs0 in 26 PA
Career Average.077
Plate Appearances26
HR · K · BB0 · 12 · 3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.187

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Christian Yelich's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02442 PA
Season.046173 PA
Last 2 Years.039826 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs CIN0
Jun 30vs CIN1
Jul 1vs CIN0
Jul 2vs CIN0
Jul 3@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 PA
Season.046152 PA
Last 2 Years.027594 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L5–8
ERA5.84
WHIP1.53
IP81.2
H / K / BB92 / 47 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.045133 PA
Season.0291011 PA
Last 2 Years.0323612 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.338
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Home Runs1 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB1 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.193

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jackson Chourio's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02441 PA
Season.042265 PA
Last 2 Years.028956 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs CIN1
Jun 30vs CIN0
Jul 1vs CIN0
Jul 2vs CIN0
Jul 3@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03529 PA
Season.052210 PA
Last 2 Years.046724 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L5–8
ERA5.84
WHIP1.53
IP81.2
H / K / BB92 / 47 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030169 PA
Season.026906 PA
Last 2 Years.0292852 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.348
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.349
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head4-for-10

Home Runs1 in 10 PA
Career Average.400
Plate Appearances10
HR · K · BB1 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.192

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Brice Turang's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08834 PA
Season.028249 PA
Last 2 Years.034956 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs CIN0
Jun 30vs CIN0
Jul 1vs CIN0
Jul 2vs CIN0
Jul 3@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 PA
Season.046152 PA
Last 2 Years.027594 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L5–8
ERA5.84
WHIP1.53
IP81.2
H / K / BB92 / 47 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.045133 PA
Season.0291011 PA
Last 2 Years.0323612 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.344
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-7

Home Runs0 in 8 PA
Career Average.250
Plate Appearances8
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.172

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

William Contreras's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.046

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06133 PA
Season.059222 PA
Last 2 Years.044562 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs CIN0
Jun 30vs CIN1
Jul 1vs CIN0
Jul 2vs CIN0
Jul 3@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03529 PA
Season.052210 PA
Last 2 Years.046724 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L5–8
ERA5.84
WHIP1.53
IP81.2
H / K / BB92 / 47 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030169 PA
Season.026906 PA
Last 2 Years.0292852 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.355
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.349
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-7

Home Runs0 in 8 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances8
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.239

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jake Bauers's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07128 PA
Season.035199 PA
Last 2 Years.034437 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27vs CHC0
Jun 30vs CIN0
Jul 1vs CIN0
Jul 2vs CIN1
Jul 3@ AZ1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03529 PA
Season.052210 PA
Last 2 Years.046724 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L5–8
ERA5.84
WHIP1.53
IP81.2
H / K / BB92 / 47 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030169 PA
Season.026906 PA
Last 2 Years.0292852 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.353
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.349
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-9

Home Runs0 in 11 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances11
HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.176

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Garrett Mitchell's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.017

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.009210 PA
Last 2 Years.017811 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs CHC0
Jun 29vs CIN0
Jun 30vs CIN0
Jul 2vs CIN0
Jul 3@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03529 PA
Season.052210 PA
Last 2 Years.046724 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L5–8
ERA5.84
WHIP1.53
IP81.2
H / K / BB92 / 47 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030169 PA
Season.026906 PA
Last 2 Years.0292852 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %25%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.349
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-5

Home Runs1 in 6 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB1 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.059

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Sal Frelick's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs CHC0
Jun 29vs CIN0
Jul 1vs CIN0
Jul 2vs CIN0
Jul 3@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 PA
Season.046152 PA
Last 2 Years.027594 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L5–8
ERA5.84
WHIP1.53
IP81.2
H / K / BB92 / 47 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.045133 PA
Season.0291011 PA
Last 2 Years.0323612 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.125

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Cooper Pratt's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.016189 PA
Last 2 Years.023484 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs CHC0
Jun 29vs CIN0
Jun 30vs CIN0
Jul 2vs CIN0
Jul 3@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03529 PA
Season.052210 PA
Last 2 Years.046724 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L5–8
ERA5.84
WHIP1.53
IP81.2
H / K / BB92 / 47 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030169 PA
Season.026906 PA
Last 2 Years.0292852 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.292
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.349
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-3

Home Runs0 in 4 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.074

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

David Hamilton's full player page →

AZ AZ Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from AZ's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 BF
Season.02581 BF
Last 2 Years.023216 BF
wOBA allowed.218
Hard-Hit %34%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 BF
Season.02579 BF
Last 2 Years.040201 BF
wOBA allowed.239
Hard-Hit %38%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.048

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07341 PA
Season.039259 PA
Last 2 Years.053770 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ TB1
Jun 29vs SF1
Jun 30vs SF1
Jul 1vs SF0
Jul 3vs MIL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.02581 PA
Last 2 Years.023216 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L2–1
ERA2.59
WHIP0.84
IP41.2
H / K / BB26 / 41 / 9

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.053133 PA
Season.026952 PA
Last 2 Years.0242131 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.355
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.251
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head4-for-13

Home Runs0 in 15 PA
Career Average.267
Plate Appearances15
HR · K · BB0 · 5 · 2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.27

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Ketel Marte's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02540 PA
Season.016245 PA
Last 2 Years.022958 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ TB0
Jun 29vs SF0
Jun 30vs SF0
Jul 1vs SF0
Jul 3vs MIL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.02581 PA
Last 2 Years.023216 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L2–1
ERA2.59
WHIP0.84
IP41.2
H / K / BB26 / 41 / 9

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.053133 PA
Season.026952 PA
Last 2 Years.0242131 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.338
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.251
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-6

Home Runs0 in 9 PA
Career Average.111
Plate Appearances9
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.095

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Geraldo Perdomo's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00036 PA
Season.042240 PA
Last 2 Years.050918 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ TB0
Jun 29vs SF0
Jun 30vs SF0
Jul 1vs SF0
Jul 3vs MIL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.02581 PA
Last 2 Years.023216 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L2–1
ERA2.59
WHIP0.84
IP41.2
H / K / BB26 / 41 / 9

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.053133 PA
Season.026952 PA
Last 2 Years.0242131 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.350
Hard-Hit %41%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.251
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head4-for-9

Home Runs0 in 9 PA
Career Average.444
Plate Appearances9
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.23

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Corbin Carroll's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2.2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.023174 PA
Last 2 Years.026496 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ TB0
Jun 29vs SF0
Jun 30vs SF0
Jul 1vs SF0
Jul 3vs MIL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA
Season.02579 PA
Last 2 Years.040201 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L2–1
ERA2.59
WHIP0.84
IP41.2
H / K / BB26 / 41 / 9

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.035201 PA
Season.0261146 PA
Last 2 Years.0262843 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.349
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.269
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.129

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Gabriel Moreno's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02934 PA
Season.017117 PA
Last 2 Years.032655 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ TB0
Jun 29vs SF0
Jun 30vs SF1
Jul 1vs SF0
Jul 3vs MIL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA
Season.02579 PA
Last 2 Years.040201 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L2–1
ERA2.59
WHIP0.84
IP41.2
H / K / BB26 / 41 / 9

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.035201 PA
Season.0261146 PA
Last 2 Years.0262843 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.301
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.269
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-4

Home Runs1 in 4 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances4
HR · K · BB1 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.121

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.029139 PA
Last 2 Years.036330 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21vs MIN0
Jun 22@ STL0
Jun 27@ TB0
Jun 28@ TB0
Jul 1vs SF0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.02581 PA
Last 2 Years.023216 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L2–1
ERA2.59
WHIP0.84
IP41.2
H / K / BB26 / 41 / 9

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.053133 PA
Season.026952 PA
Last 2 Years.0242131 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.296
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.251
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.128

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Adrian Del Castillo's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02638 PA
Season.030231 PA
Last 2 Years.029787 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ TB0
Jun 29vs SF1
Jun 30vs SF0
Jul 1vs SF0
Jul 3vs MIL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA
Season.02579 PA
Last 2 Years.040201 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L2–1
ERA2.59
WHIP0.84
IP41.2
H / K / BB26 / 41 / 9

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.035201 PA
Season.0261146 PA
Last 2 Years.0262843 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.269
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head4-for-19

Home Runs0 in 21 PA
Career Average.191
Plate Appearances21
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.097

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Nolan Arenado's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA
Season.01374 PA
Last 2 Years.036417 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26@ TB0
Jun 28@ TB0
Jun 29vs SF0
Jun 30vs SF0
Jul 1vs SF0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.02581 PA
Last 2 Years.023216 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L2–1
ERA2.59
WHIP0.84
IP41.2
H / K / BB26 / 41 / 9

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.053133 PA
Season.026952 PA
Last 2 Years.0242131 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.251
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-11

Home Runs0 in 11 PA
Career Average.091
Plate Appearances11
HR · K · BB0 · 4 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.109

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Pavin Smith's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03231 PA
Season.02387 PA
Last 2 Years.02387 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27@ TB0
Jun 28@ TB0
Jun 29vs SF0
Jul 1vs SF0
Jul 3vs MIL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA
Season.02579 PA
Last 2 Years.040201 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L2–1
ERA2.59
WHIP0.84
IP41.2
H / K / BB26 / 41 / 9

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.035201 PA
Season.0261146 PA
Last 2 Years.0262843 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.279
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.269
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.088

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Tommy Troy's full player page →