MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · DH · Arizona Diamondbacks

Pavin Smith

Pavin Smith — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: rbis at 24.1/100.

Today's top board
24.1
RBIs · vs MIL
Our calls on him · hits
100%
record builds as games settle
Games graded
20
this season, box-score final
Pavin Smith
DHBats LThrows LArizona Diamondbacks
RBIs24.1/100proj 0.4#188Walks19.7/100proj 0.3#152Total Bases13.4/100proj 1.3#202Hits13.1/100proj 0.9#201Home Runs12.4/100proj 0.1#180H+R+RBI12.2/100proj 1.4#205Runs10.2/100proj 0.4#213Fantasy Points9.9/100proj 5.4#205Stolen Bases0.8/100proj 0#214

Today's matchup

Pavin is hosting Milwaukee Brewers on the Friday, July 3, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — rbis (24.1/100, #188), walks (19.7/100, #152), total bases (13.4/100, #202), hits (13.1/100, #201). We project Pavin for 0.4 on the rbis board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Over his last 5 games, Pavin is 2-for-18 (.111). The full log's below.

How the model reads him

Pavin's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Wednesday, July 1vs SF41011
Tuesday, June 30vs SF30000
Monday, June 29vs SF30000
Sunday, June 28@ TB41000
Friday, June 26@ TB40000
Tuesday, June 23@ STL20000
Monday, June 22@ STL30000
Sunday, June 21vs MIN40000
Saturday, June 20vs MIN52001
Tuesday, June 16vs LAA00000
Monday, June 15vs LAA42111
Saturday, June 13@ CIN40000

Pavin Smith — FAQ

Who is Pavin Smith facing today?

Pavin Smith is hosting Milwaukee Brewers on Friday, July 3, 2026. His best matchup grades 24.1/100 on our rbis board.

What's Pavin Smith's projection today?

We project Pavin for 0.4 on the rbis board (home vs MIL). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).