MatchWiz

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. — hitting .182 in our graded log with 1 home run. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
61.8
RBIs · @ STL · 2026-07-23
Our calls on him · hits
0%
record builds as games settle
Games graded
36
this season, box-score final
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
LFBats RThrows RArizona Diamondbacks
RBIs61.8/100proj 0.5H+R+RBI47.1/100proj 1.6Hits39/100proj 0.9Fantasy Points31/100proj 5.7Runs28.2/100proj 0.4Stolen Bases27.2/100proj 0Total Bases25.5/100proj 1.4Home Runs23.8/100proj 0.1Walks19.4/100proj 0.2Doubles18.4/100proj 0.2Singles18.4/100proj 0.6Triples18.4/100proj 0

Not on the current slate

Lourdes hasn't been scored in 31 days — his last matchup was against St. Louis Cardinals on Thursday, July 23, 2026. A gap that long usually means an injury, a minor-league option, or a roster move rather than a rest day. Everything below is his most recent real production, not a projection.

Recent form

Lourdes is 5-for-33 (.152) over his last 10 games, in line with his .182 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

He's a right-handed bat

Lourdes hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Lourdes has recorded at least one hit in 18 of 36 games he's batted in — 50% — with 6 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Lourdes is hitting .139 at home (10-for-72) and .233 on the road (14-for-60) across the season. That's a real-looking split, and it's the kind of thing that's usually part park and part noise. The model doesn't apply a blanket home-road adjustment — it prices the actual ballpark he's standing in, which is the part that carries signal.

His best game in the log

Lourdes's biggest night was Tuesday, June 30, 2026 against SF — 2-for-5 with 1 homer, 3 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

No graded record on him yet

We haven't ranked Lourdes a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — 1 time so far. He's appeared in 36 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.

Where he lands across our boards

Lourdes was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: rbis graded 61.8/100 while triples came in at 18.4/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Take the name off Lourdes and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.

What we'd flag

Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes. For Lourdes specifically, we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Friday, July 17vs STL30001
Sunday, July 12@ LAD40000
Friday, July 10@ LAD50000
Thursday, July 9@ SD41000
Wednesday, July 8@ SD41010
Tuesday, July 7@ SD21000
Monday, July 6@ SD41011
Sunday, July 5vs MIL20000
Saturday, July 4vs MIL11000
Friday, July 3vs MIL40010
Wednesday, July 1vs SF40000
Tuesday, June 30vs SF52113

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. — FAQ

Is Lourdes Gurriel Jr. playing today?

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Thursday, July 23, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How has Lourdes Gurriel Jr. been hitting lately?

Lourdes is 5-for-33 (.152) over his last 10 games, against .182 on the season across 132 at-bats in our log, with 1 home run. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Lourdes Gurriel Jr. appear on?

Lourdes was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — rbis, h+r+rbi, hits, fantasy points, runs. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).